🇧🇩 - Proposed Defense Pact With India-----It Will Be A Strategic Blunder If Bangladesh Signs It. | World Defense Forum
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🇧🇩 Proposed Defense Pact With India-----It Will Be A Strategic Blunder If Bangladesh Signs It.

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India's Proposed Defence Pact: Dhaka uneasy
PM goes to Delhi April 7


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Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina. Star file photo

Leaving aside several bilateral issues, including the unresolved Teesta water-sharing deal, India has proposed a long-term comprehensive defence pact with Bangladesh that encompasses training, sale of military hardware and wide range of military to military cooperation.

Highly placed official sources said though discussions are still going on, India is expecting to sign a comprehensive, 25-year framework agreement on bilateral defence cooperation during Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's upcoming state visit to India on April 7-10.

According to sources, India in its proposed agreement also wants coordinated operations against mutually perceived threats.

Prime Minister of Bangladesh will be visiting India on an invitation extended by Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi, according to a joint announcement made yesterday simultaneously in Dhaka and New Delhi.

Along with the military cooperation agreement, India has also offered a $500 million line of credit to Bangladesh for the purchase of military hardware, including purchasing of fast patrol craft for the coastguards, radar, and other items for air defence.

Bangladesh, however, is still reluctant to sign such an agreement in the area of defence which India is pushing for. Dhaka is reluctant about such a long-term framework agreement, sources say. Instead it prefers to sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), which would be less formal and would have no time frame.

"The proposed defence agreement has not yet taken final shape…it is still under discussion at different level of the government, but it is progressing," said a highly placed official source in Dhaka.

Bangladesh is heavily dependent on China for its defence, but the government amid Indian push has taken the view that a traditionally close defence relationship with China needs to be balanced by strengthening defence cooperation with India and Russia too, according to experts and sources.

Bangladesh and China has umbrella agreement on defence cooperation signed in December 2002 during then Prime Minister Khaleda Zia's visit but Bangladesh does not have such a comprehensive agreement with India.

Under the Bangladesh-China military cooperation agreement of 2002, Bangladesh is buying supplies of arms, equipments, tanks, frigates, fighter jets and of late, the two submarines from China.

There is also counterargument among the defence experts who think it would be unwise for Bangladesh to build its defence with Indian cooperation.

Meanwhile, some political and security analysts said, though Bangladesh depends on China for conventional military weapons but time has come to move away from single source supply of defense equipment and include other countries in the list.

Political, diplomatic and security experts in Dhaka see India's insistence on this deal as a move to counter Bangladesh Armed Forces' growing dependence on China. They recognise China has emerged as a major supplier of arms to the Bangladesh Army and that makes India uncomfortable.

The recent addition of two Chinese submarines to the Bangladesh Navy has been a reason of major concern for New Delhi. Leading think tanks, media, and strategists in India have questioned Bangladesh's need for submarines at this time when it has already settled its maritime disputes with Myanmar and India through international arbitration in 2012 and 2014 respectively.

New Delhi was reported to be unhappy with Dhaka when Bangladesh on November 14 last year took delivery of the first of the two submarines purchased from China at a cost of $203 million. The Type 035G diesel-electric submarines are armed with torpedoes and mines.

Sources said India is also apprehensive over China's plans to develop seaports with base for submarines in Bangladesh which may hold Chinese submarines in future.

The Modi administration also felt uncomfortable when China, during Chinese President Xi Jinping's Dhaka visit on October 14-15 last year, elevated the bilateral ties from a comprehensive partnership of cooperation to a strategic partnership of cooperation, inking at least 27 deals worth about $25 billion.

Soon after, New Delhi presented the idea of comprehensive defence agreement with Bangladesh when its defence minister, Manohar Parikkar, visited Dhaka on November 30-December 1, 2016.

India further pushed for signing the defence deal during Indian Foreign Secretary S Jaishankar's visit to Dhaka on February 23 when he had over an hour of one-to-one meeting with Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina.

In response to New Delhi's push for the defence deal, highly placed sources said, government high-ups and policymakers are favouring signing an MoU first. Government policymakers think that would strike the right balance without upsetting either India or China.

Explaining building defence cooperation with India, strategic and security analyst Maj Gen Abdur Rashid (Retd) said: "Chinese footprint in Indian Ocean littoral states has always been a concern of other potential partners of Bangladesh. Unitary presence of a single country may generate suspicion among others. Enhancement of defense capacity of Bangladesh also adds strength to collective regional capacity."

