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Wars 2022 02/24 Monitoring Russian and Ukraine War.

Wars 2022 02/24 Monitoring Russian and Ukraine War.
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Ukraine can ‘forget about’ joining Nato
Says Trump; Zelensky insists on ‘security guarantees’ ahead of Washington visit

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Photo: Reuters

US President Donald Trump yesterday brushed aside Ukraine's aspirations to join Nato, again repeating Russia's stance that the issue caused the three-year-old war.

"Nato -- you can forget about," Trump said when asked about a potential deal to end the war. "I think that's probably the reason the whole thing started."

His statement came despite President Volodymyr Zelensky softening his stance on signing an accord on rare minerals.

He said he hopes to visit Washington this week to meet Trump and discuss future US support for Ukraine.

Zelensky, who has come under mounting pressure from US officials to sign an accord on rare minerals, told reporters -- including from AFP -- that Ukrainian and US officials were working to confirm a meeting with Trump in Washington tomorrow.

He later told a press conference that he will immediately follow the trip with talks with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and other European leaders in Britain at the weekend.

His comments about the deal and US visit came just after Russian artillery killed at least five people in Ukraine's war-battered east and a drone barrage claimed two more lives near Kyiv, including a Ukrainian journalist.

Discussions were fraught on the minerals deal, which would grant the United States preferential access to Ukrainian natural resources in exchange for US support.

Officials late on Tuesday said they had come to an agreement following protracted negotiations but Zelensky told reporters in Kyiv that more difficult work lay ahead.

"This is a start, this is a framework agreement," he told journalists.

Further discussions between US and Ukrainian officials would determine the nature of security guarantees for Ukraine and the exact sums of money at stake in the accords.

"Guarantees of peace and security are the key to preventing Russia from destroying the lives of other nations," Zelensky said in his evening video address.

Zelensky had warned the "deal could be a great success or simply disappear. Whether it is a big success, I think, depends on our conversation with President Trump. We'll draw conclusions after."

Zelensky's refusal to sign a first draft of the accord delivered to him in Kyiv by the US treasury secretary was met with anger by Trump, who called the Ukrainian leader a "dictator" afterwards.

The Kremlin has also sought to woo Trump by lavishing praise on the US leader and by encouraging American investments in natural resources in Ukrainian territory controlled by Russian forces.

Russian and US diplomats will meet in Istanbul today to discuss resolving issues related to their embassies, Russia's foreign minister said, as tensions ease between the two countries.

But both Moscow and Kyiv have stepped up aerial attacks on their energy and military facilities, even as Trump pushes for a deal to end the conflict launched by Russia more than three years ago.

AFP journalists in Kyiv heard explosions ringing out after Russia launched its drone barrage, which the Ukrainian air force later said consisted of 177 drones of various types targeting regions across the country.

The Ukrinform news agency announced yesterday afternoon that its journalist Tetiana Kulyk was among those killed in the attack.

The university where Kulyk's husband worked said it was likely that he was at home with her at the time of the strike, and authorities said they had found a second body.

And Ukraine's largest private energy company, DTEK, said one of its facilities had been damaged in the Dnipropetrovsk region, without elaborating.

On the front line, Russian forces have been clawing their way towards the town of Kostyantynivka and intensively bombarding the civilian hub in the eastern Donetsk region, which the Kremlin claims is part of Russia.

Regional authorities said five people were killed and 11 wounded in the latest strikes by Russia, which has a better-resourced and large army across the sprawling front line.

Ukraine however announced that it had launched a successful counterattack in the Donetsk region, gaining control over the village of Kotlyne near a key transit artery and the logistics hub of Pokrovsk.

The Russian defence ministry said separately that its forces had gained control over two villages in the Kursk region where Ukrainian forces launched a surprise offensive in August last year.

Kyiv has stepped up air strikes against energy and military facilities on Russian territory in recent months, in what it says is a response to Moscow's bombardment of its cities and energy infrastructure.

Drone attacks overnight targeted the Russian regions of Bryansk and Kursk, according to the ministry.

No major damage was immediately reported by Russian media or authorities.​
 
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Ukraine ‘agrees mineral deal with US’
Agence France-Presse . Kyiv, Ukraine 27 February, 2025, 00:37

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An elderly woman holds a placard during a protest against a minerals deal with the United States in front of the Embassy of the United States of America, in Kyiv, on Wednesday, amid the Russian invasion in Ukraine. | AFP photo

Ukraine has agreed on the terms of a minerals deal with the United States and could sign it as early as Friday on a trip to Washington by president Volodymyr Zelensky, a senior Ukrainian official said.

US president Donald Trump had demanded that Ukraine give access to its rare earth minerals to compensate for the billions of dollars worth of wartime aid it received under Joe Biden.

The deal would see the United States jointly develop Ukraine’s mineral wealth, with revenues going to a newly created fund that would be ‘joint for Ukraine and America’, a senior Ukrainian source said.

‘Now government officials are working on the details As of now, we are considering a visit to Washington for Friday to sign the agreement,’ the source added.

