[🇧🇩] Monitoring Bangladesh's Economy

[🇧🇩] Monitoring Bangladesh's Economy
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Should we keep running after IMF for loans, asks finance minister

Special Correspondent
Dhaka
Published: 21 May 2026, 21: 36

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Finance Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury speaks as the chief guest at a roundtable discussion organised by Prothom Alo at the Pan Pacific Sonargaon Dhaka on 21 May 2026. Prothom Alo

Finance and Planning Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury has said the country can no longer be run the way it was running in the past, arguing that the financing structure has changed.

“Should we keep running after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for loans at one to two per cent interest? Or should we create a fund tomorrow morning and channel it into our own market? If I can earn good returns on investment, why should I wait to see who will give me money, when they will give it, and under what conditions? Why do I even need that?” he asked.

The finance minister made the remarks today, Thursday, while speaking as the chief guest at a roundtable discussion titled ‘Budget in Times of Crisis and Public Expectations’, organised by Prothom Alo at the Pan Pacific Sonargaon Dhaka. Prothom Alo Editor Matiur Rahman delivered the welcome speech at the roundtable.

Among others, PPRC Chairperson Hossain Zillur Rahman, Distinguished Fellow of the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) Debapriya Bhattacharya, BRAC Institute of Governance and Development Professorial Fellow Selim Jahan, Transcom Group CEO Simeen Rahman, HSBC Bangladesh CEO Mahbub ur Rahman, Policy Exchange Chairman Masrur Reaz, TK Group Director Mohammad Mustafa Haider, BKMEA President Mohammad Hatem, Moulvibazar Traders’ Association General Secretary Golam Mowla, and Bangladesh Restaurant Owners Association Secretary General Imran Hassan addressed the roundtable, moderated by Prothom Alo Head of Online Shawkat Hossain.

The finance minister said, “We want to move away from the oligarchic economy. So that, every citizen has equal access to opportunities, meaning the economy is participatory and that its benefits reach everyone. Democratisation of the economy is our philosophy.”

He said a large segment of the creative economy remains outside the tax net. Blacksmiths, potters, weavers and many other traditional workers in rural areas have never been brought under the scope of the budget.

“Generation after generation, they have continued working, but their lives have not improved. These people will be brought under financial and technical support programmes. There will be a fund for them in the budget. They survive hand to mouth, but their products are lacking value addition,” he said.

The finance minister also said cultural groups, including theatre organisations, had never been included in the budget. “We will develop theatres in Dhaka and other major cities. We will create theatre districts. We have failed to progress because we did not do these things. We lack soft power, whereas films, music and other cultural products from neighbouring countries are reaching audiences around the world,” he said.

Citing an example, the finance minister said, “A person from the hill tracts came to me for another purpose. He said he also paints. I asked him to bring some of his work one day. He did. The paintings were beautiful. When I asked the price, he said Tk 5,000. I looked at him and said, what are you saying!”

“Later, at Litu bhai’s request, an exhibition of his paintings was arranged. It was found that each painting sold for between Tk 50,000 and 100,000. These are GDP. His expenditure is GDP, what he sells is GDP, when he exports it that is GDP, even foreign exchange earnings. We are bringing such a large group of people into the budget. That is a feature of the budget,” he added.

Speaking on governance versus reform, the finance minister said, “It is a bit like the question of the chicken and the egg. However, we are moving towards comprehensive reform. It will no longer require 13 approvals to open a restaurant. Even if required, they will be issued from a single point within a fixed timeframe.”

“Referring to customs and the port authority, the finance minister said everything must move towards automation. We have seen that costs start rising from Chattogram port. You have to pay here, pay there, this fee, that charge- doing all this pushes prices up by 10 per cent. Our aim is to reduce the cost of doing business,” he said.

He also spoke about interest rates and the capacity of banks. He said banks can provide working capital loans and loans for purchasing vehicles and houses. Yet they are giving project loans worth Tk 20 billion. If one bank cannot manage, even four banks come together to provide it. These are inefficiencies.

His question was, why should the government fund everything? Why should the government bear the cost of purchasing 12 aircraft for Biman Bangladesh Airlines? Biman is an enterprise. It can raise funds from the capital market.

For large-scale financing, the finance minister advised turning to the capital market. He said that instead of taking loans worth Tk 20 billion from banks at high interest rates, the better option would be to raise funds from the capital market. “Has the capital market collapsed, then? We will make this market effective very quickly,” he said.

