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[🇧🇩] LDC Graduation For Bangladesh

[🇧🇩] LDC Graduation For Bangladesh
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LDC graduation and unfinished business of clean energy

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AS BANGLADESH marks the International Day of Clean Energy this January, the observance arrives at a moment of unusual historical weight. In November this year, the country is set to graduate from the United Nations’ list of Least Developed Countries. This transition is widely framed as a marker of success — a recognition of economic growth, improved infrastructure and rising industrial capacity. Yet the symbolism of graduation sits uneasily beside a less comfortable reality: Bangladesh is entering its post-LDC era just as the global energy system undergoes its most disruptive transformation in a century.Bangladesh travel guides

For decades, development in Bangladesh meant access — roads where there were none, electricity where darkness prevailed, power generation by whatever means could meet immediate demand. That logic is no longer sufficient. In an era defined by climate crisis, volatile fuel markets and diminishing concessional finance, development is no longer about whether power exists, but whether it can be sustained — economically, environmentally and politically. Bangladesh’s energy choices in the years immediately following graduation will determine whether growth remains resilient or becomes dangerously brittle.

The country’s energy landscape in early 2026 reflects both progress and constraint. Renewable energy remains a modest share of total generation, but its composition has evolved. Solar power dominates the green portfolio, driven by a mix of utility-scale projects and decentralised systems that continue to serve off-grid and hard-to-reach communities. Wind energy, long dismissed as unviable, has begun to register meaningfully following the operation of the Cox’s Bazar wind project, challenging earlier assumptions about Bangladesh’s wind profile. Hydropower, however, remains limited domestically, constrained by geography and the ecological costs associated with large dams.

More consequential than any single domestic project is the quiet shift now under way beyond Bangladesh’s borders. Electricity imported from Nepal’s hydropower plants through regional grid arrangements has introduced a new dimension to national energy planning. This development is not merely symbolic. For a land-scarce delta struggling to balance agriculture, settlement and energy infrastructure, access to clean baseload power generated elsewhere offers a rare structural advantage. Regional power trade, once discussed largely in theory, has begun to materialise as a practical tool for decarbonisation and energy security.

Yet the broader policy environment remains conflicted. The Integrated Energy and Power Master Plan, backed by international development partners, reflects a pragmatic but contested attempt to navigate uncertainty. By expanding the definition of ‘clean energy’ to include technologies such as ammonia co-firing, hydrogen and carbon capture, the plan leaves room for continued reliance on fossil fuels under the banner of technological transition. Critics are right to question whether this framing risks locking Bangladesh into expensive and unproven pathways while delaying a decisive break from imported coal and LNG. The reluctance to retire fuel-oil plants, often justified by grid instability and storage limitations, further underscores the tension between ambition and execution.

These tensions are not abstract. They manifest in three structural challenges that now define Bangladesh’s clean energy transition. The first is land. As one of the world’s most densely populated countries, Bangladesh cannot treat land as an expendable input for energy projects. Large-scale solar parks increasingly compete with agriculture, triggering resistance and project delays. This is not a technical failure but a political one: food security and energy security are being placed in false opposition. The more viable path lies above ground rather than across it. Rooftop solar, particularly in industrial zones, and agrivoltaic models that allow farming and power generation to coexist are no longer optional innovations; they are necessities. If renewable targets are to be met, they will be realised through dispersed infrastructure, not land-intensive megaprojects.Bangladesh travel guides

The second challenge is the grid itself. Bangladesh’s transmission system was designed for a different era — one dominated by centralised, predictable generation. Renewable energy disrupts that logic. Solar and wind fluctuate; grids must respond dynamically. Without significant investment in grid modernisation, digital management systems and battery storage, scaling up renewables carries real operational risk. This is not an argument against clean energy, but a warning against treating generation targets as sufficient in isolation. The transition will fail if infrastructure reform lags behind capacity expansion.

The third, and perhaps most politically sensitive, challenge is finance. Graduation from LDC status narrows access to concessional lending at precisely the moment when capital needs are rising. Clean energy is capital-intensive, front-loaded and increasingly exposed to currency volatility. As cheap finance recedes, Bangladesh must compete for private investment in a crowded global market. This reality exposes a deeper vulnerability: green transitions are not only technological shifts but credit-dependent processes. Without credible financing instruments — including well-designed green bonds and risk-sharing mechanisms — ambition will remain rhetorical.

Navigating this terrain requires a recalibration of priorities. Regional energy connectivity must move from experimentation to strategy. Power imports from Nepal and, potentially, Bhutan offer scale without land conflict and stability without emissions. Solarisation of agriculture presents another immediate opportunity. Replacing diesel-driven irrigation pumps with solar alternatives reduces fuel imports, lowers farmer costs and delivers emissions reductions without new grid strain. These are not long-term visions but implementable interventions.

