[🇵🇰-✈JF-17] - PAKISTAN REVEALS ‘JF-17 PFX’ PROGRAM | World Defense Forum
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[🇵🇰-✈JF-17] PAKISTAN REVEALS ‘JF-17 PFX’ PROGRAM

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G Pakistan Airforce
Jan 24, 2024
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In a recent promotional video commemorating Operation Swift Retort, Pakistan’s retaliatory response to India’s airstrikes in Balakot, the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) revealed a new program in relation to the JF-17 Thunder, the “JF-17 PFX.”

The “PFX” seems to be an acronym for “Pakistan Fighter Experimental.” According to the PAF press release, the JF-17 PFX is part of the PAF’s wider long-term modernization strategy. But it is currently unclear what the JF-17 PFX program specifically entails.

However, the announcement of the JF-17 PFX confirms that the PAF does have a plan for the program once it completes the induction of the Block-III.

Next Steps for the JF-17?
The JF-17 Thunder is one of the workhorse multirole fighter aircraft of the PAF. Since inducting the fighter in 2010, the PAF acquired 50 Block-Is, 62 Block-IIs, 26 two-seat JF-17Bs, and is on track to adding 30 Block-III or JF-17Cs to its fleet. This is a total of 168 aircraft, which is in line with the PAF’s original plan to acquire between 150 and 200 units.

However, the PAF also invested in raising a production site at Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) for the JF-17. Under a workshare agreement with the Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC), PAC manufactures 58% of the JF-17’s airframe, specifically the front fuselage, vertical stabilizer, and wings. The remaining 42% is imported from AVIC, but fully assembled at PAC. PAC is also carrying out the maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) of the Thunder.

Being a major overhead, the PAF had expected that the JF-17 would generate overseas orders as well. But aside from modest purchases from Nigeria and Myanmar, the JF-17 did not dent the global fighter market as much the PAF hoped. Moreover, with the PAF also non-committal to acquiring additional aircraft (at least for now), PAC could be at risk of going dormant and, in turn, AVIC may consider permanently winding down JF-17 production on its end.

In commercial terms, the JF-17 did not generate return-on-investment (ROI) the PAF sought when it originally signed onto the program. However, from an operational perspective, the JF-17 has been a valuable asset, giving the PAF a go-to fighter solution that it can afford and use to induct new technologies, such as active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars, to its fleet at scale, especially when it cannot afford importing a new fighter type.

Though the PAF inducted the Chengdu J-10CE and is planning to acquire the Shenyang J-31, these big-ticket programs will always be at risk of falling through or slowing due to Pakistan’s perennially troubling economic conditions. Thus, the need for the JF-17 – or a similar fighter in the next generation – will remain; the PAF needs a go-to solution it can afford to phase out its older fighters while also introducing new air warfare technologies as they emerge.

So what might this fighter look like ?
 
Future of JF17 export market could still hold promise: The Rafale did not have its first export customer till 2015 and after that its been racking up orders across 6 countries. Up until then Typhoon had more export customers when it was competing for the India LCA.

Many of these exports involve more than the competitiveness and operations effectiveness of a weapons platform: offsets, loans, geopolitical influence. .

Egypt’s entire Rafale purchase was underwritten by a 10 year loans guaranteed by the French Govt. It’s part of its loan binge when it went from less than $40Bn in foreign debt in 2015 to $162BN last year, put it in same class (or worse) as Pakistan.

Those are enticements Pakistan cannot provide.
 
Future of JF17 export market could still hold promise: The Rafale did not have its first export customer till 2015 and after that its been racking up orders across 6 countries. Up until then Typhoon had more export customers when it was competing for the India LCA.

Many of these exports involve more than the competitiveness and operations effectiveness of a weapons platform: offsets, loans, geopolitical influence. .

Egypt’s entire Rafale purchase was underwritten by a 10 year loans guaranteed by the French Govt. It’s part of its loan binge when it went from less than $40Bn in foreign debt in 2015 to $162BN last year, put it in same class (or worse) as Pakistan.

Those are enticements Pakistan cannot provide.

Pakistan is not trying to sell an advanced (and expensive) platform like the Rafale if I understand correctly.

For Pakistan, its JF-17 product has medium to advanced capabilities, and of course, is far more affordable than the Rafale to purchase and maintain. Its ideal customers are Asian/African/ME countries like Myanmar, Nigeria, Azerbaijan and Iraq (already operational in the air forces of these nations) and potentially plenty of other 2nd and Third world countries in Africa and South America. Being as affordable the JF-17 is, these countries probably will not need loans to purchase JF-17 in smaller numbers, at ~$40 Million a copy.

I believe Bangladesh was recently given a proposal for three squadrons of the JF-17 (along with assembly rights), which is proportional for its basic air force complement, to replace the currently fast-obsolescent Chinese F-7s in Bangladesh inventory. Being that most parts come from brotherly nations like Pakistan and China, there will be now issues in spare parts and maintenance upkeep.

Every Air Force needs a medium-capable non-training offensive platform in larger numbers unlike expensive frontline platforms, which themselves are needed in much smaller numbers.

The JF-17 would fulfill the medium operational role for Bangladesh and for which three to seven squadrons are ideal, placed around its borders in major airbases. In an assembly/co-production and risk-sharing assembly and production deal with Bangladesh, the future of JF-17 and variants thereof will be well-assured. Bangladesh certainly needs to step up its game as far as aircraft components production and has taken smaller steps in this regard. This will help Bangladesh' nascent aviation industry in no small measure.

For the frontline advanced MRCA role, a much more advanced platform is needed, for which Pakistan has F-16 and J-10CE platforms, and the latter would be ideal for Bangladesh as well - possibly two to three squadrons of them. At some point the Chinese J-31 (armed with PL-15e) could represent the very top of the echelon of offensive air assets for Pakistan and possibly, Bangladesh as well. The Jf-17 PFX could also be a contender.

I am not an air force professional myself, but would solicit your expertise and thoughts on this. @Saif bhai you can jump in to comment - as well.
 
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New details for the PFX program, it seems that PFX Alpha will be the modified stealth version (faceted fuselage/wing design) for the existing JF-17. I love this evolutionary approach to JF-17 stealth design, rather than the "from scratch" expensive approach for the new version of the Tejas.

 

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