[🇧🇩] India's Water Terrorism Against Bangladesh

[🇧🇩] India's Water Terrorism Against Bangladesh
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G Bangladesh Defense

Padma turns into vast sandbars
Suzon Ali . Rajshahi 20 May, 2026, 00:34

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Boats stay tied at sandbars as the Padma River turns into a vast expanse of sandbars during the dry season. | New Age photo

The Padma River, once the lifeline of northwestern Bangladesh, is increasingly turning into a vast expanse of sandbars during the dry season, posing fears of ecological degradation, desertification, and growing economic hardship throughout the river basin.

Across large parts of Rajshahi, Chapainawabganj, and adjoining districts, the transboundary river that once sustained agriculture, fisheries, navigation, and river-oriented culture has now become fragmented into shallow channels surrounded by expanding char lands for much of the year.

According to scientists, environmentalists, and local people, the rapidly declining flow and excessive sedimentation over the years have shrunk the Padma, transforming large parts of the Barind region into drought-prone landscapes.Health & Wellness

A study published in the United Kingdom-based journal Geography and Environment this year found that the number of water bodies across the Padma floodplain had declined sharply from 1,706.97 square kilometres in 1990 to 1,072.74 square kilometres in 2023.

The study, carried out across Rajshahi, Chapainawabganj, Natore, Kushtia, Rajbari, and Pabna districts by researchers from Bangladesh Agricultural University, identified sediment accumulation and changing river behaviour as major reasons behind the shrinking water area.

Another study, published in the Netherlands-based journal Global and Earth Surface Processes Change this March, found that sandbar areas across the Padma River more than doubled to 768.029 square kilometres in 2020 from 311.45 square kilometres in 1976.

Using satellite images covering nearly 300 kilometres of the river system, researchers from Dhaka University observed extensive river widening, intensified erosion, and a sharp increase in sandbar formation over the decades.

The studies identified the Farakka Barrage upstream in India as one of the major reasons behind the crisis facing the Padma and the river system in Bangladesh stemming from it.Expat Community Forum

An analysis of hydrological data from the Bangladesh Water Development Board over the past five years shows that the average dry-season flow between January and May declined from 2,093 cubic metres per second in 2020 to 1,116 cubic metres per second in 2025.

Before the opening of the Farakka Barrage, located about 18 kilometres upstream of the Bangladesh border, the Padma carried an average flow of 3,685 cubic metres per second in 1974.

Along the Rajshahi riverfront, vast stretches of exposed sand land now dominate areas that were navigable even a decade ago.

Boatmen said that many channels had become too shallow for the movement of river vessels during the winter, while fishermen complained that native fish species were rapidly disappearing because of low water depth and the destruction of breeding grounds.

Abdul Majid, a fisherman from Rajshahi city’s T-Groyen area, said that the river had changed dramatically over the years.

‘There was a time when the Padma remained full of water throughout the year. We used to catch native species such as boal, pabda, and baghair in plenty. But now the river looks more like a sand field. The fish species have declined sharply as the river lost its depth and flow,’ he said.

Another study published in 2023 found that one-third of the native fish species recorded in the Padma in 1982 vanished as researchers found only 77 out of the 133 fish species during a survey covering the period from 2007 to 2017 due to the reduction in the river’s permanent area, water flow, and depth.

A group of seven researchers from Bangladesh, Australia, and the United Kingdom implemented the study titled ‘Fish diversity decline in the lower Gangetic plains: a victim of multiple stressors’ with support from Rajshahi University and the University Grants Commission of Bangladesh.

The study findings were published in the Netherlands-based journal ‘Biodiversity and Conservation’ in January 2023.

The researchers had investigated the response of the fish fauna to hydrological, climate, and anthropogenic factors in the lower Ganges River, Bangladesh.

The study covered a 70-kilometre area from Godagari in Rajshahi to Sarada in Charghat upazila. Fish species were collected at nine points in the area.

Environmental activists warned that the shrinking Padma was accelerating ecological stress across northwestern Bangladesh.

Rajshahi-based river and environment activist Enamul Haque said that many distributary rivers connected to the Padma had already died or become heavily silted.

‘Rajshahi is gradually moving towards desertification. The Padma is losing its natural character, while connected rivers are disappearing because of the reduced flow and sedimentation,’ he said.

