Krishna with Flute
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India's incredulous data: Economists create own benchmarks
By Manoj Kumar
NEW DELHI (Reuters) - Economists and investors are increasingly showing that they have little or no confidence in India's official economic data – presenting whoever is elected as the next prime minister with an immediate problem.
There have been questions for many years about whether Indian government statistics were telling the full story but two recent controversies over revisions and delays of crucial numbers have taken those concerns to new heights.
The government itself has admitted there are deficiencies in its data collection.
A study conducted by a division of the statistics ministry in the 12 months ending June 2017 found that as much as 36 percent of the companies in the database used in India's GDP calculations could not be traced or were wrongly classified.
Last December, the government held back the release of jobs data but an official report leaked to an Indian newspaper showed the unemployment rate had touched its highest level in 45 years.
Economists and investors are now voting with their feet – by using alternative sources of data and in some cases creating their own benchmarks to measure the Indian economy.
Many economists said they were stunned when the government upwardly revised GDP growth for 2016/17 to 8.2 percent from 6.7 percent.
Even those close to the government have said the lack of accuracy in the official data makes it much more likely that authorities will miss major swings in activity and be unable to react quickly to head off a crisis. It is also a problem for investors who may be misled into thinking the economy is more robust than it really is.
The opposition and other critics have said Modi suppressed jobs data and "massaged" economic growth numbers in an attempt to show that his government has done better than the previous administration.
Some investors have been burned by believing in India's high growth story.
P. C. Mohanan, former acting chairman of the national oversight body for statistics, who resigned to protest government interference over the release of the jobs figures and back series data on GDP, said the government hasn't allocated the resources it needs to measure activity given the growth in the economy.
Gita Gopinath, the International Monetary Fund’s chief economist, told an Indian TV channel last month the IMF had raised the issue of "transparency" with Indian officials in data collection and, in particular, measurement of the GDP deflator - the adjusted inflation rate used to estimate real GDP.
There are two names comes in forefront who disputes Government data. Both were saying very good about economy when they were in Government. They are Arvind Subramanium ex economic advisor of Indian government. Other name is Raguuram arjan ex head RBI. Both were US agents. Both were in highest economic bodies of India. Since when they are kicked out for favoring US, they keep bluffing all the nonsense. In one quarter when India's GDP figures were poor (4.5%, yes, 4.5% is very good for other countries but not India), he told it a Hindu growth rate. When the figure turned out to be 7.8%, he disputed the data.
Now you have talked about IMF economist, Now let me quote IMF reports about India. Let us see whether you are able to agree with it or not. Your cherry picking will expose you otherwise.
India has eliminated hunger poverty say IMF.

Extreme poverty eliminated in India, says IMF report. Findings decoded
As a resounding endorsement to PM Modi’s food security scheme Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PMGKAY), the IMF has said that it “illustrates the robustness of India’s social safety architecture as it withstood one of the world’s biggest exogenous income shocks.” The scheme, it observed...
Form IMF directly,

INDIA HAS ERADICATED EXTREME POVERTY: IMF REPORT - The Daily Guardian
Report lauds Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s food security scheme, the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana, for helping India achieve this feat.


Has India Really Eliminated Extreme Poverty Or Has It Stopped Counting Its Poor?
When the pandemic struck India, India was in its lowest economic growth in over a decade. According to the latest Oxfam report on inequality, the COVID-19 pandemic pushed more than 4.6 crore Indians into extreme poverty.
