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Better late than never.Too late for Bangladesh.
The writer has conveniently forgotten that laundering tens of billions of dollars is the prime cause of dollar shortages in the country. Building second nuclear power plant won't cause economic hardship in the country as this nuclear plant will provide cheapest electricity once completed. For Bangladesh nuclear plant is not national prestige rather necessity as our gas reserve, which is used to run power plants, is about to exhaust within a few years. If we take a long term view of energy security of the country then nuclear technology is an absolute necessity to generate electricity and safeguard our energy interest.Is Bangladesh’s ‘nuclear prestige’ an illusion?
Does Bangladesh really require another nuclear power plant? Or is the decision partly motivated by the pursuit of prestige?www.thedailystar.net
Is Bangladesh's 'nuclear prestige' an illusion?
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Do we really need, or can we really afford, to build another nuclear power plant? PHOTO: SANVI AHMED SAIM/WIKIMEDIA COMMONS
It came as an unexpected surprise in early April when Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina asked Rosatom, the Russian state corporation that specialises in nuclear energy, to consider building another nuclear power station in Rooppur. The revelation came at a time when Bangladesh has already been struggling with depleting foreign exchange reserves, high inflation, load-shedding, poor human development, and an increasing debt burden. The country has already begun to seek new loans to repay its existing ones, as per a recent CPD analysis. In addition, Bangladesh is also taking fresh loans at high interest rates to buy oil and LNG from foreign sources. The country finds itself in an exceedingly precarious situation as both its external borrowings and debt-servicing obligations are increasing at a rapid pace. There is also uncertainty over securing a fresh source of foreign currency inflow to cover future debt.
In this circumstance, does Bangladesh really require another nuclear power plant? Or is the decision partly motivated by the pursuit of prestige?
"Nuclear prestige" refers to the high status that governments believe they can acquire by building nuclear weapons. Countries armed with nuclear weapons perceive it as a symbol of prestige because it represents the exclusive ability of employing an advanced technology, and the image of leadership it projects to the international community.
Research has shown that at key historical junctures, countries pursued nuclear weapons to gain prestige. Harvard political scientist Alastair Iain Johnston's research in 1995 showed that Mao's decision to construct a nuclear bomb was motivated in part by a desire to gain international prominence. American foreign policy and intelligence executive Gregory F Treverton used in his book, Framing Compellent Strategies, the example of Chandrasekhara Rao, whose reason for India's first explosion in 1974 was that nuclear weapons would enhance the country's prestige. Similar observations were made about France's Charles De Gaulle by Princeton academic Wilfried Kohl in 1971, and by Yale professor Barry O'Neill in 2006 about Iraq's Saddam Hussein pondering the use of nuclear weapons to acquire prestige and regional leadership.
Only 32 of the world's 195 countries have nuclear power facilities. With the exception of two lower middle-income countries, Pakistan and India, the majority of these nations belong to the high- or higher-middle-income category. These two nations' plans to build nuclear power facilities went hand in hand with their strategy to increase their nuclear weapons capabilities. India's nuclear programme began in the mid-1940s, when then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru envisioned the potential to cover the complete fuel cycle, and India purchased its first reactor from Canada in the 1950s.
Similarly, China's nuclear programme was established in 1955, led by Mao Zedong. Ultimately, Pakistan took a significant step towards nuclear armament under the guidance of Bhutto following the loss of East Pakistan in 1971. These countries exhibited a common pattern of nuclear adoption. They developed their nuclear weapon programmes due to concerns about national security and the need to assert their national identity in a tense geopolitical landscape. The potential of conflict drove these nations to construct and solidify their national and military identities.
Interestingly, when Bangladesh decided to construct a nuclear power plant, certain interest groups portrayed it as a symbol of prestige. What they overlooked is that the historical concept of prestige is associated with gaining technical competence to produce weapons and energy, rather than importing nuclear technology and expertise from overseas and remaining indefinitely dependent on external power. The nuclear collaboration between Bangladesh and Russia is not a reflection of Bangladesh's financial capabilities, nor does it demonstrate its technical capacity to develop nuclear power plants on its own using domestic technology.