The declining surface water in the Padma basin is also intensifying the groundwater crisis in the drought-prone Barind region.

In many villages across Rajshahi and Chapainawabganj, residents now depend heavily on deep tube wells while shallow tube wells have already become useless due to the declining water tables, forcing farmers to rely on costly deep irrigation systems for boro cultivation.

Mizanur Rahman, a professor of geography and environmental studies at Rajshahi University, said that groundwater conditions in the Barind region were becoming increasingly critical because of poor recharge, excessive irrigation, and declining river flow.

‘Huge amounts of groundwater are flowing from aquifers towards the river basin due to the poor river flow, while over-extraction of ground water for irrigation during the dry season is worsening the crisis,’ he said.

He warned that continued shrinking of the Padma would intensify the pressure on groundwater, biodiversity, and agriculture across the region.

Earlier, on November 6, 2025, the government prohibited groundwater extraction in 4,911 mouzas across Rajshahi, Naogaon, Chapainawabganj, and Natore districts except for drinking purposes.

Environmentalists said that wetlands, migratory birds and aquatic ecosystems dependent on the Padma were already under severe strain because of shrinking water bodies and habitat loss.

Anthropologist Shahidul Islam said that the broader ecological and cultural impacts on the Barind region were largely ignored.

He said that the Barind tract, known for its distinct geography and heritage, had gradually lost many of its traditional characteristics over the past five decades because of water scarcity and policy failures.

Experts stressed the need for integrated river management, restoration of the upstream flow, scientific dredging, and stronger regional cooperation over transboundary rivers to save the Padma and its dependent ecosystems before the damage becomes irreversible.​
 

Govt to build both Padma, Teesta barrages to tackle water crisis, climate risks: PM

Published :
May 20, 2026 18:33
Updated :
May 20, 2026 20:41

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Prime Minister Tarique Rahman on Wednesday announced that the government will implement both the Padma and Teesta barrage projects to address water shortages, protect agriculture and reduce climate-related risks.

“Today, before all of you, I want to make one thing clear – InshaAllah, this BNP government will begin work on the Padma Barrage and also on the Teesta Barrage,” he said, UNB reports.

Tarique Rahman, also the Chairman of the ruling BNP, made the announcement while speaking at a civic gathering after laying the foundation stone of the National Institute of Disaster Management Research and Training at Sataish Chowrasta in Gazipur city.

Referring to some political parties, which he did not name, the Prime Minister said BNP has taken practical steps over the Teesta issue, while others only made big statements and promises.

He said Disaster Management and Relief Minister Asadul Habib Dulu led BNP programmes on the Teesta issue in a way no other political party in Bangladesh has done.

“Others may have made strong speeches and big statements. But if anyone has done the work, delivered results and created the ground for action, it is BNP. InshaAllah, BNP will do it,” Tarique Rahman added.

Explaining why the Padma Barrage is necessary, he said the government recently decided to build a barrage on the mighty river, especially for the benefit of the northern and southern regions, including Rajshahi.

The Prime Minister said water flow in the Padma decreases during the dry season as India withdraws water upstream through barrages along the border, creating serious environmental and agricultural problems in Bangladesh.

“As a result, during the dry season, we are getting less water. The river flow is decreasing, and many problems are being created. Areas around the river are gradually drying up. When we were young, we saw the Padma full of water all around. Now the river has much less water. That is why we want to build the Padma Barrage,” he said.

Tarique Rahman said the barrage will help ensure water supply for farmers and people across the country during both the monsoon and dry seasons.

He also said reduced water flow caused by the Farakka Barrage is allowing saline sea water to move further into the southern region.

The Prime Minister voiced concern that trees are being damaged and different species of animals are disappearing in the Sundarbans and nearby areas because of rising salinity.

“So, if we want to tackle this situation, we have to build the barrage and store water there. We will be able to preserve excess monsoon water and use it later for people and for different purposes,” he said.

Speaking about climate change, Tarique Rahman said weather patterns in Bangladesh have changed noticeably over the years.

“It feels very hot these days, does not it? I clearly remember that when we were in school, especially in classes III, IV and V, we did not complain so much about the heat. It was not this hot at that time,” he said.

