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🇧🇩 Energy Security of Bangladesh (2 Viewers)

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🇧🇩 Energy Security of Bangladesh (2 Viewers)

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Saif

Senior Member
Jan 24, 2024
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Switching to renewables is easier than we think
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ILLUSTRATION: REHNUMA PROSHOON

Energy produced from natural resources (that is, renewable energy) regenerates over the span of a human's life without depleting the planet's resources. These resources, which include biomass, tides, waves, sunshine, wind, rain, and thermal energy stored in the earth's crust, have the advantage of being accessible in some capacity from almost everywhere. They are practically inexhaustible. More importantly, they don't harm the climate or the ecosystem as much. Renewable energy is gradually becoming more affordable; it is equitable and secure, and has the potential to create jobs.

In contrast, fossil fuels like oil, coal, and natural gas are only found in finite amounts. They eventually run out as we continue to extract them. Even if they are created through natural processes, they are not replenished quickly enough to make up for what is consumed by humans. More emissions are produced by burning fossil fuels than by producing electricity from renewable sources. The key to solving the climate catastrophe is switching from fossil fuels – which now produce the majority of emissions – to renewable energy.

One of the largest financial obstacles preventing the country's transition to renewable energy is fossil fuel subsidies. The cost of subsidising the fossil fuel industry alone is enormous and includes direct subsidies, tax benefits, and costs for health and the environment that weren't factored into the pricing of fossil fuels. Subsidies for fossil fuels are unfair and inefficient.

The energy sector in Bangladesh is heavily dependent on fossil fuels. Both domestic and imported fossil fuels play a significant role in our energy production. In 2022, more than 98 percent of all energy production originated from natural gas, oil, diesel, and coal. Less than two percent of the energy mix consisted of renewables. Over the years, the reliance on fossil fuels has intensified. However, the Renewable Energy Policy of Bangladesh, which was introduced in 2008, aimed at harnessing the potential of renewable energy resources and technologies in the country. The policy set a target of meeting five percent of total power demand by 2015 and 10 percent by 2020 using renewable sources. These targets were never met. There are, however, conflicting targets in various governments' policies and plans. The Mujib Climate Prosperity Plan (MCPP) was introduced in 2021 to enhance the nation's resilience against climate change. This plan aims to reach 30 percent renewable energy share by 2030 and at least 40 percent by 2041. In contrast, under the draft Integrated Energy and Power Master Plan (IEPMP), Bangladesh has set a clean energy (renewable and nuclear) target of 40 percent by 2041. Also, the government's annual budget documents set different targets. The real picture shows that Bangladesh's progress towards switching to renewable energy has remained slow and uncertain.

There is no denying that the viability of renewable energy in the country will depend on the market price or value of renewable energy, the costs of renewable energy in comparison to those of other energy resources, policies to promote renewable energy, and environmental goals that increase the costs of using fossil fuels and/or subsidise the costs of renewable energy. As such, the wider adoption of renewable energy is hindered by pressure from fossil fuel lobbies, ineffective governmental regulations, outdated infrastructure, expensive initial installation costs, a lack of proper battery storage systems, a lack of knowledge and awareness, and a lack of relevant policies and subsidies.

To transform Bangladesh's energy systems and speed up the shift to renewable energy in the next decade or so, a few critical actions need to be prioritised. In line with the statements of the UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, the following actions can be suggested.

Firstly, there is a need to ensure easy access to renewable energy. Renewable energy technology needs to be accessible to everyone and not just for the wealthy. Energy from renewable sources, such as solar and wind, can be stored and released whenever people, communities, and businesses need power thanks to technologies such as battery storage systems. Due to their special ability to quickly absorb, hold, and re-inject electricity, they help increase the flexibility of the energy system. And, when combined with renewable sources, battery storage technologies can offer dependable and less costly electricity in off-grid settlements and isolated networks. Bangladesh also needs to explore the opportunities for importing renewable energy from neighbouring countries like India, Bhutan, and Nepal.

Secondly, a steady supply of raw materials and components for renewable energy is crucial in order to ensure broader access to all the necessary resources. In addition, the management of renewable energy waste is important in order to create supply chains that safeguard ecosystems.