The ready-made garment sector, often criticised for its environmental footprint, also holds untapped potential. Bangladesh’s dominance in green-certified factories positions it uniquely to attract climate-linked investment. As global brands push for decarbonised supply chains, renewable energy infrastructure can become a competitive asset rather than a regulatory burden — provided policy frameworks actively support this shift.

Even nuclear power, contentious as it remains, cannot be dismissed from the conversation. In a system constrained by land and intermittency, the Rooppur plant will play a central role in reducing reliance on coal-based baseload generation. The challenge lies not in whether nuclear fits into the mix, but in ensuring that its costs, safety oversight and long-term waste management are addressed transparently rather than absorbed silently by the public.

Underlying all these debates is a broader question of justice. Bangladesh has contributed a negligible share of historical global emissions, yet it faces some of the harshest climate impacts. The clean energy transition here is not a moral exercise in global responsibility; it is a matter of national survival. It concerns the easy-bike driver dependent on stable charging, the factory worker whose livelihood hinges on uninterrupted power and the farmer whose harvest depends on affordable irrigation.

Graduation from the LDC category should not be mistaken for the end of vulnerability. It marks the beginning of a more exposed phase, where policy missteps carry higher costs and safety nets grow thinner. Bangladesh’s clean energy transition will not be judged by declarations or targets, but by whether it can deliver reliable power without deepening inequality or dependency. The turbines turning on the coast and the electricity flowing from Himalayan rivers signal possibility, but possibility alone does not guarantee progress. What comes after graduation will depend on whether energy policy confronts constraint honestly, or continues to disguise it as ambition.

James Rana Baidaya is a humanitarian and social development worker.​
 
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LDC GRADUATION
Country not yet ready to absorb aftershocks
Key sectors like banking-finance, manufacturing see looming challenges, stakeholders forewarn


FE REPORT
Published :
Jan 28, 2026 00:43
Updated :
Jan 28, 2026 00:43

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Bangladesh Bank Governor Dr Ahsan H Mansur speaks at a roundtable titled "Implications of LDC Graduation for the Banking Industry: Bangladesh Perspective," organised by the International Chamber of Commerce Bangladesh (ICCB) at a city hotel on Tuesday. ICCB President Mahbubur Rahman moderated the event. — FE Photo

Bangladesh is not yet fully prepared to absorb the aftershocks from least-developed country (LDC) graduation with key sectors like banking and finance and manufacturing staring at significant challenges looming large.

Economists, business leaders and experts came up with such forewarning at a roundtable discussion Tuesday, as the cutoff time for UN certification for the country's status change keeps nearing now.

They said following the graduation set for November 2026, such sectors would face difficulties adjusting the loss of preferential treatment and increased competitive pressure on the global market.

They have cautioned that without swift reforms along with adequate preparation, the transition could strain the financial system and undermine economic stability.


The speakers, mostly bankers, representatives of financial institutions and corporate executives, were speaking at the roundtable titled 'Implications of LDC Graduation for the Banking Industry: Bangladesh Perspective', organised by the International Chamber of Commerce Bangladesh (ICCB) at a city hotel.

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.President the ICCB Mahbubur Rahman moderated discussions and shared the concerns raised at the meet.

Bangladesh Bank Governor Dr Ahsan H. Mansur attended it as chief guest while Dr Shah Md Ahsan Habib of Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management presented the keynote.

The speakers said the policymakers must now focus on enhancing competitiveness, strengthening institutional capacity and diversifying its export basket to navigate the post-LDC environment successfully.

While speaking as chief guest, the central bank governor said Bangladesh's development trajectory and its graduation from LDC status were closely linked and should be viewed as complementary processes.

"Bangladesh's development and LDC graduation go hand in hand," said Dr Mansur, urging the relevant stakeholders to look ahead and focus on long-term structural reforms and ensure sustainability.


He stressed the need for raising efficiency across the economy, improving logistics, strengthening road and port infrastructures, and investing more in education and healthcare.

Development partners, he mentions, have already been treating Bangladesh as a developing country since 2015.

The governor also underscores the importance of restoring macroeconomic stability, particularly by curbing inflation and lowering the rate of interest.

Bangladesh has historically experienced inflation in the range of 6.0-7.0 per cent, the central bank's chief executive said, but stressed that it must be brought down to 2.0-3.0 per cent to support sustainable growth.

"Inflation expectations have now become a key barrier…Local policy focus should centre on reducing inflation and borrowing costs," he told the audience.

