VP debates rarely matter - the Walz v Vance showdown is different
Anthony Zurcher
North America correspondentโข
Getty Images
Democrat Tim Walz and Republican JD Vance will meet for their one and only vice-presidential debate on Tuesday night in New York City.
While the stakes in these kind of running-mate face-offs are typically low โ an undercard to the presidential main event - this one might be different.
In a tight race that could be decided by tens of thousands of votes in a handful of states, every opportunity to generate positive attention and political momentum is precious.
At the very least, the debate will be a fascinating contrast between two men with very different styles and political beliefs and two campaigns with distinct strategies for winning the White House.
Donald Trump announced his selection of Vance back in July, at the start of the Republican National Convention and just a day after his near-assassination.
The former president was riding high in the polls, and his pick of the 40-year-old Ohio senator was viewed not only as a play to the white working class in the industrial Midwest โ a key demographic in a region that is a top electoral battleground โ but also as a way to establish his political legacy.
Who is JD Vance?
Unlike Trumpโs first vice-president, Mike Pence, Vance is an ideological kindred spirit, whose focus on trade and immigration match Trumpโs top political priorities.
If Vance was a front-runner to be Trumpโs running-mate, Walzโs path to the Democratic number-two spot was considerably more unlikely. After Joe Biden abandoned his re-election bid, Vice-President Kamala Harris stepped in as the standard bearer and shortly thereafter began her ticket-mate search.
Walz, the governor of Minnesota, was not a leading contender for the job, but his viral appearances on television, deriding Republicans as โweirdโ, and his ability to defend liberal policies in moderate-friendly language won Harris over.
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Vance sells Trumpโs message to disaffected America
On the campaign trail, both men have sought to put the political skills that earned them the running-mate jobs to work.
Vance is polished and practised โ a former Silicon Valley venture capitalist with an Ivy League pedigree that belies his rural Appalachian roots. Walz is a high-school teacher turned politician with a penchant for folksy Midwestern humour.
Vance has been a frequent advocate for the Trump campaign on mainstream media news programmes. Heโs also rallied potential supporters in rural areas of the Midwestern battleground states, part of the Trump campaignโs strategy of engaging sympathetic voters who may not have participated in previous elections.
Last week in Traverse City, Michigan, Vance gave his standard stump speech, which is focused on immigration, the economy and trade.
โWeโre going to pursue some commonsense tax and economic policies,โ he told the crowd of a few thousand cheering supporters gathered in a local fair ground. โWe will do it with American workers rather than foreign slave labourers.โ
The Democrat has been a regular fixture in more rural areas of the battleground states - often appearing in places that are traditionally more conservative. As a former high school football coach, heโs sought to play up his background and links to Americaโs most popular sport. On Saturday, he was at the Michigan-Minnesota college football game which was played in front of a crowd of 110,000.
When Harris introduced Walz as her vice-presidential pick at a Philadelphia rally in early August, she repeatedly referred to him as โCoach Walzโ - and highlighted his high-school teacher background.
โIn Minnesota, we respect our neighbours and their personal choices that they make," Walz said in Philadelphia. โEven if we wouldnโt make the same choice for ourselves, thereโs a golden rule: Mind your own damn business.โ
Among debate watchers, Walz remains the candidate whoโs seen more positively and as more in touch with their needs and vision for the country. Vance, who suffers from more of an image deficit among both viewers and the public at large, boosted his standing among the debate audience, outperforming expectations and gaining ground on the share who perceive him as qualified. He was also narrowly seen as doing a better job than Walz of defending his running mate. Both men, the poll finds, are viewed by a majority of debate watchers as qualified to assume the presidency if needed. And practically none of the voters who tuned in saw the debate as a reason to change their votes.
Following the debate, 51% of viewers said that Vance did the better job, with 49% picking Walz. In a survey conducted of the same voters prior to the debate, Walz held the advantage as the candidate they expected to perform more strongly, 54% to 45%.
Middle East conflict has added to "heightened threat environment" in US ahead of election, DHS official says
From CNN's Holmes Lybrand
The threat environment in the United States โremains highโ ahead of the November presidential election and conflict in the Middle East, according to a new assessment by the Department of Homeland Security.
The annual assessment released Wednesday warns of possible threats from violent extremists driven by the heated political environment in the US as well as foreign and domestic threats from terrorist groups and others inspired by conflicts abroad. It also comes amid a wider conflict in the Middle East after Israel assassinated Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah and began a ground offensive in Lebanon. Iran retaliated on Tuesday by launching nearly 200 missiles at Israel.
A senior DHS official told reporters Wednesday that the department is still working to figure out what Iranโs escalatory attack on Israel in recent days could mean for US security.
โItโs of course true that events in the Middle East over the last 12 months have contributed to this heightened threat environment and continue to do so, and weโre in a constant effort to evaluate and monitor whatโs happening abroad to determine what implications it has for here in the homeland,โ the official said.
The official also noted that the attack from Iran, paired with the one-year anniversary of Hamasโ October 7 attack on Israel last year, could โdrive particular violent extremists here in the homeland to accelerate or look to take action on a timeline that may not have been anticipated.โ
โWe are literally in the earliest days of trying to understand what exactly Iranian intentions might be,โ the official said.
Some of those intentions of Iran and other countries, according to officials and the report itself, are to sow confusion and chaos in the US 2024 presidential election.