[🇧🇩] Nuclear Deterrence----Strategic Balance In South Asia and Its Impact on Bangladesh

[Saif]

Date of Event: Jan 2, 2025

Source : https://www.newagebd.net/post/opinion/236166/nuclear-deterrence

Nuclear deterrence
Aizaz Ahmad Chaudhry 27 May, 2024, 00:00

FIFTY years ago, in May 1974, India detonated its first nuclear device, calling it Operation Smiling Buddha. While the world remained largely silent, Pakistan's foreign minister declared Pakistan would 'never submit to nuclear blackmail' or 'accept Indian hegemony over the subcontinent'. Earlier, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto had expressed the resolve that if India ever built a nuclear weapon, Pakistan would 'eat grass', but build one of its own. Given India's role in dismembering the country in 1971, the Pakistani leadership found it imperative to restore the power equilibrium by nuclear capability to deter further Indian aggression.

In 1998, South Asia became overtly nuclearised. On May 11, 1998, India tested its nuclear devices. Given the significant conventional asymmetry, Pakistan followed suit on May 28 as it could not remain vulnerable. Its nuclear tests restored the strategic balance and re-established nuclear deterrence, which essentially means deterring an adversary from conventional or nuclear aggression due to concerns that there would be retaliation that could eventually lead to mutual assured destruction.

Nuclear weapons are political weapons, ideally not intended for war-fighting. Their main purpose is to deter wars. Since 1998, South Asia has not seen a major war, primarily due to nuclear deterrence. However, nuclear deterrence could not prevent confrontations below the nuclear overhang — for instance, clashes in Kargil in 1999, troops mobilisation in 2001–2, and Indian aggression in Balakot in 2019. While none of these confrontations assumed the proportions of a major war, owing to nuclear deterrence, the risk of kinetic confrontations escalating into the nuclear dimension could not be ignored. With India's aggressive doctrines like Cold Start, Pakistan opted for a full-spectrum deterrence posture, while remaining within the ambit of credible minimum deterrence to deter all aggression — from tactical to strategic level.

To read the rest of the news, please click on the link below.​

 

[Deleted due to Error (Muji Iqbal)]

India also has China as an enemy. China claims a part of Kashmir and South Tibet which India calls Arunachal Pradesh.

 

[Saif]

India also has China as an enemy. China claims a part of Kashmir and South Tibet which India calls Arunachal Pradesh.

It is my understanding that as soon as China resolves Taiwan issue, they will forcefully occupy Arunachal Pradesh and show India its Awkat.

 

[Deleted due to Error (Muji Iqbal)]

It is my understanding that as soon as China resolves Taiwan issue, they will forcefully occupy Arunachal Pradesh and show India its Awkat.

Yes, I hope so. I support China's claim on Taiwan. Taiwan should accept one country two systems policy.

 

[Saif]

Yes, I hope so. I support China's claim on Taiwan. Taiwan should accept one country two systems policy.

Just like Hongkong

 

[Samad11]

Nuclear deterrence
Aizaz Ahmad Chaudhry 27 May, 2024, 00:00

FIFTY years ago, in May 1974, India detonated its first nuclear device, calling it Operation Smiling Buddha. While the world remained largely silent, Pakistan's foreign minister declared Pakistan would 'never submit to nuclear blackmail' or 'accept Indian hegemony over the subcontinent'. Earlier, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto had expressed the resolve that if India ever built a nuclear weapon, Pakistan would 'eat grass', but build one of its own. Given India's role in dismembering the country in 1971, the Pakistani leadership found it imperative to restore the power equilibrium by nuclear capability to deter further Indian aggression.

In 1998, South Asia became overtly nuclearised. On May 11, 1998, India tested its nuclear devices. Given the significant conventional asymmetry, Pakistan followed suit on May 28 as it could not remain vulnerable. Its nuclear tests restored the strategic balance and re-established nuclear deterrence, which essentially means deterring an adversary from conventional or nuclear aggression due to concerns that there would be retaliation that could eventually lead to mutual assured destruction.

Nuclear weapons are political weapons, ideally not intended for war-fighting. Their main purpose is to deter wars. Since 1998, South Asia has not seen a major war, primarily due to nuclear deterrence. However, nuclear deterrence could not prevent confrontations below the nuclear overhang — for instance, clashes in Kargil in 1999, troops mobilisation in 2001–2, and Indian aggression in Balakot in 2019. While none of these confrontations assumed the proportions of a major war, owing to nuclear deterrence, the risk of kinetic confrontations escalating into the nuclear dimension could not be ignored. With India's aggressive doctrines like Cold Start, Pakistan opted for a full-spectrum deterrence posture, while remaining within the ambit of credible minimum deterrence to deter all aggression — from tactical to strategic level.