Thirdly, there is a need to create a level playing field for technologies utilising renewable energy. Domestic policy frameworks need to be quickly changed to streamline and accelerate renewable energy projects and spur private sector investments. Policies and procedures must be put in place to lower market risk, enable investment, and provide incentives – including by streamlining the planning, permitting, and regulatory processes and avoiding bottlenecks and red tape. The adoption of solar and wind energy technologies can be accelerated by the availability of modern energy transmission infrastructure, clear and strong policies, transparent processes, and public support.

The country needs to switch energy subsidies from fossil fuels to renewable energy. One of the largest financial obstacles preventing the country's transition to renewable energy is fossil fuel subsidies. The cost of subsidising the fossil fuel industry alone is enormous and includes direct subsidies, tax benefits, and costs for health and the environment that weren't factored into the pricing of fossil fuels. Subsidies for fossil fuels are unfair and inefficient. Subsidising renewable energy instead reduces emissions and has the potential of fostering sustainable economic growth, job creation, improved public health, and greater equality, especially for the poorest and most vulnerable people.

It is also critically important to make considerable investments in renewable energy. There is a need for commitment and accountability, especially from the banks and other public and private financial institutions, which must direct their lending portfolios toward hastening the transition to renewable energy.

Finally, resources must be shifted between competing industrial sectors and political constituencies as part of a sustainable energy transition. As stakeholders in this process hold varying degrees of political and economic power, understanding how political and economic factors influence the transition to renewable energy is crucial in order to formulate effective policies and facilitate the shift to sustainable energy systems.

Dr Selim Raihan is professor at the Department of Economics in the University of Dhaka, and executive director at the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (Sanem).​
 

Saif

Senior Member
Jan 24, 2024
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Bangladesh faces massive load-shedding as India's Adani cuts power supply
Emran Hossain 25 June, 2024, 23:12

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Bangladesh, which watched a humid heatwave intensify over almost half of its districts on Tuesday, suffered up to 16 hours of power cuts in places after the power supply from the coal-fired power plant run by Adani Power in India was drastically reduced without a pre-announcement.

With 27,515MW of installed power generation capacity, Bangladesh fell short of 1,887MW of electricity to meet the demand of 14,800MW at 2:00am on Tuesday, the hour the country recorded its peak load-shedding.

Just 24 hours ago, the power shortage stood at 278MW against the demand of 14,380MW.

Since the ongoing heatwave began three days ago, leading to a rise of about 4,000MW in power demand, load-shedding has undergone an astronomical rise from almost zero.

An ongoing economic crisis has seriously limited Bangladesh's energy use for more than two years now.

The current crisis is unique given that almost all baseload power plants are running at half or one-third of their capacities for one reason or another, with no hope of the situation improving anytime soon, especially after one of Bangladesh's two floating storage and regasification units remains out of order since the cyclonic storm Remal hit on May 28.

'The shutdown of a floating storage and regasification unit put us in a crisis that only worsened after Adani shut down one of its two units beyond schedule,' power secretary Habibur Rahman told New Age.

Bangladesh owes over $3 billion to power producers at home and abroad, according to the power ministry, including $500 million owed to Adani Power in outstanding bills.

The public relations agency that was looking after Adani Power's media relations in Bangladesh, however, claimed that the shutdown of one of the units at the 1,600MW Godda power plant was for maintenance and scheduled.

The explanation lacked consistency because the remaining unit still in operation has the capacity to generate at least 800MW.

On June 24, Bangladesh received only 371MW from Adani's Godda power plant.

On June 19, the day Adani shut down its second unit, as revealed by the daily electricity generation report of the Power Grid Company of Bangladesh, Bangladesh received 1,060MW.

The power supply from Tripura also remained below 100MW, often less than 80MW, due to unpaid electricity bills, according to Indian media reports.

A unit of the 1,320MW coal-based Payra power plant is also currently under maintenance.

The 1,320MW coal-fired Rampal power plant supplied 593MW in the evening peak hour on June 24, saying that it had shut down its second unit, about which there was no explanation from the power ministry.

The newly-built 1,200MW Matarbari coal-based power plant had one of its two units under maintenance, according to the PGCB.

The 586MW Unique Meghnaghat power plant remained completely shut down because of a gas shortage.

The 1,224MW newly-built coal-based SS Power plant supplied only 481MW on June 24.