He added that borrowing from the capital market does not require paying interest until profits are generated. “Once profits are made, dividends are paid. There is also the bond market. Loans can also be taken from the bond market at seven, eight or nine per cent interest. This is how we will reduce the cost of doing business.”

He also referred to bureaucratic costs, saying these would be eliminated. “If everything goes online, costs will fall further. We will introduce ‘one citizen, one card, one wallet’,” he said.

Describing the tobacco sector as a major source of revenue, the finance minister added, “There is massive theft here. The word may sound harsh. Let’s call it evasion. Whether we call it evasion or theft, multinational companies are paying taxes here, but local companies are paying less. Some are not paying at all. A black market has developed here. Stealing here means becoming rich overnight.”

The finance minister said that in the beverage sector, Coca-Cola and Pepsi pay taxes, but there are many others with significant market share. He said instructions have been given to identify who is not paying taxes in this sector like those in the tobacco sector, as those who do pay taxes are facing unfair competition.

“We are catching them one by one,” the finance minister commented, adding, “We are finalising the tax policy. This is a major problem. Everyone is talking about everything, but no one is talking about tax policy. We have to start making a new cake. That is why I did not allow the previous bill to be passed.”

“I want the people of Bangladesh to understand the tax policy, to understand the DNA of Bangladesh. One must understand industry, trade, customs and the global situation. It cannot be a tax policy that simply says take this much from this sector, take this much from that sector,” he continued.

He also said, “We need a tax policy in which people will want to pay taxes, and after paying taxes, they will feel they are taxpayers. I have been talking about a two-year period. Please be patient and wait for this time. Within this period, the economy will recover. This country will become a welfare state.”

“There is no point in focusing only on the history of how much growth has been achieved. What matters is what ordinary people have gained. There will be growth, but if ordinary people’s lives do not change, it is of no use. I know this is a challenge for us,” he added.

Referring to the political goodwill of the prime minister, the finance minister said, “We are able to work because there is political goodwill. Now everyone is working because results are emerging. Even bureaucrats are working seven days a week. They are seeing that something good is happening. There are many obstacles. Some things will be included in this budget. But we will complete the work within six months.”​
 

Education must meet emerging industries' needs

Editorial

Published :
May 23, 2026 00:23
Updated :
May 23, 2026 00:23

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There is no gainsaying the fact that a nation's real wealth is its skilled manpower with the youth playing the central role. But have all the graduate-degree-holder youths of the country been able to contribute desirably to become the nation's wealth? To answer the question, one needs to look into the overall picture of our youth workforce. Approximately 2.0 million people that enter Bangladesh's job market annually, 30 to 35 per cent constitutes the youth with general graduate degrees. But the majority of these educated youths lack the skills to be absorbed in the private sector industries.

So, there is a disconnect between tertiary education provided by the higher educational institutions and what the industry needs. But then can't the vocational certificate providing polytechnic and diploma institutes of the country meet industrial needs? Unfortunately, the machinery in use to train students in those institutions is found to be decades-old. But modern industries require proficiency in advanced systems like Computer Numerical Control (CNC). Evidently, it has created a paradox where employers struggle to find qualified candidates while hundreds of thousands of the educated youths remain jobless. The challenge is to re-skill this talent pool to contribute meaningfully to society and the economy. These issues regarding the employability of the nation's educated youths again came up for deliberation at an event where speakers provided their valuable inputs. Notably, the event in question was styled, 'Technical Career Fair 2026' and held recently in the city. As expected, the focus of the occasion was how better Bangladesh can prepare its graduates by aggressively bridging the skill gap between academia and the industry. Interestingly, some renewable energy groups that participated in the said career fair informed that they would prioritise candidates with strong academic basics so that the recruits might be trained after hiring. The expo also reportedly aimed to recruit over 2,000 professionals, specifically targeting 'gray-collar' and skilled vocational workers. Here the 'gray-collar' jobs falls in the middle ground between the traditional white-collar (management staff) and the 'blue-collar' (manual labour) jobs. These hybrid professions combine hands-on physical work with specialised technical skills and typically require vocational training or certifications rather than four-year college degree. But these isolated cases of recruitment are to inspire the educated youth to make themselves job-market-worthy. Also, the suggestions some experts made at the event include learning third languages alongside the vocational training to get overseas jobs. Here comes the responsibility of the policymakers to overhaul the system of education that are creating the graduates and make millions of youths employable locally as well as globally. Therefore, it is time, the educational curriculum was revamped to aggressively promote technical education which covers Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET). That is about aligning the workforce development with the demands of the fourth industrial revolution (4IR) and emerging green sectors.