To read the rest of the news, please click on the link below.​

Guess which haoga reenter hijra tried to be a nagger version of Monica Lewinsky under Bill Clinton's desk by selling out BD's national (& nuclear) security on 1996 (Oct 24)-2000 (Mar 8)? Hope the american hotdogs Clinton brought was well worth it for haoga reenter hijra naggers (well traniIT's nags, nags & then nags some more) to sellout the whole country.

 

[Saif]

পারমানবিক অস্ত্রে পাকিস্তানকে ছাড়িয়ে গেলো ভারত |

 

[Saif]

Bangladesh must consider establishing a nuclear treaty with Pakistan: Prof. Dr. Shahiduzzaman

 

[Saif]

Dhaka University professor spews anti-India hatred, calls for Nuclearisation of Bangladesh

Professor Shahiduzzaman called for a Nuclear Treaty with Pakistan to deter India, a nation that played the pivotal role in the birth of Bangladesh. | OpIndia News

www.opindia.com

“We will have to develop a Nuclear Treaty with Pakistan, Ghauri missiles can be deployed on broder”: Dhaka University professor calls for nuclearisation of Bangladesh ‘to deter India’

As Bangladesh is gravitating toward its arch-nemesis Pakistan, anti-India sentiments are on the rise after the fall of Sheikh Hasina government. New forces are emerging in Bangladesh calling for friendship with Pakistan and enmity with India. Amit this, a Professor at Dhaka University has now called for a Nuclear Treaty with Pakistan to deter India, a nation that played the pivotal role in the birth of Bangladesh.

Spewing hatred against India, Dhaka University Professor Shahiduzzaman said, ‘To change India’s habitual perception, the right answer would be for us to become a nuclear-capable, Nuclearisation of Bangladesh. Being nuclear nuclear-capable does not mean that we should become a nuclear power. By nuclear-capable, I mean that we should enter into a nuclear treaty with our former rival Pakistan.’

He said that without the technical assistance of Pakistan, India can’t be deterred. Professor Shahiduzzaman added, “Pakistan has always been Bangladesh’s most trusted security partner. But the Indians don’t want us to believe this. The Awami League wants us not to believe this. But this is the truth. Bangladesh should tilt towards Pakistan.”

He further added, “The Pakistanis have a jealous heart. They don’t want us to apologize. But they also don’t want us to stay with India. They are ready to do anything to protect us from India.”

Professor Shahiduzzaman also talked about acquiring nuclear missiles from Pakistan and deploying them along the border with India. He said that placing Pakistan’s Ghauri short-range missiles along North Bengal and in Chittagong Hill Tracts will have a deterrent effect on India.

He alleged that India wants to capture parts of Bangladesh and make it a part of the northeastern states, and the help of Pakistan in terms of a nuclear treaty and acquiring Pakistani missiles is needed to prevent this.

He made these remarks while addressing military officials at a seminar organised by retired military officers. During his address, while he dubbed Pakistan as a “reliable and trustworthy security ally of Bangladesh”, he called India a “big threat”.

The Dhaka Professor is notorious for making pro-Jamaat-e-Islami remarks.​

 

[Saif]

Bangladesh: Demand for Nuclear Treaty With Pakistan Creates Waves | Vantage with Palki Sharma

 

[Saif]

BILATERAL PACT: Pakistan, India conduct annual exchange of nuclear assets lists

Pakistan and India on Wednesday exchanged lists of their nuclear assets as part of a bilateral pact that bars them from attacking each other’s nuclear facilities...

www.newagebd.net

BILATERAL PACT: Pakistan, India conduct annual exchange of nuclear assets lists
United News of Bangladesh/AP . Islamabad 02 January, 2025, 00:46

Pakistan and India on Wednesday exchanged lists of their nuclear assets as part of a bilateral pact that bars them from attacking each other’s nuclear facilities.

The two sides exchange such lists on the first day of January every year.

In a statement on Wednesday, Pakistan’s ministry of foreign affairs said the lists were simultaneously handed over through their respective diplomats in Islamabad and New Delhi.

The exchange is part of the Prohibition of Attack against Nuclear Installations and Facilities pact, which was signed by the two countries in December 1988. It was implemented in January 1991.