Ukraine had asked for security guarantees from the US as part of any agreement.

The source said the draft of the deal includes a reference to ‘security’, but does not explicitly set out the United States’s role.

‘There is a general clause that says America will invest in a stable and prosperous sovereign Ukraine, that it works for a lasting peace, and that America supports efforts to guarantee security.’

The source also said Washington had cut clauses that would have been unfavourable to Ukraine, including that it provide ‘$500 billion’ worth of resources.

Meanwhile, Ukraine said that Russian strikes on a front-line town in the east of the country killed at least five people and wounded eight more just hours after a fatal drone attack near Kyiv.

The large-scale Russian drone barrage overnight killed two people near Kyiv, including a Ukrainian journalist, her news agency said.

AFP journalists in Kyiv heard explosions ringing out after the Ukrainian air force said Russia fired a barrage of 177 drones of various types at targets across the country.

Russian forces have been clawing their way towards the town of Kostyantynivka and intensively bombarding the civilian hub in the eastern Donetsk region, which the Kremlin claims is part of Russia.

‘At least five people were killed and eight were wounded in the strikes on Kostyantynivka,’ the governor of the Donetsk region Vadim Filashkin wrote on social media.

The strikes attest to the increasingly difficult fighting for Ukrainian forces that are facing down a better-resourced and large Russian army across the sprawling front line.

The attack on Kostyantynivka, which had an estimated pre-war population of around 67,000 people, came after Russia launched dozens of drones overnight in an aerial assault that damaged Ukrainian energy facilities and killed two people near the Ukrainian capital.

The Ukrinform news agency announced Wednesday afternoon that its journalist Tetiana Kulyk was among those killed in the attack.

‘Her untimely death has shocked her colleagues and is a huge loss for the agency,’ the agency said in a statement.

Ukrainian troops said Wednesday they had launched a successful counterattack in the eastern Donetsk region, gaining control over the village of Kotlyne near a key transit artery and the logistics hub of Pokrovsk.

Fighting between Russian and Ukrainian forces near the rail and mining hub of Pokrovsk is some of the fiercest of the invasion launched by the Kremlin in February 2022.

‘Taking this settlement would have allowed the occupiers to reach the Pokrovsk-Dnipro highway, so the enemy sent significant forces to capture it,’ the Ukrainian unit involved in the operation posted on social media.​
 
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Russia rules out 'any options' for European peacekeepers in Ukraine
REUTERS
Published :
Feb 26, 2025 21:00
Updated :
Feb 26, 2025 21:00

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Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov attends a meeting with Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani in Doha, Qatar February 26, 2025. Photo : Russian Foreign Ministry/Handout via REUTERS

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Wednesday that Moscow could not consider "any options" for European peacekeepers being sent to Ukraine and that the idea was aimed at fuelling the conflict and making it harder to de-escalate.

French President Emmanuel Macron spoke in favour of the concept during talks with US President Donald Trump on Monday, saying troops could be deployed to ensure that any peace deal was respected. Trump said he accepted the idea and that Russian President Vladimir Putin did too, though the Kremlin later indicated that Russian opposition to it was unchanged.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who is due to hold talks with Trump on Thursday, has said he would be ready to send British troops to Ukraine as part of any postwar peacekeeping force.

But Lavrov, who has previously called the proposal "unacceptable," set out Moscow's objections to any deployment in some of the strongest terms yet, removing any doubt about the matter after Trump's suggestion that Putin had come round to the idea.

"We cannot consider any options" when it comes to European peacekeepers, he said during a visit to Qatar.

"Trump said that a decision on the deployment of peacekeeping forces would only be possible with the consent of both sides. Apparently referring to us and Ukraine. Nobody has asked us about this," said Lavrov, who some Western diplomats nickname "Doctor No" because of his habit of frequently voicing Moscow's objections to various Western initiatives.

"This approach, which is being imposed by the Europeans, primarily France, but also the British, is aimed at what I just mentioned: to further fuel the conflict and to stop any attempts to calm it down."

Doubling down on Russia's so far maximalist approach to any potential settlement over Ukraine, Lavrov indicated Moscow still wanted full control over four regions it claims as its own in any deal, despite Ukrainian objections.

He also said there would not be a settlement that left the two sides facing off against each other along a line of contact, indicating that Moscow was interested in a solution that would leave the territory that remains under Ukraine's control less hostile to Russia and Russian-speakers.

Ukraine has repeatedly denied Russian assertions it has repressed ethnic Russians and Russian-speakers on its territory.

"Therefore, we cannot get away with such simple technical measures like deploying troops. We need to talk about the root causes (of the conflict)," Lavrov said.

"The root causes were the (attempted) dragging of Ukraine into NATO and the total eradication of the rights of Russians and Russian-speaking people."​
 
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Trump’s minerals deal may play in Ukraine’s favour long-term

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Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskiy meet at Trump Tower in New York City, US. Photo: REUTERS/FILE

The minerals deal that US President Donald Trump could soon sign with Ukraine may not be the colonial-style asset grab it appears to be. President Volodymyr Zelenskiy can still turn it to his country's long-term advantage.