In that case, the strategies to enhance graduate employability should include modernisation of the curriculum. That involves shifting away from rote learning to the competency-based one. At the same time, the tertiary learning institutions should embed soft-skills into their core degree programmes. Notably, the soft skills involve communication, critical thinking, problem solving and adaptability. The next important step as part of the curriculum overhauling would be to bridge the industry-academia disconnect by institutionalising practical work placements and apprenticeships during the undergraduate years. Step by step, the graduates should prepare themselves for the borderless digital economy. In that case, the government should invest heavily in vocational and technical education and upgrade its manpower strategy to create highly skilled certified professionals aimed at meeting the needs of the local as well as global job market. Also, the education system should nurture job-creation rather than job-seeking and to that end, the enterprising youths' access to seed funding, incubation centres and mentorship programmes have to be ensured.​
 

Cushioning govt against global shocks
WB raising $2.0b in quick financing within FY26
Bank board may approve multi-sector package by June 29, disbursement begins following day

REZAUL KARIM

Published :
May 22, 2026 23:42
Updated :
May 22, 2026 23:42

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Bangladesh expects an off-the-cuff US$1.835-billion financing from the World Bank for use before the close of the current fiscal year to cushion the economy against mounting external shocks, sources say.

Of the amount, the financier has proposed an emergency financing fund worth up to $250 million for Bangladesh government to tackle fiscal pressures stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict.

The proposed emergency Investment Project Financing (IPF) would be financed through the reallocation of cancelled and uncommitted funds from five of ongoing or closing projects.

The projects include the Resilience, Entrepreneurship and Livelihood Improvement Project, Dhaka City Neighborhood Upgrading Project, Bangladesh Road Safety Project, Bangladesh Environmental Sustainability and Transformation Project, and Jamuna River Sustainable Management Project-1.

The proposed IPF is expected to be placed before the World Bank Board for approval by June 29, 2026, with disbursement likely to begin the following day, according to officials familiar with the developments.

The multi-sector package, now in an advanced stage of preparation, is intended to support macroeconomic stability, strengthen fiscal resilience, and ensure continuity in key financial-and energy-sector operations.

The government has made significant progress in advancing the FY26 financing pipeline following discussions held during the WB Group and IMF Spring Meetings, according to a recent letter addressed to the government.

The letter complements earlier correspondence dated May 5, 2026.

"We are pleased to observe significant progress on the FY26 pipeline thanks to the leadership of the Minister of Finance and Planning," the letter reads.

The letter mentions: "In sum, up to u$1.835 billion can be processed before the end of FY26."

According to an official communications between the WB and the Economic Relations Division (ERD), the financing programme combines emergency liquidity support with medium-term structural assistance.

The largest component of the package is up to $785 million under the Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERP) Rapid Results Option.

The government has already appointed a project director within the Finance Division and completed the omnibus amendment needed to repurpose funds from host projects for emergency expenditures.

The government is now preparing the CERP activation package, including a crisis action plan and procurement framework, to facilitate rapid fund utilisation.

Another major component is the Financial Sector Support Project-II worth US$450 million, aimed at strengthening financial-sector stability and reform initiatives.

Negotiations on the project concluded on May 11, with minutes signed the following day.

An official says Bangladesh Bank (BB) has sought an additional $50-million allocation as the Deposit Protection Fund has already utilised around 90 per cent of its existing resources.

An addendum to the negotiation minutes is currently under preparation following approval from the finance and planning adviser, keeping the project on course for WB Board approval by June 23.

The pipeline also includes $350 million in additional financing for the Energy Sector Security Enhancement Project to help absorb global fuel-price volatility and support energy-supply security.

A high official concerned says the government has already provided feedback on the project paper and indemnity agreement, while the WB submitted the final project paper for senior management clearance on May 12.

The WB has stressed the need for parallel implementation measures to ensure timely release of the funds before the end of FY2025-26.

Under the proposed arrangement, the Finance Division will deploy experienced officials in procurement, financial management and safeguard compliance to meet the accelerated processing timeline, according to a senior official concerned.​
 

ADP implementation hits just 41.41 per cent in July-April as post-uprising slump lingers

bdnews24.com

Published :
May 24, 2026 00:06
Updated :
May 24, 2026 00:06

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The sluggish pace of Annual Development Programme (ADP) implementation following last year’s July Uprising continues to weigh on government spending, the latest official data show.

