[🇵🇰] Pakistan Energy News

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Pakistan’s power generation cost jumps nearly 20% in November

  • Increase in fuel cost witnessed mainly due to a decline in nuclear, wind and, solar-based generation, says one brokerage house
BR
December 20, 2023

The cost of power generation in Pakistan witnessed a substantial jump of nearly 20% in November 2023.

The cost in November stood at an average of Rs7.17/KWh compared with an average cost of Rs5.99/KWh in the same period of the previous year, an increase of 19.7% YoY, said brokerage house Arif Habib Limited (AHL) on Wednesday.

“On a yearly basis, the increase in fuel cost was witnessed mainly due to a decline in nuclear, wind and, solar-based generation,” said the brokerage house.

“Additionally, the fuel cost for local coal-based generation increased by 55% YoY. Along with this, the fuel cost for Regasified Liquid Natural Gas (RLNG) and gas-based also increased by 17% YoY and 38% YoY, respectively,” it added.



The increase comes as rising electricity bills have become a headache for the country’s populace, who are already feeling the pinch of high inflation and slow economic activity.

However, on a monthly basis, the cost of power generation has decreased 13.2%, as compared to an average cost of Rs8.26 in October.

Meanwhile, power generation in the country clocked in at 7,547 GWh (10,482 MW) in November 2023, 9.8% lower compared to the same period last year.

Back in November 2022, power generation stood at 8,367 GWh.

The year-on-year (YoY) decrease in power generation comes on the back of a decline in power generation from nuclear, which stood at 1,572 GWh during November 2023, down by 32.8% YoY, said AHL.

Apart from nuclear, the YoY decrease was attributed to a decline in RLNG (21.1%), gas (41.5%), and wind (6.2%).

On a monthly basis, power generation decreased by 21.2%, as compared to 9,572 GWh registered in October.

During 5MFY24, power generation increased by 1.8% YoY to 61,258 GWh (compared to 60,153 GWh during 5MFY23.

In November, hydel was the leading source of power generation, accounting for 36.5% of the generation mix, to become the largest source of electricity generation in the country. Followed by nuclear, which accounted for 20.8% of the overall generation, followed by local coal which accounted for 13.1% of the power generation share.

Among renewables, wind, solar and bagasse generation amounted to 2%, 0.7% and 0.4% of the generation.


 
2023 a satisfying year for WAPDA hydel generation, under construction projects

WAPDA generates 34 billion units hydel electricity; 2.2 billion more than last year
WAPDA achieves major milestones on under construction projects
December 29, 2023: The outgoing year 2023 has been a satisfying year for hydropower and water sectors in Pakistan. The country witnessed increased generation of hydel electricity, while under-construction WAPDA projects in water and hydropower sectors also achieved major milestones in 2023.
WAPDA generated about 34 billion units of low-cost, clean and green hydel electricity in 2023, which is 2.2 billion units more than that of the last year.
This increased hydel generation helped national exchequer save about Rs. 106 billion, if same quantum of electricity was to be generated through expensive, imported fossil fuels.
Most importantly, WAPDA hydel electricity costs only Rs. 3.51 per unit; and it constitutes about 30% of the total electricity provided to the National Grid.
WAPDA owns and operates 22 hydel power stations including Neelum Jhelum with cumulative generation capacity of 9459 Megawatt (MW). According to the generation details of 2023, Tarbela generated 12.9 billion units, Tarbela 4th Extension 4.4 billion units, Ghazi Barotha 6.8 billion units, Mangla 4.7 billion units, Neelum Jhelum 1 billion unit, Warsak 0.8 billion units, Chashma 0.9 billion units, and rest of WAPDA hydel power stations cumulatively generated 2.5 billion units.
Year 2023 also augured well for under-construction WAPDA projects. Despite economic crunch, construction work on eight WAPDA projects continued unabated. WAPDA achieved the landmark of river diversion at Dasu Hydropower Project in February 2023, while diverted River Indus at Diamer Basha Dam through test-run. WAPDA is likely to achieve the milestone of river diversion at Mohmand Dam Project in next three to four months.
WAPDA is developing eight mega projects for water, food and energy security of the country. These projects are scheduled for completion from 2024 to 2028-29 in a phased manner. On completion of these projects, 9.7 million acre feet will be added to the gross water storage capacity. In addition, hydel generation of WAPDA will almost be doubled to 20,000 MW with an increase of approximately 10,000 MW in next five years.