Another defence expert said dependency on single source of supply of defence equipment also creates vulnerability and suggested a safer approach by creating multiple sources of defence equipment.

However, another expert, who wanted not to be named, said that Bangladesh has long been using Chinese weapons and it would be difficult for armed forces to adjust with new type of arms imported from new source.

Bangladesh has already inked its biggest arms contract worth $1 billion with Russia in January 2013 and is also planning to procure eight multi-role combat aircraft from Russia for the Bangladesh Air Force.

Bangladesh has previously bought MI-8 helicopters, Mig-29 fighter jets and MI-171 helicopters from Russia. The then Soviet Union had gifted eight MiG-21 aircrafts in 1972 to Bangladesh that kicked off the military-to-military ties between the two countries.

Meanwhile, the Foreign Ministry in its announcement said, "The upcoming visit is expected to further expand the cordial and cooperative relationship between India and Bangladesh and build on the strong ties of friendship and trust between the two leaders.

In preparation for the visit, official sources said, Dhaka and New Delhi have already finalised more than two dozen agreements, MoUs and documents for signing at the summit level meeting between Hasina and Modi on April 8 in New Delhi. "A couple of dozen or even more deals will be signed," added a high government official in Dhaka.

The MoUs are likely to be project-based, similar to those inked with China in October during Chinese President Xi Jinping's Dhaka visit, they said.

Diplomatic sources in the two capitals said the Bangladesh Prime Minister's visit is taking place without the Teesta Agreement whereas the two countries are going to sign agreements for use of Chittagong and Mongla seaports as part of greater connectivity under which India will get the transit-transshipment facilities for transportation of goods through Bangladesh.​
 

Do we really need a defence deal with India?

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Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina will visit India from April 7 to 10. Star file photo

Military pacts or defence deals are always struck by two states or more, out of a common threat perception. In the fifties, during the Cold War, Pakistan joined CENTO and SEATO, an essentially western alliance with the US, Britain, France, New Zealand, and some Asian countries like Thailand, Philippines, Iran and Turkey, to contain the growing communist influence of China and the Soviet Union. The WARSAW Military pact by Soviet Russia, with its satellite states comprising erstwhile East European states, came into being to contain western military alliance represented by NATO. Recently, the US signed a military pact with India, providing for refuelling and repairing facilities of American military aircraft and war ships in Indian military bases to contain growing Chinese influences in the strategic Indian Ocean. In 1971, India signed a 25 years treaty of peace, friendship and cooperation agreement with the Soviet Union to contain perceived SINO-American intervention in favour of Pakistan. The same treaty was later adopted to ensure Indo-Bangladesh cooperation. The Saudi-led Islamic military alliance by 39 Islamic states was forged in 2015 to fight terrorism, especially the Islamic State (IS).

As of now, Bangladesh has little threat perception from any quarter. We have no enemy, real or assumed. Thus, I would argue that there is no need for a military deal with any country. The cornerstone of Bangladesh's foreign policy, as enunciated by the Father of the Nation, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, is friendship with all and malice to none. We are a non-aligned nation. As a small nation, we are wary of military alliances conceived by big powers to spread their sphere of influence.

The people of the country wish to be left alone from big power rivalries, and thus have strategic partnerships with China, Russia, India, and even Myanmar.

Newspaper discussions by the civil society, particularly by former senior Bangladeshi diplomats, have questioned the necessity of a comprehensive defence deal with India for military cooperation, sales and supply of military hardware and coordinated operation against mutually perceived threats. They point out that as of now there is enough military cooperation with India by way of exchange of high level military contacts, joint military training and exercises, and so a formal military alliance will be superfluous and irrelevant.

According to Indian press reports, India was provoked to push for such an agreement because of the increasing military cooperation between Bangladesh and China, manifested by 80 percent of imports of Chinese hardware by Bangladesh over the past decade. They pointed out that the Indian move was precipitated by the supply of two Chinese submarines to Bangladesh, indicating 'deepening of Chinese footprints in India's backyard complicating India's security paradigm'. They further said the sale rankled concerned circles who questioned the need for Bangladesh to purchase two Chinese submarines considered it offensive.

Indian analysts have also interpreted the sale as a "Chinese strategy to encircle India". Prabal Ghosh of the Observer Research Foundation, explained to the Outlook, "The sale's strategic importance cannot be understated in any way". He advocates steps "to prevent Bangladesh from playing the China card".