Russia is providing 90 percent of the funds in the form of loans. In other words, Russia is bankrolling this project so that Bangladesh can purchase Russian nuclear equipment and employ Russian consultants, specialists, and personnel. This so-called financial capacity, in reality, is a future debt burden for our citizens. And then, once the nuclear power plant is built, Russia will operate it as long as Bangladesh does not develop the capacity to run the project itself. Furthermore, the tripartite agreement between Bangladesh, Russia, and India enabled India to develop Bangladesh's human resource capacity for Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant (RNPP). It is reasonable if India is proud of its human resource development efforts in Bangladesh. But is it a matter of prestige for Bangladesh to receive human resource training from India?
This leads us to the questions that are central to this discussion. Is this nuclear prestige false? Who benefits from this constructed sense of prestige?
Megaprojects are commonly recognised as effective means to demonstrate modernity and development. In numerous developing nations, dominant political parties frequently employ large-scale projects as a strategy to push the prominence of development, despite the fact that the benefits derived from these projects hardly ever reach the people.
For a weak state, lacking the ability to manage inflation, guarantee public service provision, and enforce laws, it is easier to create a false impression of progress than to allow the citizens to reap the benefits of true development. Building a nuclear power plant gave politicians a chance to create an illusion of attaining technical prowess when, in reality, we are simply boasting about the abilities and expertise of others.
It is noteworthy that around one-third of countries with nuclear power plants produce less than 10 percent of their total electricity from nuclear energy. These countries include Japan, Germany, China, Brazil, South Africa, Argentina, Mexico, Netherlands, Iran, and India. If nuclear power is such an efficient and ecologically beneficial energy source, why aren't these countries building more nuclear power plants?
The answer is straightforward. Even nations with sophisticated capabilities refrain from relying on nuclear power due to the inherent risks, exorbitant costs, and the long-lasting damage caused by radioactive waste for thousands of years. Despite India's nuclear weapons capacity, why was the contribution of nuclear power in its energy generation only 3.1 percent by 2022, as reported by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)? Once the RNPP commences operation, the share of nuclear power in Bangladesh's electricity output will be approximately seven percent, subject to future capacity increases. Constructing a second one will further increase the share.
Bangladesh has already borrowed $11.38 billion from Russia to build the first 2,400MW RNPP. The 20-year repayment period will begin in 2027, with $500 million per year for the first three years and then less in subsequent years. The first and second units were originally planned to be finished in 2023 and 2024, respectively. However, so far, 85 percent of the construction has been completed, with a revised completion date set for 2026.
How can a country consider building a second nuclear power plant when it doesn't know whether the first one will be able to operate successfully? We are not sure whether it will take two to three years or more for Bangladesh to be fully capable of operating RNPP on its own. With all of these uncertainties and risks, how can a country risk another one?
Since the days of Mao Zedong and Jawaharlal Nehru, the world has seen significant transformation. In the international arena, prestige is now defined as the ability to invest in research and development to exploit cutting-edge solar, wind, and green hydrogen technologies. Ironically, Bangladesh continues to adhere to a misleading definition of nuclear prestige. The country needs to realise its true potential, rather than relying on the illusion of nuclear prestige.
Moshahida Sultana Ritu is associate professor at the Department of Accounting and Information Systems of the University of Dhaka.
Too late for Bangladesh.
The developed nations are shifted to alternative green energy options such as wind or solar energy.
You spend 9 billion USD to generate 1200MW in Pakistan, then carry the risk of accident for the duration of the nuclear plant or use the same amount to easily generate 2500-4000MW at the ever-decreasing cheaper cost compared to nuclear energy.
The choice is yours
Fukushima nuclear accident - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
It is good to have the knowledge of nuclear energy but no longer the most feasible option
The writer has conveniently forgotten that laundering tens of billions of dollars is the prime cause of dollar shortages in the country. Building second nuclear power plant won't cause economic hardship in the country as this nuclear plant will provide cheapest electricity once completed. For Bangladesh nuclear plant is not national prestige rather necessity as our gas reserve, which is used to run power plants, is about to exhaust within a few years. If we take a long term view of energy security of the country then nuclear technology is an absolute necessity to generate electricity and safeguard our energy interest.
