[🇮🇳] India’s Suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty With Pakistan Could Backfire with China taking Steps

[Egyptian]

Targeting dams isn't something uncommon. Russians did it in ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war, and the once parched Crimea is again thriving.

Same can happen with the Indian dams. They know it, we know it.

Targetting of dams will most likely end up being the next Indian Pakistani war initiater- Ethiopia has issues with Egypt over the nile

 

[steppeWolff]

Targetting of dams will most likely end up being the next Indian Pakistani war initiater

A war will happen nonetheless if the water gets restricted.

Indus can't get restricted as 95% of it comes from our territories and the geography and terrain makes any effort impractical.

Jhelum cant get diverted too, atleast not in a meaningful way, whatever can requires a herculean effort and 10-20 years.

Chenab is the most vulnerable river as Indian "can" divert substantial amount of waters. Pakistan already has severe water scarcity and agricultural output barely able to sustain us.

So in any case, a war would be inevitable if Indians messed with our water resources. And the top brass and defence and information ministry of Pakistan is on record for implying that any actions of water restriction would incur a heavy response. The political elite also has a big chunk of feudals and landlords from Punjab and Sindh in it, all of whom depend on the water resources. So all of this would actually hit the elites too.

 

[Bilal9]

A war will happen nonetheless if the water gets restricted.

Indus can't get restricted as 95% of it comes from our territories and the geography and terrain makes any effort impractical.

Jhelum cant get diverted too, atleast not in a meaningful way, whatever can requires a herculean effort and 10-20 years.

Chenab is the most vulnerable river as Indian "can" divert substantial amount of waters. Pakistan already has severe water scarcity and agricultural output barely able to sustain us.

So in any case, a war would be inevitable if Indians messed with our water resources. And the top brass and defence and information ministry of Pakistan is on record for implying that any actions of water restriction would incur a heavy response. The political elite also has a big chunk of feudals and landlords from Punjab and Sindh in it, all of whom depend on the water resources. So all of this would actually hit the elites too.

Sorry if this is a bit off topic - but Indians have been withholding 90% of the upper riparian water with no consequence from Bangladesh for over 50 years while Sheikh and his family sold us down the river by not raising a peep about it, while our rivers turned into deserts.

Other than targeting dams with bombs (extreme prospect), what is more likely to happen (at least in the case for Bangladesh where Indians have unilaterally dammed the Teesta and Brahmaputra over half a dozen times to divert water) is China restricting/diverting water BEFORE it gets to Indian territory in Arunachal Pradesh adjacent to Eastern Tibet.

In spite of there being a Joint River Commission to ensure that Bangladesh gets its justly rightful share of water, Indians as usual are less than honest about it. Now Bangladesh is going to involve China, time for hemming/hawing and dragging of feet is over for Indians.

Indians are deathly afraid of this Chinese damming prospect upstream and have started to voice things as such. The time when they could do whatever they willy-nilly like to do with multi-national rivers is over, with the magic wand of control going to Chinese hands.

All the money they spent damming the Brahmaputra/Yarlang Tsangpo (at least strategic-wise) will go to the wastebasket of history, so to speak. There won't be a flow of water to speak of.

On our borders, we are constructing a huge catchment basin just South of the Indian border where Teesta enters Bangladesh.

Indian hegemony of releasing waters in the monsoon and withholding water in dry season will be foiled handily.

And last word on this - accumulation of trapped sediments, which are a dam's death knell. Over the period of 25 years, all dams (including Indian dams) will lose 26% of their catchment capacity and in 50 years, they will hardly hold any water.

3,700 Dams In India Will Lose 26% Storage Capacity Due To Sedimentation By 2050: UN Study

In 2022, the Asia-Pacific region, the world's most heavily dammed region, is estimated to have lost 13 per cent of its initial dam storage capacity. It will have lost nearly a quarter (23 per cent) of initial storage capacity by mid-century.

www.outlookindia.com

Same reason why sediment is causing a large area in the Bay of Bengal rise up to populate Bangladesh times half - again.

29 islands with a combined area of 125,370 acres (507 square kilometres) had emerged from the Bay of Bengal since 2007. Every year Himalayan rivers carry an estimated one billion tons of silt and deposits them in the Bay of Bengal off the coast of Bangladesh, forming islands in the shallow waters. Many of these islands, known as chars in Bangladesh, are already inhabited and experts told AFP they could mitigate the threat posed by global warming.

https://www.dhakatribune.com/bangladesh/324789/how-bangladesh-is-gaining-land-in-the-bay-of

This is why Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar blames the recurring floods in Bihar to the Farakka dam downstream of Bihar, the Ganges river has no depth to hold water (too much deposited sediment, and floods the banks too easily, while Indians are too cheap to dredge it). He wants the dam demolished.

Karma is a B*tch. Fighting with nature, it wins every time.

Sorry to post off topic stuff, but I wanted to illustrate a point.

 

[Vsdoc]

A war will happen nonetheless if the water gets restricted.

Indus can't get restricted as 95% of it comes from our territories and the geography and terrain makes any effort impractical.

Jhelum cant get diverted too, atleast not in a meaningful way, whatever can requires a herculean effort and 10-20 years.

Chenab is the most vulnerable river as Indian "can" divert substantial amount of waters. Pakistan already has severe water scarcity and agricultural output barely able to sustain us.

So in any case, a war would be inevitable if Indians messed with our water resources. And the top brass and defence and information ministry of Pakistan is on record for implying that any actions of water restriction would incur a heavy response. The political elite also has a big chunk of feudals and landlords from Punjab and Sindh in it, all of whom depend on the water resources. So all of this would actually hit the elites too.

India has just demonstrated to you what will happen when war starts next.

Keep fingering us.

We will keep raising the cost for Pakistan.

Till Pakistan sues for peace.

As it did this time as well. Like every time we have gone to war.

Akkal tumhari aani nahin.

 

[steppeWolff]

India has just demonstrated to you what will happen when war starts next.

Keep fingering us.

We will keep raising the cost for Pakistan.

Till Pakistan sues for peace.

As it did this time as well. Like every time we have gone to war.

Akkal tumhari aani nahin.

Getting your airforce butchered and asking the Yanks to broker a ceasefire? A good winning strategy you Indians got.

I sincerely hope yall stick to it.

 

[Vsdoc]

Getting your airforce butchered and asking the Yanks to broker a ceasefire? A good winning strategy you Indians got.

I sincerely hope yall stick to it.

Sure.

As long as you put your air bases and nuclear facilities in the line of direct fire.

As an appetizer to the main course.

 

[steppeWolff]

As long as you put your air bases and nuclear facilities in the line of direct fire

Next time make sure to inflict some substantial damage.

India cant keep sacrificing Rafales, Sukhois, MiGs and Cheeseboard radar of S400s for inconsequential gains.

 

[Vsdoc]

Next time make sure to inflict some substantial damage.

India cant keep sacrificing Rafales, Sukhois, MiGs and Cheeseboard radar of S400s for inconsequential gains.

Sure we can.

Hum atte ki bori ke liye nahin bhagte hai phatteechar qaum ki tarah.