While living abroad for many years, the Prime Minister said, while speaking with people in Bangladesh during winter through online meetings, he noticed that many were not even wearing heavy winter clothes.

“Many people used to say there was hardly any winter even in December and January. I clearly remember that when we were in school and rehearsed for programmes on March 26, we used to wear sweaters because it was cold,” he said, recalling his childhood days.

Tarique Rahman said these changes show that the country’s climate and weather patterns are changing. “Today, we are here to discuss exactly this issue.”

On his way to the venue, the Prime Minister said he noticed a large boat lying on sand and felt that the area probably had a river or water body around 20 to 25 years ago.

He said Bangladesh must pay greater attention to environmental protection as population growth continues and land is shrinking.

Referring to the Rohingya camps in Cox’s Bazar, Tarique Rahman said thousands of trees were felled to build temporary shelters for displaced Myanmar nationals.

He also mentioned a proposed beach road from Cox’s Bazar to Ukhiya that would require cutting around 3,000 trees.

After reading a report on the issue, the Prime Minister said, he immediately contacted the minister concerned and asked whether the road design could be changed to save the trees.

“These trees cannot be cut. They can decide what steps to take, but the trees must not be cut,” he said, referring to his instructions to Road Transport and Bridges Minister Shaikh Rabiul Alam.

Tarique Rahman said natural disasters cannot be stopped or controlled by humans, but people can be made more aware and prepared to reduce damage and save lives.

“Bangladesh is both a disaster-prone and densely populated country. Even a small disaster causes damage to people, crops and livestock,” he said.

The Prime Minister said one of the main goals of the new institute in Gazipur will be to conduct research on climate change and find ways to deal with disasters such as earthquakes and tidal surges while protecting people and resources.

He also stressed the importance of canal excavation programmes for conserving water during the dry season.

“Canal excavation is closely linked to people’s lives and agriculture. We must continue these programmes in any way possible,” Tarique Rahman said.

Calling for greater public awareness, he urged people to protect the environment, plant trees, and reduce wasting of water.

“Since we cannot stop disasters, we must learn how to protect people and resources, how to reduce damage, and how to protect ourselves and others. Let that be our pledge today,” the Prime Minister said.

He said Bangladesh is still a poor country with limited resources, and those resources must be protected and properly used for the welfare of the people.

“If resources are destroyed because of our negligence or lack of awareness, people will suffer more,” he said.

Earlier, the Prime Minister laid the foundation stone of the National Institute of Disaster Management Research and Training building.

The programme was chaired by Disaster Management and Relief Minister Asadul Habib Dulu.

State Minister M Iqbal Hossain, Secretary Md Saidur Rahman Khan and Director General of the Department of Disaster Management Razwanur Rahman also spoke at the event.

Minister Dulu and Gazipur’s Deputy Commissioner Md Nurul Karim Bhuiyan separately presented commemorative gifts to the Prime Minister.

Defence Adviser to the Prime Minister Brig Gen (retd) AKM Shamsul Islam, Manjurul Karim Roni, MP, Gazipur City Corporation Administrator Md Shawkat Hossain Sarkar and senior government officials were also present.​
 

Padma Barrage could create another dry, exposed riverbed like the Teesta project

Khairul Hassan Jahin


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Eminent water expert Md. Khalequzzaman, PhD, professor of geology and oceanography at Commonwealth University of Pennsylvania, speaks to Khairul Hassan Jahin of The Daily Star about why the proposed Padma Barrage may deepen Bangladesh’s sediment, water, and ecological crises rather than resolve them.

How do you assess the proposed Padma Barrage project?

Its original name was the Ganges Barrage, which is more appropriate because the river is known as the Ganges up to Daulatdia. Calling it the Padma Barrage may create the impression that we are overlooking Bangladesh’s fair share of Ganges water under the Ganges Water Sharing Treaty.

For a delta to survive, maintain its landmass, and continue advancing towards the sea, sediment deposition in coastal areas is essential. If sediment deposition declines, the delta becomes more vulnerable, especially as sea levels continue to rise. In that sense, there is no alternative to sedimentation. In the 1960s, Bangladesh received roughly 200 crore tonnes of sediment annually through all its major rivers combined. Today, that figure has fallen to below 100 crore tonnes; or, as some studies suggest, 60-70 crore tonnes. The main reason is upstream intervention.