Giving Washington a piece of Ukraine's critical minerals and other resources was an idea Zelenskiy took to then-candidate Trump back in September, hoping it would align the two countries' commercial interests. The Ukrainian leader got more than he'd bargained for after the November election, when Trump started talking about some $500 billion he expected as "money back" for the financial and military support the US has channelled to the country since Russia invaded three years ago.

The two countries have been discussing an agreement that would require Ukraine to pay half the revenue it will extract from the future monetisation of natural resources to a special fund controlled by the US, the New York Times reported. The fund would be tasked with reinvesting part of the proceeds in Ukraine, as a catalyst for attracting overseas capital. The US appears to have dropped the $500 billion demand, which never made much sense. American civil and military support to Kyiv over the last three years amounted to 114 billion euros, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy. Over the same period, European countries sent 132 billion euros.

One big unknown is the scale of Ukraine's assets. Local authorities have a poor picture, of their country's underground resources, which include uranium, lithium, oil and gas. The last mapping of so-called rare-earth metals was completed decades ago, and the deposits may not be viable. Besides, some of the coveted elements are in territory occupied by Russia.

Furthermore, any revenue is years away. Ukraine will first have to build or rebuild mines and repair the country's damaged energy grid. The promise of future returns could spur US investment, thereby beginning the rebuilding of Ukraine, a task the World Bank estimates, will cost $524 billion.

Zelenskiy wanted any deal to be conditional on American involvement in policing a truce with Russia. That condition appears to have run up against the Trump administration's opposition to military involvement in Europe. But the Ukrainian leader has also stated that giving the US an interest in the country's economic future would achieve the same outcome. Indeed, Russia doesn't like the mooted deal - and President Vladimir Putin has offered the US a mineral agreement of his own.

Zelenskiy might also conclude that a general agreement covering unknown assets with distant revenue may not bind Kyiv much. By the time the mines are up and running, the US may have a friendlier president. Ukraine could then review the contract or tear it up altogether. It's a negotiating strategy Trump might even admire.

The US and Ukraine have agreed on the terms of a draft minerals deal central to Kyiv's push to win Washington's support as President Donald Trump seeks to rapidly end the war with Russia, Reuters reported on February 25 citing two sources with knowledge of the matter.

A source familiar with the contents of the draft agreement said that it does not specify any US security guarantees or continued flow of weapons but says that the United States wants Ukraine to be "free, sovereign and secure."

US President Donald Trump indicated that his counterpart Volodymyr Zelenskiy might visit Washington on February 28 to sign the agreement. "I understand it's a big deal, very big deal," he said in the Oval Office on February 25.​
 
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Ukraine’s army chief visits eastern front heavily pressured by Russia
REUTERS
Published :
Feb 27, 2025 19:20
Updated :
Feb 27, 2025 19:20

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Colonel general Oleksandr Syrskyi, Commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, attends an interview with Reuters, amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, in Kharkiv region, Ukraine January 12, 2024. Photo : REUTERS/Valentyn Ogirenko/Files

Ukraine’s top commander said on Thursday he had visited brigades defending the Novopavlivka front in the eastern Donetsk region where Russia has stepped up its assaults.

“The enemy is conducting intense offensive actions in this area, trying to break through the defences of our troops and capture three settlements,” Oleksandr Syrskyi, chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, wrote on Facebook.

Syrskyi did not say when or which part of the front he had visited.

Ukraine’s military reported 19 combat engagements on the Novopavlivka front in the past day near the villages of Kostyantynopil, Rozdolne, Shevchenko and Burlatske.

The area near the villages where clashes took place has lithium and rare earth deposits, according to the Ukrainian Geological Survey.

Control of Ukraine’s large deposits of critical minerals has come into sharp focus this month after U.S. President Donald Trump expressed interest in gaining access to them.

Trump said Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy would visit Washington on Friday to sign an agreement on joint development of rare earth minerals. Zelenskiy said the success of the deal would hinge on those talks and continued US aid.

Parts of the Novopavlivka front are around 14 km (nine miles) from the Dnipropetrovsk region which Russia has been trying to reach to take full control of the Donetsk region as part of its stated war aims.

“The plan of the Russian occupiers in these areas has remained unchanged for more than three years, namely, to reach the administrative borders of Donetsk region,” Syrskyi said.

Through relentless assaults that Kyiv says have involved heavy casualties, Russian forces have reached around 4.5 km (2.8 miles) from the Dnipropetrovsk region at the closest point of a frontline that sprawls across hundreds of kilometers.

The Russian push comes as Trump says he wants to quickly end the war. Russian President Vladimir Putin says he is willing to negotiate, though he has previously refused to make any major territorial concessions.

Zelenskiy says he wants a just and lasting peace that would include security guarantees from Western allies to help deter another Russian invasion in the future.​
 
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