They also pointed out that India was rattled by Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit to Bangladesh in October 2016 when China pledged nearly USD 24 billion assistance in trade and investment, buttressed by a promise to elevate the relationship between the two countries to a strategic partnership in South Asia and the Indian Ocean. China's presence in the Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal, and Bangladesh joining China's One Belt One Road initiative is also a matter of deep concern to India. These alarm bells prompted Indian Defence Minister Monohar Parikkar and Indian Foreign Secretary Subramaniam Jaisankart to rush to Dhaka to clinch a defence agreement with Dhaka.

The proposed deal, by all intent and purpose, is an Indian initiative and agenda to counter the growing influence of China in the Indian Ocean region. There is no reason for Bangladesh to become a part of the India-China rivalry by opting for the deal which will extensively limit and circumscribe our independent military options and choices. The proposed deal is fraught with deep uncertainties, risking our country being unwittingly sucked into India's potential conflicts. India is sufficiently strong to confront its adversaries without dragging Bangladesh. Besides, India is the largest importer of arms in the world, as the quality of Indian defence products is not beyond question.

Bangladesh, in recent times, has addressed a wide range of India's concerns on security and connectivity. It has been denying space in the country for Indian insurgents from its troubled north eastern states, allowed the transit and transportation of Indian goods and passengers through road, railway, and river ports, and connected the Chittagong and Mongla ports to India's north eastern states. Bangladesh has given India everything it asked for in a platter. We offered our neighbour the use of the river port in Ashuganj to transport heavy duty equipment for the Palatona power company in Tripura, and also arranged transport of 10,000 tonnes of rice to Tripura through our territories. Yet, a deal on water sharing of the Teesta River has floundered.

Like the English poet Wordsworth said about the bounty of nature, "We receive but what we give". In the same refrain of introspection, India may ask itself, "We receive from Bangladesh but what do we give them?" In that vein, wouldn't it be too much for India to expect Bangladesh to sign this defence deal?

The strength of the government rests on popular support and not on external help. To its credit, the present Bangladesh government is successfully walking a quadruple equidistant tightrope, effectively managing foreign policy with America, Russia, China and India without tilting to one side or the other. The defence deal will seriously compromise our independent stance.

If the current public discourse on the subject in Bangladesh is any indication, this is an extremely unpopular measure which has the potential of a deep political fallout and backlash with damaging consequences. The government, responsible for our booming economy and significant trade surplus, is firmly in the driver's seat and can steer clear any outside pressure which is detrimental to its national interest. We hope that Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina will resist such an asymmetric and outlandish deal that will add nothing to our pace of development. Bangladesh is committed to strengthening stability and peace in the region. India and China are both very powerful and influential powers in Asia. We cannot be a part of a process that furthers India-China's armed rivalry.

The writer is a former diplomat.​
 

Bangladesh Gives India Greenlight to Install Surveillance Radar System
Kamran Reza Chowdhury
2019.10.07
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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi watches his Bangladeshi counterpart, Sheikh Hasina, as she waves to the media before their meeting in New Delhi, Oct. 5, 2019.

Bangladesh will allow India to install surveillance radar along its coast on the Bay of Bengal, leaders of the two nations said during Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's weekend trip to New Delhi.

Hasina and her Indian counterpart, Narendra Modi, announced in a joint statement Saturday that their governments had "signed, exchanged, adopted and handed over" a memorandum of understanding for the installation of a coastal surveillance system.

"Both Prime Ministers welcomed the initiatives for development of closer Maritime Security Partnership, and noted the progress made in finalization of an MoU on [the] Establishment of [a] Coastal Surveillance Radar System in Bangladesh," the six-page statement said.

According to reports in the Indian media, at least 20 of these radar systems would be installed along Bangladesh's coastline.

The Deccan Herald, an English daily, said the radar systems would "go a long way in assuaging India's concerns over the growing influence of China and the presence of Chinese warships in the Bay of Bengal region."

Dhaka gave the green light for the radar system about three weeks after the Indian Navy said it had tracked seven Chinese Navy warships sailing in the Indian Ocean.

The MoU on setting up radar system was signed against the backdrop of a Bangladeshi decision to set up a submarine base in Cox's Bazar with Chinese support after Dhaka acquired two conventional submarines from Beijing.