Dr Mansur said Bangladesh could improve efficiency by as much as 30 per cent through better policy coordination and reforms.

The interim government, he mentions, has already passed several reforms, including promulgating the Bank Resolution Ordinance 2025, though some measures remain pending and are necessary to further stabilise and strengthen the financial sector.

Managing Director and CEO of Mutual Trust Bank PLC Syed Mahbubur Rahman, Managing Director and CEO of Prime Bank PLC Hassan O. Rashid, Managing Director of Plummy Fashions Limited Md. Fazlul Hoque, Deputy Managing Director of Picard Bangladesh Amrita Makin Islam, and Managing Director of Eskayef Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Simeen Rahman were panel discussants.


Besides, Chairman of Bangladesh Association of Banks (BAB) Abdul Hai Sarker, World Bank country Director Jean Pesme, ICCB Vice-President A K Azad, Chairman of Bengal Commercial Bank PLC Md. Jashim Uddin, Vice President of ICCB and Chief Executive Officer of Standard Chartered Bank Naser Ezaz Bijoy, ICC Bangladesh Secretary-General Ataur Rahman, and representatives from the World Bank, the UN, UNDP and IFC were also among others present.

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The ICCB President, Mr. Mahbubur Rahman, said with graduation, scheduled to take place in November this year, Bangladesh would gradually lose LDC-specific benefits such as preferential market access, concessional financing, and certain policy flexibilities.


"These changes will place new pressures on the economy-and in particular, on our financial system," he told the meet.

"Bangladesh's graduation, therefore, is not merely a celebratory moment--it represents a structural shift. In this transition, the role of the central bank becomes even more consequential," he added.

From a banking perspective, LDC graduation will reshape the operating environment in three fundamental ways.

From ICC Bangladesh's perspective, the post-LDC era calls for a qualitative transformation of the banking sector, guided by sound regulation and credible supervision.

The ICCB Vice President and Managing Director of Ha-Meem Group of Industries, AK Azad, vented concern about monetary policy.

"Only tightening monetary policy will not reduce inflation in the country, because it is related to many other issues, including revenue," he said.

As a result of tightening monetary policy, 1.2 million people have already lost their jobs and another 1.2 million may lose their jobs in the next six months, he added.

He also mentions that the private sector has taken only 6.0 per cent of loans from banks, while the government has taken 27 per cent which may reach 32 percent in the future.

He thinks it is not possible to manage the economy through monetary policy alone without increasing investment and employment.

He laments that although attempts were made to explain the impact of LDC graduation to the current government, they did not agree, and said, 'These problems must be brought before them immediately after the formation of the new government.'

Group Chief Executive Officer of the country's leading conglomerate - Transcom Group - Ms. Simeen Rahman said LDC graduation is not merely a change in economic classification, it represents a structural shift that will reshape policy, space, and competitiveness, particularly in sectors that directly affect people's lives.

Ms. Rahman, also managing director of Eskayef Pharmaceuticals Ltd, said pharmaceutical is one of such sectors that play a unique and critical role bridging public-health priorities and industrial capability of a country.

She underscores the need for local production of API as one of the preparatory measures.

Muhammad A. (Rumee) Ali said there had been a lot of discussions on the impact of graduation on different sectors of the economy but he did not see much discussion or pre-emptive policy suggestions on this imminent risk with any level of urgency or concerns by the banking industry.

Managing director and CEO of private commercials bank Mutual Trust Bank PLC Syed Mahbubur Rahman said the graduation process reflects decades of progress in poverty reduction, human development, and economic resilience.

"But, let us be clear, we are graduating into a world that is far more complex, competitive, and unforgiving than the one we entered as an LDC."

And it is being done at a time when the country's banking sector is under immense strain as well as the economy.

He further said Bangladesh's LDC graduation is not the end of its development journey rather it is the beginning of a new chapter-one that demands maturity, discipline, and vision.

"The banking sector must not be a passive observer in this transition. It must be an active architect of a more resilient, inclusive, and globally competitive Bangladesh," he said.

Managing director and CEO of Prime Bank PLC Hassan O. Rashid said the impact on bank will also leave impact on the capital market as there are a number of listed banks.

Underscoring the need for independence of the central bank he said: "I think this is extremely important because to tackle the headwind, we need a stable economic policy, monetary policy, stable exchange rate, inflation and interest rate."

Former president of Bangladesh Knitwear Manufacturing and Exporters Association Fazlul Hoque thinks the country is not well prepared to embrace the graduation right now.

As a private-sector representative, he says, they are not feeling very comfortable at this juncture to have the graduation in November to 2026.

For the good health of banking sector, he underscores the need for an independent and free central bank to regulate the country's banking sector.