In the first 10 months of the ongoing 2025-26 fiscal year, ministries and divisions implemented only 41.41 per cent of the total development allocation.

According to data released on Saturday by the Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Division (IMED) of the Ministry of Planning, total expenditure during the period stood at Tk 865.16 billion.

The Muhammad Yunus-led interim government had initially set an ambitious ADP expenditure target of Tk 2.38 trillion for the fiscal year.

Owing to sluggish implementation, the National Economic Council (NEC) cut the development budget by Tk 300 billion, reducing it to a revised Tk 2.08 trillion on 12 January.

The government will have to spend a staggering Tk 1.22 trillion in the remaining two months of the fiscal year — May and June.

During the same July-April period of the previous 2024-25 fiscal year, the government spent Tk 934.24 billion, representing an implementation rate of 41.31 per cent.

An analysis of the IMED data shows that administrative stagnation caused by law-and-order challenges after the July Uprising, coupled with massive bureaucratic reshuffles, continues to hamper project execution.

The political landscape has since shifted, with the BNP, led by Acting Chairman Tarique Rahman, forming the current elected government. Finance Minister Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury is scheduled to present his government’s first budget for the 2026-27 fiscal year on 11 June.

An NEC meeting chaired by the prime minister on 18 May has already approved a significantly larger ADP of Tk 3.08 trillion for the next fiscal year.

In April alone, ministries spent Tk 109.09 billion, a marginal increase from Tk 105.30 billion in April of the previous year.

The decline in development spending began sharply under the Muhammad Yunus-led interim government. The ousted Awami League administration had originally passed a massive Tk 2.78 trillion ADP for the 2024-25 fiscal year.

The interim administration revised it down to Tk 2.26 trillion, but ultimately spent only Tk 1.53 trillion, resulting in an overall implementation rate of 67.85 per cent — the lowest recorded in 20 years.

The ADP implementation rate was 80.63 per cent in the 2023-24 fiscal year.

The interim government’s policy of aggressively prioritising essential schemes led to funding cuts or outright suspensions for numerous projects initiated by the previous regime, dragging down overall expenditure.

While ADP spending traditionally gathers pace in the final months of a fiscal year, the current execution gap remains extraordinarily wide.

By comparison, the ADP implementation rate during the July-April period was 49.26 per cent in the 2023-24 fiscal year, 50.33 per cent in 2022-23 and 54.57 per cent in 2021-22.

The IMED report showed that the 15 highest-funded ministries and divisions, which collectively account for 70.97 per cent of the revised Tk 2.08 trillion ADP, achieved an average implementation rate of 50.76 per cent so far.

The Ministry of Science and Technology topped the chart, executing 80.20 per cent of its allocation. It was followed by the Energy and Mineral Resources Division at 68.27 per cent and the Ministry of Agriculture at 62.01 per cent.

Among other major ministries and divisions, the Ministry of Water Resources recorded an implementation rate of 61.50 per cent, followed by the Local Government Division at 55.97 per cent, the Power Division at 50.84 per cent and the Bridges Division at 48.42 per cent.

The Secondary and Higher Education Division implemented 44.49 per cent of its allocation, while the Ministry of Shipping recorded 42.79 per cent and the Road Transport and Highways Division 39.93 per cent.

The Technical and Madrasah Education Division posted an implementation rate of 37.67 per cent, slightly ahead of the Ministry of Housing and Public Works at 37.61 per cent.

The Ministry of Primary and Mass Education implemented 28.27 per cent, while the Health Services Division recorded the lowest rate among the major ministries and divisions at 22.15 per cent.​
 

Tax amnesty for whom, exactly?

FE

Published :
May 24, 2026 00:39
Updated :
May 24, 2026 00:39

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The government is reportedly on the verge of offering a special tax amnesty that would allow non-resident Bangladeshis to invest undisclosed income in select sectors without facing any scrutiny from revenue authorities or other agencies. Officials argue that the initiative could encourage overseas Bangladeshis to repatriate funds through formal channels and help channel idle capital into productive sectors. These justifications, however, crumble under even the most basic examination of existing law and recent economic data. Under the current Income Tax Act, any income earned abroad by a Bangladeshi natural person taxpayer and brought into Bangladesh through formal remittance channels is entirely tax-exempt. Not only that, the government provides a 2.5 per cent cash incentive on remittances transferred through legal channels, a policy specifically designed to encourage expatriates to use the banking system rather than informal routes. In April alone this year, Bangladeshi expatriates sent home a record $3.12 billion without facing any legal difficulty, demonstrating beyond any reasonable doubt that the existing framework is not a barrier to remittances. The question that naturally arises, then, is for whom exactly this amnesty is being designed, because the legitimate expatriate worker sending money home already enjoys exemptions and incentives that make formal channels both safe and financially rewarding.