Pakistan and India have had strained relations since their independence from colonial British rule in 1947 over the disputed Himalayan region of Kashmir. They have fought three wars, built up their armies and developed nuclear weapons.

India conducted its first nuclear test in 1974, with Pakistan carrying out its first test in 1988.​

 

[Saif]

Pakistan, India trade accusations on nuclear arsenal mismanagement

India and Pakistan accused each other on Thursday of failing to control their nuclear weapons, calling on the world to monitor their neighbour’s arsenal just days after their most serious military confrontation in two decades.

www.newagebd.net

Pakistan, India trade accusations on nuclear arsenal mismanagement
Agence France-Presse . Srinagar 16 May, 2025, 00:33

India and Pakistan accused each other on Thursday of failing to control their nuclear weapons, calling on the world to monitor their neighbour’s arsenal just days after their most serious military confrontation in two decades.

Indian defence minister Rajnath Singh said Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal should be under the surveillance of the UN’s atomic energy agency, while Islamabad said the international community should investigate a ‘black market’ in India.

India’s foreign minister said a key water treaty with Pakistan would remain suspend until Islamabad ends ‘cross-border terrorism’, days after the neighbours reached a ceasefire to end four days of fighting.

‘The Indus Waters Treaty is held in abeyance and will continue to be held in abeyance until the cross-border terrorism by Pakistan is credibly and irrevocably stopped,’ foreign minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said.

His counterpart in Pakistan, Ishaq Dar responded calling the treaty ‘a no-go area’.

‘The treaty can’t be amended, nor can it be terminated by any party unless both agree,’ he told parliament.

The latest conflict between India and Pakistan had sparked global concerns that it could spiral into a full-blown war before a ceasefire was brokered on Saturday.

‘I wanted to raise this question for the world: are nuclear weapons safe in the hands of a rogue and irresponsible nation?’ Singh told troops at a base in Indian-administered Kashmir.

‘I believe that Pakistan’s atomic weapons should be brought under the surveillance of the International Atomic Energy Agency,’ Singh added.

Hours later, Ishaq Dar said the IAEA should instead probe ‘the repeated theft and illicit trafficking incidents involving nuclear and radioactive material in India’.

‘These incidents also suggest the existence of a black market for sensitive, dual-use materials inside India,’ he added.

But on Thursday, Dar announced there had been ‘military to military communications’ and both sides had agreed to extend a ceasefire until Sunday, May 18.

Fighting began when India launched strikes on May 7 against what it called ‘terrorist camps’ in Pakistan following an April attack in Indian-administered Kashmir which killed 26 people.

New Delhi blamed Islamabad for backing the militants it claimed were behind the attack — the deadliest on civilians in Kashmir in decades. Pakistan denies the charge.

Four days of intense drone, missile and artillery exchanges ensued, leaving nearly 70 people, including dozens of civilians, dead on both sides.

Both India and Pakistan are nuclear powers and members of the IAEA, which regulates the use of nuclear weapons.

Pakistani ministers have repeatedly said the nuclear option was not on the table and that the country’s nuclear governmental body was not summoned at any point during the recent conflict.

Pakistani military spokesperson Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry told reporters on Sunday that escalating conflict between the nuclear rivals was ‘inconceivable and sheer stupidity’.

‘That conflict can lead to the peril of 1.6 billion people, so in reality there is no space for war between India and Pakistan,’ Chaudhry said.

Fearing further escalation, global leaders had urged restraint from the arch-enemies with US president Donald Trump announcing the surprise truce.

The ceasefire has held since the weekend, following initial claims of violations from both sides.

But Pakistan’s prime minister Shehbaz Sharif, in a call with UN chief Antonio Guterres on Wednesday, expressed ‘concerns over the continued provocative and inflammatory remarks by Indian leadership, as a threat to the fragile regional peace’.

Militants have stepped up operations on the Indian side of Kashmir since 2019, when Modi’s Hindu nationalist government revoked the region’s limited autonomy and imposed direct rule from New Delhi.

Police in Indian-administered Kashmir meanwhile said they killed three suspected militants on Thursday in the town of Tral, in Pulwama district south of Srinagar, the region’s main city.

Police also said three other suspected militants died in a gun battle with soldiers on Tuesday in the southern Kashmir valley.

Muslim-majority Kashmir is claimed in full by both India and Pakistan, which have fought several wars over the territory since their 1947 independence from British rule.​