Deputy Managing Director of Picard Bangladesh Ms. Amrita Makin Islam underscored the need for export diversification from RMG that constitutes almost 80 per cent of total export receipt.

She also points out Bangladeshi exporters, compared to the peer countries, face additional burden like extended lead time in export and poor backward linkage that need serious attention.

Former President of Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DCCI) Rizwan Rahman, CEO and Managing Director of Renata PLC Syed S. Kaiser Kabir, and BGMEA Director Faisal Samad also spoke, among others, in the open-floor discussion session.​
 
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LDC graduation will expose economy to serious risks
Business leaders and bankers say Bangladesh is not yet ready for post-LDC challenges

By Star Business Report

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Bangladesh Bank Governor Ahsan H Mansur is seen with business leaders, bankers, senior executives and members of the board of directors of the ICCB at a roundtable on LDC graduation challenges for banking industry at Sheraton Dhaka in Banani yesterday. Photo: ICCB

Bangladesh is not fully prepared to face the economic and institutional challenges that will follow its graduation from the least developed country (LDC) category later this year, business leaders and bankers said yesterday, warning that it could expose the economy to serious risks.

Speaking at a roundtable on the implications of LDC graduation for the banking sector, they cautioned that Bangladesh will gradually lose preferential market access, concessional financing and policy flexibilities, while facing intensified global competition, pressure on exports and rising living costs.

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These changes will place new pressures on the economy, particularly on the financial system, ICCB President Mahbubur Rahman said at the event organised by International Chamber of Commerce-Bangladesh (ICCB).

Noting that the graduation should be seen as a structural shift rather than a symbolic milestone, he added, “In the post-LDC era, a strong, credible, and autonomous central bank will be the anchor of financial stability and confidence.”

AK Azad, vice-president of ICCB, said there were real post-graduation impacts on exports and other sectors. “We clearly presented these to the interim government, but they did not agree.”

He urged the next government to take up the issue with urgency, as understanding and addressing the realities of LDC graduation would take time.

Simeen Rahman, chief executive officer of Transcom Group, said graduation would reshape Bangladesh’s policy space and competitiveness, particularly in sectors directly affecting people’s lives.

Emphasising the pharmaceutical industry, she said coordinated policy, regulatory efficiency, financial support and adequate transition time were crucial to preserving domestic strength and export potential. Local production of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), she added, was a key preparatory step.

“If we place people’s health, industrial strength and financial stability at the centre of this transition, Bangladesh will graduate not only with pride but with confidence,” she said.

Former BKMEA president Fazlul Hoque said while graduation was welcome, the private sector remained deeply uneasy about preparedness. “The reality is that we are not well prepared. That is why we have been advocating for an extension,” he said.

However, he warned that even a two- or three-year extension would be meaningless without concrete action.

“We already had eight years to prepare… There were many meetings and seminars, but little real progress. If we waste the next few months, even with an extension, we will simply repeat the same discussions,” he said.

Muhammad A (Rumee) Ali, chairman of the ICCB Banking Commission, said despite extensive discussion of graduation’s sectoral impacts, the banking industry had lacked urgency and proactive policy dialogue.

Syed Mahbubur Rahman, managing director of Mutual Trust Bank, said LDC graduation marked a new phase of development that demands maturity, discipline and vision.

“The banking sector must not remain a passive observer; it must act as an active architect of a more resilient, inclusive and globally competitive Bangladesh,” he said.

Meanwhile, offering a contrasting view, Bangladesh Bank Governor Ahsan H Mansur urged stakeholders not to frame graduation narrowly as a matter of tariff or trade privileges.

“It is part of a larger economic transformation,” he said, adding that Bangladesh must decide whether it wants to remain among fragile economies or aspire to stand alongside emerging and developed nations.

“Graduation is inevitable. The policies we need for graduation are the same policies we need for development – growth, human development, a strong currency and a resilient financial system,” he said.

Diversification, better logistics, improved ports, roads, communications, ICT, education and healthcare were all integral to both development and graduation, he added.

“Unfortunately, we have downsized the debate to protecting market access. That is not the core issue. Graduation and development go hand in hand,” he said.

Mansur also defended recent reforms, including contracts with global port operators, acknowledging that resistance was inevitable but necessary to ensure continuity. “The government decided to sign the contracts to preserve continuity for the future.”

He also criticised sections of the business community for supporting policies such as interest-rate caps that weakened the financial system.

“They never protested when bureaucrats siphoned money abroad. Where was the business community then? They were happy,” he said.

“We need vibrant associations, not puppet ones -- associations that speak the truth without hesitation. Otherwise, democracy becomes little more than voting every few years while business continues as usual,” he added.​
 
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