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Karot Hydropower Project – First CPEC Project under China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.

The Project was put into full commercial operation on 29th June 2022. With a designed installed capacity of 720 MW, an annual generation is 3.2 billion kilowatts.

In 2023, the Karot Hydropower Project generated over 3.1 million MWh of clean energy, benefiting over 5 million local residents.
 
The 1530 MW-Tarbela 5th Extension Hydropower Project will start electricity generation in August 2025.

It will contribute 1.347 billion units clean, green and low-cost electricity to the National Grid every year. World Bank and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank are providing US$ 390 and 300 million respectively for construction of the Project.

With its completion, installed capacity at Tarbela Dam will increase from 4888 MW to 6418 MW.


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Chairman WAPDA Engr Lt Gen Sajjad Ghani (Retd) visited Mohmand Dam, being constructed across River Swat in Mohmand district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. He visited in detail construction sites of the spillway, the diversion tunnels and the power house to review construction activities going on there.

Mohmand Dam is a multipurpose project, which will store water for agriculture, control floods, supply water to Peshawar for urban use and generate green, clean and economically affordable hydel electricity. The project is scheduled for completion in 2026. Mohmand Dam will store 1.29 MAF of water to irrigate 18,237 acres of new land in Mohmand and Charsadda and supplement irrigation supplies to 160,000 acres of existing land.

The project has an installed power capacity of 800 MW with annual energy generation of 2.86 billion units of electricity. It will also provide 300 million gallons water per day to Peshawar for drinking purpose. Annual benefits of the project are estimated at Rs. 51.6 billion
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Pakistan is quite strong in Hydel power generation with a good half a dozen massive Power dams along the Indus. I'm not surprised that nuke is on the decline because the fuel rods are imported from China. There is no evidence of PAEC running a Uranium mining/ yellow cake industry. I believe all Uranium/ reactors are imported from China. Some plutonium produced at Khushab/ Kahuta but just for tactical nukes. Anybody has information regarding local Uranium mining/ reprocessing, please chime in.
 
Under Construction Diamer Basha Dam - 4500MW
Construction work is being carried out on multiple sites, which includes excavation of dam abutments from the top, diversion tunnel, diversion canal, power intake, permanent access bridge, and access roads.

Scheduled for completion in 2029, Diamer Basha Dam will have a gross water storage capacity of 8.1 MAF to irrigate 1.23 million acres of additional land.

It will have an installed power generation capacity of 4,500 MW, and provide 18 billion units of green and clean hydel electricity to the National Grid per annum.
 
Construction updates from Suki Kinari Hydropower Project. The project is near completion and physical progress is 97%.
  • Under construction since Dec 2016 under the umbrella of #CPEC
  • Annual Energy: More than 3,000 GWh
  • Highest Head in Pakistan
  • Completion Date: Nov 2024
  • Construction cost: $1.9 billion

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K-Electric (KE) will include 640 megawatts of cheap, renewable electricity to its system in the next two years through solar and wind energy projects, which will lead to a notable decrease in the cost of production, said KE Chief Executive Officer Moonis Abdullah Alvi during an informal chat with The Express Tribune.

Responding to a query, Alvi stated that solar and wind energy projects were expected to receive investments of more than $400 million from 12 companies hailing from Europe, China and the Middle East.

These alternative energy projects will be installed in Balochistan's cities of Hub, Uthal and Bela as well as Karachi's Surjani Town area. With the use of cost-effective, renewable energy by the consumers, the overall electricity consumption will go down by 200 to 250MW.
 
Two amazing aerial comparison pics of Mangla Dam, Spillway, Fort and Power House taken more than 55 years apart.

The first pic is from the JOE McNABB album. FROM JEFFREY: 1967 - Powerhouse, Bong canal, Mangla Dam, Main Spillway in distance.

The second pic is a cropped version from the NAJEEB AHMED KHAN album first posted in April 2023. FROM NAJEEB: Mangla Dam and Lake.


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Pakistan:—
Total power generation by source, for the last month, (GWhs)

Hydel:— 2,217
Nuclear:— 2,070
RLNG:— 1,658
Coal:— 862
Gas:— 795
Others:— 421

Source wise production cost , per unit in PKR:

Hydel:— 0.0
Nuclear:— 1.5
RLNG:— 22.2
Coal:— 16.8
Gas:— 13.7
Others:— N/M

6:29 AM · Apr 18, 2024
 

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