Saif
Senior Operative
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In South Asia, Bangladesh is the largest export market for India. Your statistics were about India's global exports whereas mine was regional. We can buy agricultural products from China and they don't need to buy it from you to re-export to us. We don't get promised amount of water from Ganges anyway. The release of Ganges water by India sometimes comes down to meagre 9000 cusec. So, we are already not getting water from Ganges so threating us by saying you would stop water flow from Ganges means nothing for Bangladesh. India receives much more from Bangladesh than it gives back to Bangladesh.Ofcourse 30 Bn USD is a good number but it is less than 4 % of India's export. Substitution of these goods will cost BD a lot and there will be a situation like Pakistan. They stopped some import from India and took it from other countries. Those countries buy the things from India and exports to Pakistan and Pakistan gets the same goods at much higher price. That is scenario No 1.
In Scenario 2, if India in retaliation reduces Ganga water, you can imagine the consequences. It is a give and take relationship in which India gives more and receives less.
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