Studies suggest that a large share of sediment has been retained behind the Farakka Barrage since its construction. If another barrage is built on the Padma at Pangsha in Rajbari, a significant portion of the sediment that still enters Bangladesh during the monsoon could also be trapped.

At present, the Ganges brings an estimated 40-60 crore tonnes of sediment into Bangladesh each year. Much of it moves through the Meghna system towards the estuary; some is deposited on coastal floodplains, while the rest is carried into the sea. If another barrage is constructed, the downstream sediment supply will decline further, and more of that sediment will accumulate upstream and around the barrage itself.

The Farakka experience is instructive. Research by SANDRP and Kalyan Rudra, chairman of West Bengal Pollution Control Board, found that Farakka trapping 30-60 crore tonnes of sediment annually has reduced the river’s capacity to carry water and intensified waterlogging, flooding, and erosion. Around 40,000 families in Malda have reportedly been affected. Downstream, in Murshidabad, water scarcity is common, yet when large volumes are released, erosion intensifies. Roughly 100 square kilometres of land have been lost, and around 50,000 homes have reportedly been destroyed.

These may appear to be India’s problems, but they are highly relevant to us. Many Indian scientists, hydrologists, and environmentalists have concluded that Farakka was a fundamentally flawed decision. Movements in West Bengal and Bihar have demanded its removal for the damage within India. That experience should be taken seriously before Bangladesh considers another barrage on the same river system.

Given the uncertainty surrounding dry-season water availability from upstream and the upcoming expiry of the Ganges Water Sharing Treaty in 2026, how viable is the Padma Barrage project for Bangladesh?

I think this is a highly premature and poorly considered decision. Because of the Farakka Barrage, Bangladesh does not receive adequate water during the dry season. Even after the treaty was signed, we have not consistently received our rightful share. A study I was part of examined 20 years of data. Despite the treaty, Bangladesh did not receive its fair share of water 52 percent of the time. During the most critical period, Bangladesh failed to receive its rightful share nearly 65 percent of the time.

The central flaw of the current treaty is its lack of a minimum water guarantee. Under the agreement, if the flow at Farakka drops below 70,000 cusecs, the available water is simply split in half. For example, if the flow dwindles to 50,000 cusecs, Bangladesh receives only 25,000 cusecs instead of its anticipated 35,000, leaving the country to absorb the deficit caused by upstream shortages.

In my view, discussions on the Padma Barrage should be put on hold. Bangladesh’s priority should be to renew the Ganges Treaty in a stronger form, with a guarantee clause of the kind that existed in the 1977 agreement, but is absent from the current treaty. The next treaty should be more robust and, if possible, cover all 12 months rather than just the five dry-season months. Climate change is altering rainfall patterns, river flows, and water availability. We therefore need a basin-wide agreement that ensures an appropriate volume of dry-season flow at Farakka.

The Ganges Basin also includes Nepal. If we want a scientifically grounded agreement, it should be basin-based, year-round, include Nepal, and guarantee a minimum dry-season flow. It should also address sediment, not just water, and specify how sediment will be passed downstream. The treaty should further require India to notify Bangladesh about any new upstream diversionary structures beyond Farakka. Bangladesh should first see where the treaty negotiations are heading. Only then can we estimate how much water will actually be available and discuss how to manage it.

What lessons does the Teesta Barrage experience offer for the proposed Padma Barrage, and how realistic are its claims regarding irrigation, navigation, and water management?

If we take the Teesta Barrage as a lesson, then a Ganges or Padma Barrage is not a sound decision unless we first know exactly how much water will come from India in each season, and unless that flow is guaranteed.

The Ganges-dependent areas of Bangladesh are concentrated mainly in the southwest, which accounts for around 37 percent of the country’s land area and is already under severe stress. Salinity is increasing in the Sundarbans, in the Ganges-Kobadak Project area, and in waterlogged regions such as Bhabadah. Our concern is legitimate. But the Padma Barrage is not the right response.

The project plans to store roughly 3 billion cubic metres (BCM) of water. However, when you consider that the Padma River brings an enormous 350 to 525 BCM of water into Bangladesh every year, that 3 BCM storage capacity is basically a drop in the bucket. Additionally, a single day’s flood flow can be twice the amount of water the barrage is expected to store over three months.