If the expatriates already enjoy safe and rewarding channels, the necessity for this amnesty must stem from a different demographic entirely. There are even allegations that unscrupulous individuals already exploit the existing framework by sending money out through illegal channels and bringing it back as legitimate remittance to whiten illicit wealth while claiming cash incentives. Given that mechanisms already exist to facilitate legitimate transfers of funds, and are also misused through circumvention of rules, the proposition of an additional amnesty inevitably points toward a far more concerning set of beneficiaries. This is public knowledge that there are some notorious individuals who have already siphoned billions, if not trillions, out of the country to establish offshore business empires and acquire foreign properties. A blanket amnesty will risk providing them precisely the legal cover they need to reintegrate stolen capital without facing prosecution. The government must weigh this reality seriously, because a policy whose most probable beneficiaries are the very people the state should be prosecuting is far more corrosive to institutional credibility than any short-term revenue gain could justify.

Alongside this deeply problematic amnesty proposal, the government is also considering a reduction in the advance income tax rate on imports of raw materials by commercial importers holding import registration certificates. The current advance tax stands at 5 per cent, which is adjustable against final tax liabilities. The NBR is already staring at a monumental revenue shortfall exceeding Tk 1.04 trillion during the first 10 months of the current fiscal year. At a time when the government should be taking initiatives to increase revenue mobilisation, reducing advance tax collection is bound to negatively impact the overall revenue picture even further.

Policymakers acknowledge that within the prevailing tax culture of Bangladesh, advance taxes and deductions at source constitute a substantial share of actual revenue collection. This heavy reliance on deductions at source inadvertently fosters a widespread, albeit illegal and unethical, practice where many taxpayers calculate their declared income based purely on the taxes they have already paid. However, businesses very often struggle to secure cash refunds if the AIT is paid in excess of their final liability. This prompts them to pass the tax money on to the consumers. There is no denying that the case of AIT is a tricky one. Under the prevailing circumstances, the government will have to generate more revenue while finding solution to problems the businesses have been facing for long.​
 

Bangladesh's trade with regional partners: Oct-Dec'25 deficit falls 15pc

Jasim Uddin Haroon

Published :
May 23, 2026 08:38
Updated :
May 23, 2026 08:48

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Bangladesh's trade deficit with its seven neighbouring countries narrowed by more than 15 per cent to $1.70 billion during the October-December quarter of this fiscal year, according to the Bangladesh Bank data.

This reflects a decline in imports from major regional trading partners - India and Pakistan.

The deficit was $2.65 billion in the corresponding period a year earlier, according to the trade data reviewed by this scribe.

The improvement was mainly driven by a contraction in imports from India and Pakistan - Bangladesh's two largest trading partners in the region.

Economists say slower import demand and tighter spending on foreign goods may have contributed to the trend.

The seven neighbouring countries considered in the regional trade analysis are India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Afghanistan, Myanmar, and Bhutan.

India remained Bangladesh's largest trading partner in the region.

Imports from India stood at $2.044 billion during October-December 2025, marking a decline of 14.6 per cent compared with the same period in 2024.

Imports from Pakistan also registered a decline during the quarter.

Bangladesh imported goods worth $166.7 million from Pakistan during the period, down by 13.5 per cent from the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

Among the regional countries, imports from Afghanistan were the only exception, increasing by $8.3 million during the quarter under review.

Bangladesh's exports to neighbouring countries also witnessed a decline during the period, indicating weaker overall regional trade activity. Exports to India, the country's largest export destination within the region, dropped by 10 per cent to nearly $450 million during October-December, compared with nearly $503 million in the same period a year earlier.

Exports to Pakistan also declined to $17.6 million during the quarter from $19.6 million in the corresponding period of 2024.

Sri Lanka remained Bangladesh's third-largest trading partner in the region, with exports to the island nation amounting to $17.6 million during the quarter.

In contrast, exports to Nepal recorded a sharp increase, rising to $11.0 million during the October-December period from $4.7 million in the same quarter of the previous year.​
 

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