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'Energy dominance agenda' and the catastrophic global warming
The new US 'reciprocal tariff' policy announced on April 2, 2025 has shaken the global trade systems and escalated tensions across the globe. It has been interpreted that the Trump administration wanted to increase US exports primarily to reduce the existing trade imbalances among the commodity exp
'Energy dominance agenda' and the catastrophic global warming
Mushfiqur Rahman
Published :
Apr 17, 2025 21:39
Updated :
Apr 17, 2025 21:39
The new US 'reciprocal tariff' policy announced on April 2, 2025 has shaken the global trade systems and escalated tensions across the globe. It has been interpreted that the Trump administration wanted to increase US exports primarily to reduce the existing trade imbalances among the commodity exporting countries and the USA.
The USA has been encouraging the increase of American export including the US energy export all over the world. Despite the sweeping package of imposed new tariff (President Trump's newly announced tariff has a minimum 10 per cent universal rate) on US imports, energy commodity imports received an exemption. Fossil fuel lobby groups in the USA had expressed their satisfaction and decided to welcome President Trumps' decision to exclude oil and natural gas from the new tariff. Within a short period of the President Trump's new import tariff policy announcement, globally fossil fuel prices started to decline (though the US new tariff policy would not apply directly to many oil and gas products). Demands for crude oil has been declining in the global market as the US exports increases and Chinese demands declining.
In the meantime, India and the USA have agreed to significantly increase the supply of oil and gas from the USA to the Indian market. At the end of the Indian Prime Minister Mr. Modi's US visit on February 14, 2025, it was stated that the US would be 'a leading supplier of crude oil and petroleum products and liquefied natural gas (LNG) to India'. Earlier international media reported that the Republic of Korea, the third largest LNG importing country of the world expressed its intention to buy more US oil and gas to reduce the existing trade surplus with the USA and improve energy security. Japan, the largest LNG importer of the world wanted to increase its LNG purchases from the USA to diversify its supply sources. Lorne Stockman, research director of the Oil Change International, a research and advocacy organisation for transition to clean energy suspected that the 'US seeks to either flood markets with cheap fossil fuels, or bully countries into buying more of its fossil fuels, or both.' It may be recalled that the USA is the largest oil and gas producer in the world. President Trump's 'drill, baby, drill' slogan is primarily aimed at ramping up fossil fuel extraction. AP report (February 15, 2025) suggests that the Trump administration announced the conditional export permission for a huge LNG project in Louisiana, USA (President Biden administration paused the project a year ago). President Trump has been encouraging for increased US energy productions, particularly fossil fuels and remove regulatory barriers that may slow down the increment. President Trump was delighted that the United States was blessed with 'liquid gold' and urged energy companies to sell more oil and gas to allies in Europe and around the world. As per published reports, President Trump stated 'we are going to make more money than anybody has ever made with energy.' He further explained, 'We're lucky to have it. I call it liquid gold under our feet. And we're going to utilise it.'
The shale fracking technological revolution helped the United States significantly increase natural gas and LNG productions in the mid-2000s. Natural gas productions in the USA surged dramatically and climbed 50 per cent from 2005 to 2015 and oil production doubled during 2009 to 2019. This production boom in the domestic market helped the Trump administration to promote 'energy dominance' agenda for the USA. The said agenda emphasised expanded fossil fuel production, deregulation and the use of US energy exports for 'economic strength and geopolitical leverage'. President Trump's 'energy dominance' strategy inadvertently would boost global oil and gas supply. Trump administration hopes that the USA's increased exports of oil and gas (and LNG) will reduce OPEC+'s groups bargaining power. It will help the USA 'to reshape global energy geopolitics and shifting US energy policy from dependency to strategic power.'
Trump administration has notified the United Nations of its withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement. 'The Guardian' reports (March 10, 2025) that Mr. Chris Wright, the US energy secretary stated that 'the Trump administration will end the Biden administration's irrational, quasi-religious policies on climate change that imposed endless sacrifices on our citizens.' He further stated that 'the Trump administration will treat climate change for what it is, global physical phenomenon that is a side-effect of building the modern world.' He added, 'everything in life involves trade off,'
Inevitable consequences of President Trump's energy dominance policy will be the weakening of the global efforts to 'transition away from carbon intensive energy'. Environmental rollbacks could delay the transition to clean energy solutions, net zero target achievements. Climate experts have been raising alarm that delaying actions to limit global warming would make the problem 'more dangerous and harder to solve'. If the world increases fossil fuel use including in the USA, the rate of global warming will move to the wrong direction. Already President Trump's 'drill, baby, drill' pledge is attracting other countries to reciprocate. As an example, Indonesia has hinted that it may follow the suit of the US administration policy. As reported by the news agency 'Antara', the Indonesian special envoy for climate change Mr. Hashim Djojohadikusumo raised question, 'if the United States does not want to comply with international agreement, why should a country like Indonesia comply with it?' It may be mentioned that the per capita production of carbon in Indonesia is three tons while in the USA it is 13 tons.
The energy dominance doctrine of the US administration may attract investment to increase fossil fuel energy and create job opportunity for Americans. However, it will further escalate climate change induced sufferings for the world, primarily for the most vulnerable nations.