You are a RAW slayerYou are 100% right. Shombhoboto Chetonabadi Bharatiyo RAW-sponsored writer. I can smell the opinion of these people from miles away. Their logic have so many holes in them like swiss-cheese. Propaganda made for majority semi-educated people in Bangladesh. This is how they have exploited our country for the past 50 years since 1971. Making Bangladesh a weak entity is their mantra, forever beholden to India for everything.
You are a RAW slayer
Indian people vote for BJP---A die hard anti Muslim political party in India. The Indian people have been brainwashed by RSS and I don't expect friendship from them.Only by opinion brother.
Those who oppose Indian govt. hegemony over Bangladesh are the true patriots.
However we have no issues with people-to-people relations with Indians.
Indian people vote for BJP---A die hard anti Muslim political party in India. The Indian people have been brainwashed by RSS and I don't expect friendship from them.
Loktantra (Democracy) will return to India, I am always an optimist about that. Modi succeeded in duping the Indians - that is true.
Dhruv Rathee is an Indian I like.
Not happening for you lot, impossible.Not your smelly pajeit asz but your smelly pajeit mouth.
In 1971 we saved our ass as well as yours. Without our help you would not be able to get out of East Pakistan alive. Period. As for nukes, only time will tell whether Bangladesh will get the nuke or not.Not happening for you lot, impossible.
India and Pakistan were the last to get on that boat.
You'd be a proper nuke power if we didn't sever your asz back in 71.
Doesn't it suck to be you ?
Not happening for you lot, impossible.
India and Pakistan were the last to get on that boat.
You'd be a proper nuke power if we didn't sever your asz back in 71.
Doesn't it suck to be you ?
That's all well and good but I was reacting to the hubris of the very idea of a "Bangladesh Military Nuclear Program"Jokes aside - who does it suck to be? Let's look at facts. Money talks - BS walks.
Nukes will arrive when it does. Only victors write their own histories.
Indians are now fighting the Canadians who gave Nuke tech to India in the mid-fifties.
Yet India's per capita GDP (and quality of life) remains one-fifth of most of the Asian tigers - who don't have nukes.
What should countries focus on and prioritize?
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When did we hire you to assess the need for nukes for Bangladesh?There is also no real NEED to do so now, you guys are under zero nuclear threat from either India or China or anyone else.
You're not getting your hands on them, ever.When did we hire you to assess the need for nukes for Bangladesh?
You don't decide which nation to get the bomb. Piss off.You're not getting your hands on them, ever.
Take that to the bank.
Tell us honestly, do you think BD will ever be allowed into the nuke weapon club ?You don't decide which nation to get the bomb. Piss off.
A thread renaming might be in order.. small edit, just remove the word "military" from the topic and we can continue discussing.
@Lulldapull @Vsdoc .. zentlemen, thoughts, ?
All we need is Chinese nod of approval. Being an Indian neighbor with whom we have no friendly relation, Chinese help in building nuke is certain.Tell us honestly, do you think BD will ever be allowed into the nuke weapon club ?
I don't believe I have been. Some of your fellow BDesis are but.Guys let's not get personal.
For one thing a lot of Indians never thought we'd better them at anything except level of poverty, malnutrition etc. much less GDP per capita, maternal health or the most damning of all, open defecation.
Yet here we are - so much for 'common perceptions'.....
Oh no, nowhere close to, but things have soured lately after PM Hasina's ousting. She was widely perceived to be an "Indian agent" and unpopular.. it's more complicated than that, I'll leave it to the BD guys here to parse further and flesh it out for you.@Saif @Bilal9 @Sharma Ji @Vsdoc @Lulldapull
Is the issue with Bangladesh and India as bad as Pakistan and India, or am I missing something here?
@Saif @Bilal9 @Sharma Ji @Vsdoc @Lulldapull
Is the issue with Bangladesh and India as bad as Pakistan and India, or am I missing something here?