The 307MW coal-based Barishal power plant generated 200MW on June 24 due to a coal shortage.

An analysis of the daily power generation report released by the PGCB showed that 114 out of 150 power plants were either partially or completely out of operation for one reason or another on June 24.

Only about 25 per cent of Bangladesh's current installed generation capacity could smoothly operate, the PGCB report revealed.

On June 24, a total of 33 power plants faced technical problems, such as engine or machine problems, while a fuel shortage affected operations at 46 gas- and furnace-oil-based power plants.

A dozen power plants were under maintenance, while 18 did not operate because their contracts expired.

On June 24, Bangladesh produced 5,655mw using gas at the peak load-shedding hour at 2:00am. The installed gas capacity is 11,880. Before the FSRU malfunctioned, Bangladesh produced a maximum 7,000MW using gas.

The installed coal capacity, on the other hand, is 5,108MW. But the maximum electricity generated from coal was mostly about 3,000MW, though it dropped to about 1500MW occasionally.

The installed furnace-oil-based capacity is 6,035MW. At the peak load-shedding hour on June 24, furnace oil generated 3,202MW.

An online provider of fuel prices, Trading Economics, showed that coal was sold at $131.91 per tonne on June 25 following an 8 per cent fall in its price this month.

The US natural gas price was around $2.8/MMBtu on June 23. The crude oil price held just below $82 per barrel on June 24.

Indian heatwaves and geopolitical unrest have kept fuel prices somewhat unsteady, but energy experts found them very affordable unless the economic situation was really bad.

The Bangladesh Meteorological Department said that a mild to moderate heatwave was sweeping over Dhaka, Rajshahi and Khulna divisions, covering 31 out of 64 districts.

Bangladesh's highest temperature of 38C was recorded in Rajshahi on Tuesday.

New Age staff correspondent in Rajshahi reported that people in rural areas in the districts have been suffering from around 16 hours of power cuts for the past three days.

Mominul Islam, a college student of Anupampur village under Charghat upazila in Rajshahi, said that he could not sleep at all on Monday night because of power cuts amid a humid heatwave.

'Seven to eight power cuts occurred on Monday night,' he said.

Mehedi Hasan, a resident of Shekherpara village under Godagari upazila in Rajshahi, told New Age that they had also been experiencing power cuts of up to 14 to 16 hours for the past few days.

'There is no need for power for irrigation. Why is there load-shedding now?' he asked.​
 

Saif

Senior Member
Jan 24, 2024
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Load-shedding rises despite heatwave retreating
Emran Hossain with Suzon Ali in Rajshahi 27 June, 2024, 00:26

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Despite rain sending the ongoing heatwave on the back foot, load-shedding worsened on Wednesday, further exposing the extent of trouble the economic crisis has put Bangladesh into.

With 27,515MW of installed power generation capacity, Bangladesh fell short of 2,285MW of electricity to meet the demand of 15,450MW at midnight on Wednesday, the peak load-shedding hour of the day.

There was 1,154MW of load-shedding even when the power demand dropped to 13,950MW at 11:00am on Wednesday.

The daily electricity generation report released by the Power Grid Company of Bangladesh revealed that all eight divisions witnessed load-shedding throughout Wednesday, with the Dhaka Division recording the highest average load-shedding of 255MW.

New Age correspondent in Rajshahi reported that in some parts of the northern districts, people were supplied power for only four hours on Wednesday.

'Power stayed for 15 to 30 minutes before going out for four to five hours,' said Nayeb Ali, a college student at Pukhuria village under Shibganj upazila in Chapainawabganj district.

The power supply was received only at night, he said.

Rajshahi needed the power supply mostly during the daytime because the air temperature in the area reached 39.6C with a mild to moderate heatwave sweeping over the division.

The heatwave was also sweeping the districts of Jashore, Chuadanga, Kushtia, Magura, Lalmonirhat, Kurigram, and Tangail.

The heatwave felt far more unbearable than the air temperature indicated because of the high moisture's presence. At 6:00pm on Wednesday, the moisture content was 89 per cent.

With such a high level of moisture present in the air, health experts warned that air temperatures exceeding 35C could be fatal for humans and animals as well.