One of the key claims is that the barrage will provide irrigation to 19 lakh hectares of land. But my calculations suggest that irrigating that area would require 9-26 BCM of water. Yet the project claims that irrigation water for the entire area can be provided by the barrage. That is misleading. Even partial irrigation would consume far more water than the proposed storage can realistically support. And if 100 percent of the stored water is used for irrigation, nothing would remain for environmental flow, fisheries, or navigation.

The proposal also claims that the barrage will increase navigability, expand irrigation, and reduce salinity. But there is no credible basis for claiming that enough water would remain to enhance navigability.

The Padma already receives inadequate water in the dry season, even under an existing treaty. In the Teesta, where there is no treaty at all, water barely arrives. Downstream of the proposed barrage at Pangsha, another 20-23 kilometres of river remain before Goalanda. If every available drop is retained behind the barrage, that stretch could fall under a kind of “double Farakka” condition. Without a strong treaty and a guarantee clause, a Padma Barrage could create another dry, exposed riverbed like the Teesta project. A barrage cannot create water.

Instead of pursuing megaprojects like the Padma Barrage, what kind of water management strategy should Bangladesh adopt to protect its long-term water and ecological security?

Bangladesh should accede to the UN Watercourses Convention and ratify it through parliament. That would strengthen our legal and diplomatic position regarding international rivers. Other basin countries—such as India, Nepal, and, in the case of the Brahmaputra, China—would also need to join and accept it as a framework for dispute resolution. India may not sign. Even so, Bangladesh should. By doing so, we can tell the international community that we adhere to the prevailing principles of international water law, and we expect support in protecting our rights. This would strengthen Bangladesh’s claims to all its international rivers. Even if others do not sign immediately, Bangladesh’s standing in international forums would improve. The convention should be used as a strategic tool.

As for the alternative to the Padma Barrage, we must treat the issue on a basin-wide scale. All countries in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna basin need to move towards integrated river basin management. What happens upstream directly affects downstream regions. This is why coordinated basin-level water governance is essential.

Hydro-diplomacy must become a central pillar of Bangladesh’s foreign policy. Bangladesh has strategic value to India in terms of security, regional stability, connectivity, and transit. Water and sediment are essential for Bangladesh. Our rights in international rivers are not charity or requests; they are rights.

We can also do a great deal domestically. The Padma Barrage proposal includes dredging components totalling about 381 kilometres—roughly 135 kilometres in the Gorai-Madhumati system and 246 kilometres in the Hisna-Mathabhanga system. This should be pursued seriously, alongside dredging in coastal rivers to increase water-carrying and water-holding capacity.

Abandoned canals, silted-up channels, and encroached waterways must also be restored. Dredged material should be treated as a resource for raising low-lying coastal land, reclaiming degraded areas, or producing construction materials.

Instead of retaining all available water behind a Padma Barrage, we should focus on the smaller distributaries and branch rivers in the southwest. Many have silted up, and many polders have caused persistent waterlogging. Some of those polders could be converted into eight-month embankments, allowing water and sediment to enter for part of the year while still providing seasonal protection.

At the same time, rivers, canals, and wetlands must be restored so that their flow, carrying, and storage capacities all improve. If we recover canals, rivers, and floodplains; dredge them properly; use sediment productively; and increase natural retention across the landscape, many of the underlying problems can be addressed far more sustainably.

We should also revisit basin-wide storage options in Nepal. In the Koshi basin, cooperative reservoir projects could store water for dry-season release, support irrigation in India and Nepal, and increase dry-season flows into the Ganges.

The Padma Barrage proposal also suggests generating around 76 megawatts of hydropower. I do not find that persuasive. Farakka is far upstream, where the gradient is much steeper, yet it has not produced meaningful hydropower. This electricity shortfall could be addressed far more safely through solar power, including in rural areas, and through wind energy.

Rivers should not be treated in fragmented, project-by-project terms. They must be understood within a broader framework of integrated development and basin-wide water governance. Bangladesh must improve internal river management, prevent encroachment and pollution, restore navigability, and expand natural water-storage capacity. If we address these issues together rather than through isolated megaprojects, many of the problems can be tackled far more effectively.​
 

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