To read the rest of the news, please click on the link above.
 

Coastal security in perspective
Mohammad Abdur Razzak 17 January, 2022, 00:00

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Bangladesh and India signed a memorandum of understanding entitled 'Maritime Security Partnership and Building Coastal Surveillance Radar System in Bangladesh' in October 2019. the Bangladesh Coast Guard and the Indian Navy are the implementing agencies on behalf of their respective governments.

According to BenarNews online, October 7, 2019, Bharat Electronics will install a total of 24 surveillance radars, 20 along the Bangladesh coast line and 4 on board Bangladesh Coast Guard ships. DD News online on October 6, 2019 reported that the 'coastal surveillance system will pave way for Indo-Bangladesh White Shipping Agreement in future.' India is reportedly pursuing to conclude an agreement between the Directorate General of Shipping of Bangladesh and the Indian Navy.

The Decan Herald online reported on October 6, 2019 that "Coastal Surveillance Radar Systems will help India to detect any seaborne terrorist attack along its eastern coastline and watch its maritime neighbourhood, where the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy has been frequently deploying warships over the past few years. The professed objective of the radar system… is to help the neighbouring country [Bangladesh] safeguard its sovereignty in its Exclusive Economic Zone. Sources, however, told the DH that the network would also prove to be a strategic asset for India and help Indian Navy to detect and respond to any threat to its national security and sovereignty.'

According to a former Bangladeshi diplomat, as published in a national daily online on October 18, 2019, 'Hypothetically speaking, if a war broke out between Bangladesh and Myanmar, we naturally wouldn't want Myanmar to be able to track the movements of our naval vessels. That is why it is imperative that Bangladesh have full control over the surveillance radars along the coast and the information these will generate.'

The Maritime Security Agreement, although a bilateral arrangement, is likely to invoke geopolitical repercussion as the media mentioned India's China factor being the motivation behind the maritime security cooperation. China is unlikely to welcome India's surveillance radars on the Bangladesh coast where China has geopolitical and geo-economic interests.

To read the rest of the news, please click on the link above.
 

Coastal security in perspective
Mohammad Abdur Razzak 17 January, 2022, 00:00

View attachment 6113

Bangladesh and India signed a memorandum of understanding entitled 'Maritime Security Partnership and Building Coastal Surveillance Radar System in Bangladesh' in October 2019. the Bangladesh Coast Guard and the Indian Navy are the implementing agencies on behalf of their respective governments.

According to BenarNews online, October 7, 2019, Bharat Electronics will install a total of 24 surveillance radars, 20 along the Bangladesh coast line and 4 on board Bangladesh Coast Guard ships. DD News online on October 6, 2019 reported that the 'coastal surveillance system will pave way for Indo-Bangladesh White Shipping Agreement in future.' India is reportedly pursuing to conclude an agreement between the Directorate General of Shipping of Bangladesh and the Indian Navy........
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The Maritime Security Agreement, although a bilateral arrangement, is likely to invoke geopolitical repercussion as the media mentioned India's China factor being the motivation behind the maritime security cooperation. China is unlikely to welcome India's surveillance radars on the Bangladesh coast where China has geopolitical and geo-economic interests.

To read the rest of the news, please click on the link above.

If Hasina did sign this, this is a really bad deal for us. It will reduce our strategic security posture to zero.

Such a move is not to counter China, but to contain Bangladesh.

Honestly - no one, even the Chinese, are interested in being threatening to India - whether in real or imaginary fashion.

The Chinese have far bigger fish to worry about (namely, the US).

These self-congratulatory declarations and antics from Indian BJP leaders are just vote-getting tactics and keeping Bangladesh in line.
 
If Hasina did sign this, this is a really bad deal for us. It will reduce our strategic security posture to zero.

Such a move is not to counter China, but to contain Bangladesh.

Honestly - no one, even the Chinese, are interested in being threatening to India - whether in real or imaginary fashion.

The Chinese have far bigger fish to worry about (namely, the US).

These self-congratulatory declarations and antics from Indian BJP leaders are just vote-getting tactics and keeping Bangladesh in line.
Hasina has signed the agreement. This will create trust deficit between Bangladesh-China security relation. As per the agreement Bangladesh will provide India with information relating to Chinese naval activities in Bay of Bengal and Indian Ocean. Similar agreement has been signed with Maldives and Sri Lanka.
 
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