The Bangladesh Meteorological Department does not release data on the real feeling of temperature considering humidity, for there are many variables such as the speed and direction of wind involved in it.

Still, a heat index of ICDDR,B, also known as the apparent temperature, revealed that the real feeling of living at 35C with 85 per cent humidity could be 60C.

This high temperature could result in death within minutes, health experts warned, unless there was enough arrangement to cool off the body.

The optimum temperature at which the body can control its heat is 35C.

'Luckily, there is not much work in the field at the moment. Otherwise, people would have dropped dead in large numbers,' said Ziaur Rahman, a farmer of Balanagar village under Bagmara upazila in Rajshahi.

He said that people in his area were severely sleep-deprived as they could not stay in bed for long in this humid heatwave, often taking breaks and a stroll around, though it helped a little.

The BMD said that the heatwave might continue to abate through today. On Tuesday, the heatwave was sweeping over 31 districts, which were reduced to 15 on Wednesday.

An ongoing economic crisis has seriously limited Bangladesh's energy use for more than two years now.

The current crisis is unique given that almost all baseload power plants are running at half or one-third of their capacities for one reason or another, with no hope of the situation improving anytime soon.

Bangladesh can smoothly run only a fourth of its 150 power plants at the moment.​
 

Saif

Senior Member
Jan 24, 2024
2,981
1,023




Need for rational budgetary allocation for energy security
Published :
Jun 28, 2024 21:33
Updated :
Jun 28, 2024 21:33
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The amount of fund a government allocates in its national budget for primary energy supply reflects its emphasis on ensuring energy security sustainably. But reduction in such allocations as a proportion of the total budget, gives the impression that the policymakers are yet to set their priorities right on the issue. In the fiscal year 2024-25 budget worth Tk7.97 trillion, the energy and power sector is allocated Tk303.17 billion, which is 3.8 per cent of the total budgetary allocation. This is way below the allocation made in proportion to the total budget of the previous fiscal (FY2023-24) at 4.6 per cent. That means the next fiscal (FY25) will see a significant drop by 12.9 per cent compared to FY24's in the sector.

In fact, budgetary allocations for the power and energy sector have witnessed fluctuations over the years reaching a peak in FY 2018-19 followed by a sustained decline in the next two consecutive fiscals FY20 and FY21 by about 11 per cent and 30 per cent respectively. Worse yet, out of these budgetary allocations under the power and energy head, the share of energy is decreasing constantly since FY19. This does not speak well for the government's approach to a policy of sustainable energy security. In this connection, a local economic policy think tank, South Asian Network on Economic Modelling (SANEM), has questioned the government's policy of building the infrastructure of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas), which is basically an import-based primary energy source. How can an imported fuel like LNG known for price volatility can be a basis for the country's energy security? True, power generation is a top priority as the finance minister in his budget speech informed of the government's plan to increase nation's power generation capacity to 40,000 MW by 2030 and 60,000 MW by 2041.

Now the question arises, what is the point of boosting the power generation capacity further when over 9,000 MW of power in excess of demand for 17,800 MW this summer is being produced currently in the country? This overcapacity has put an additional price burden on the consumers, who have already experienced power tariff hike four times in a year between January 2023 and February 20, 2024. This calls for a transparent energy governance policy. To ensure the nation's energy security on a sustainable basis, the government ought to reduce its dependence on imported fuels and, at the same time, diversify its primary energy source with an emphasis on renewable energy and exploration of domestic gas and coal reserves.

Though in a developing economy with few domestic primary energy reserves, achieving complete energy independence is a tall order, still the country cannot go on importing fuels to generate power. The government renewable energy plans include the Eighth Five Year plan, the Delta Plan 2100, the Mujib Climate Prosperity Plan 2022-41, the Power System Master Plan 2016 and Prospective Plan 2021 and finally, the Integrated Power Master Plan (IEPMP). Though these make an impressive list reflecting the government's seriousness about enhancing energy production from renewable sources, the allocation of only Tk1.0 billion for the proposed FY25 budget makes little sense. It is more so if the paltry sum of Tk119 million (less by 23.61 per cent than that of FY24), allocated for the Sustainable Renewable Energy Development Authority (SREDA) is considered. A rational approach to energy policy calls for addressing the mismatch between the government's ambitious plans and the budgetary allocations for the purpose.​
 

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