Mushfiqur Rahman is a mining engineer. He writes on energy and environment issues.
Mushfiqur Rahman
Published :
Apr 17, 2025 21:39
Updated :
Apr 17, 2025 21:39
The new US 'reciprocal tariff' policy announced on April 2, 2025 has shaken the global trade systems and escalated tensions across the globe. It has been interpreted that the Trump administration wanted to increase US exports primarily to reduce the existing trade imbalances among the commodity exporting countries and the USA.
The USA has been encouraging the increase of American export including the US energy export all over the world. Despite the sweeping package of imposed new tariff (President Trump's newly announced tariff has a minimum 10 per cent universal rate) on US imports, energy commodity imports received an exemption. Fossil fuel lobby groups in the USA had expressed their satisfaction and decided to welcome President Trumps' decision to exclude oil and natural gas from the new tariff. Within a short period of the President Trump's new import tariff policy announcement, globally fossil fuel prices started to decline (though the US new tariff policy would not apply directly to many oil and gas products). Demands for crude oil has been declining in the global market as the US exports increases and Chinese demands declining.
In the meantime, India and the USA have agreed to significantly increase the supply of oil and gas from the USA to the Indian market. At the end of the Indian Prime Minister Mr. Modi's US visit on February 14, 2025, it was stated that the US would be 'a leading supplier of crude oil and petroleum products and liquefied natural gas (LNG) to India'. Earlier international media reported that the Republic of Korea, the third largest LNG importing country of the world expressed its intention to buy more US oil and gas to reduce the existing trade surplus with the USA and improve energy security. Japan, the largest LNG importer of the world wanted to increase its LNG purchases from the USA to diversify its supply sources. Lorne Stockman, research director of the Oil Change International, a research and advocacy organisation for transition to clean energy suspected that the 'US seeks to either flood markets with cheap fossil fuels, or bully countries into buying more of its fossil fuels, or both.' It may be recalled that the USA is the largest oil and gas producer in the world. President Trump's 'drill, baby, drill' slogan is primarily aimed at ramping up fossil fuel extraction. AP report (February 15, 2025) suggests that the Trump administration announced the conditional export permission for a huge LNG project in Louisiana, USA (President Biden administration paused the project a year ago). President Trump has been encouraging for increased US energy productions, particularly fossil fuels and remove regulatory barriers that may slow down the increment. President Trump was delighted that the United States was blessed with 'liquid gold' and urged energy companies to sell more oil and gas to allies in Europe and around the world. As per published reports, President Trump stated 'we are going to make more money than anybody has ever made with energy.' He further explained, 'We're lucky to have it. I call it liquid gold under our feet. And we're going to utilise it.'
The shale fracking technological revolution helped the United States significantly increase natural gas and LNG productions in the mid-2000s. Natural gas productions in the USA surged dramatically and climbed 50 per cent from 2005 to 2015 and oil production doubled during 2009 to 2019. This production boom in the domestic market helped the Trump administration to promote 'energy dominance' agenda for the USA. The said agenda emphasised expanded fossil fuel production, deregulation and the use of US energy exports for 'economic strength and geopolitical leverage'. President Trump's 'energy dominance' strategy inadvertently would boost global oil and gas supply. Trump administration hopes that the USA's increased exports of oil and gas (and LNG) will reduce OPEC+'s groups bargaining power. It will help the USA 'to reshape global energy geopolitics and shifting US energy policy from dependency to strategic power.'
Trump administration has notified the United Nations of its withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement. 'The Guardian' reports (March 10, 2025) that Mr. Chris Wright, the US energy secretary stated that 'the Trump administration will end the Biden administration's irrational, quasi-religious policies on climate change that imposed endless sacrifices on our citizens.' He further stated that 'the Trump administration will treat climate change for what it is, global physical phenomenon that is a side-effect of building the modern world.' He added, 'everything in life involves trade off,'
Inevitable consequences of President Trump's energy dominance policy will be the weakening of the global efforts to 'transition away from carbon intensive energy'. Environmental rollbacks could delay the transition to clean energy solutions, net zero target achievements. Climate experts have been raising alarm that delaying actions to limit global warming would make the problem 'more dangerous and harder to solve'. If the world increases fossil fuel use including in the USA, the rate of global warming will move to the wrong direction. Already President Trump's 'drill, baby, drill' pledge is attracting other countries to reciprocate. As an example, Indonesia has hinted that it may follow the suit of the US administration policy. As reported by the news agency 'Antara', the Indonesian special envoy for climate change Mr. Hashim Djojohadikusumo raised question, 'if the United States does not want to comply with international agreement, why should a country like Indonesia comply with it?' It may be mentioned that the per capita production of carbon in Indonesia is three tons while in the USA it is 13 tons.
The energy dominance doctrine of the US administration may attract investment to increase fossil fuel energy and create job opportunity for Americans. However, it will further escalate climate change induced sufferings for the world, primarily for the most vulnerable nations.
Mushfiqur Rahman is a mining engineer. He writes on energy and environment issues.