- 1,774
- 1,020
- Origin
- Axis Group
- Copy to clipboard
- Moderator
- #1
Iran may target the Israeli embassy in Baku, Azerbaijan.
[🇮🇷] Iran's "Operation Truthful Promise - وعده صادق" on Israel : Live Coverage
Iranian Defense- Status
Lulldapull
Senior Operative
- 5,243
- 2,994
- Origin
- Axis Group
Azher Bhaija moghal republic is always an easy target for Iran. Lot of chinese looking Ex-Shia cosmopolitan people will easily get swayed by the wily mulla, if Iran tries hard enough. Iran can just walk into Azher-Bhaija today, but then Iran would be looked down upon as invading yet another colored muzlim banana republic like da US and UK do routinely. Iran is smart enough to not fall in that trap. Mongol Azher-Bhaija know whats up.....that's why very subdued behavior from dem. Iran can do da same to Turkmenistan or Uzbekistan......no problem......but then again what do you do with all these moghal muzlim Sovietized people? The days of the gulags or concentration camps are over! Who would want to own all these Sovietized moghal people to be part of their country today? In per qabza karna is so stupid.......
Last edited:
- 1,774
- 1,020
- Origin
- Axis Group
- Copy to clipboard
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #3
[H1]Iran's parliament threatens Azerbaijan: "Israel's embassy in Baku must be targeted"[/H1]
- 1,774
- 1,020
- Origin
- Axis Group
- Copy to clipboard
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #4
[H1]Iran: a geopolitical scenario of the new escalation with Israel and Azerbaijan[/H1]
[H3]
Iran and Azerbaijan relations recently worsened following Baku's attack towards Armenia's sovereign territory on September 2022 and its claims on the northern Iranian region inhabited by Iranian Azeris. Although during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, Iran backed the return of the territories under Baku's control, Tehran has always stressed that the Armenian sovereign territories are a red line which Azerbaijan should not cross. The statements by Baku's leadership to be ready to take the so-called Zanzegur Corridor, which crosses Armenian-Iranian borders, with force if needed, concerned Tehran.
Moreover, on August 2022, several media connected to Azerbaijan's presidential administration published articles and analyses claiming Baku's right to 'reunite' with northern Iran. In this regard, it might be cited headlines such as the one posted by Caliber.az, 'The time has come: Southern Azerbaijan should secede from Iran', which was a clear threat to Iran's internal security.
Following the September attack on Armenia, Iran started on October 17th 2022, massive military drills along Azerbaijan's borders, called 'Mighty Iran'. These exercises are part of the Iranian military doctrine of deterrence and showed Tehran's readiness to react to an external threat.
Another growing concern among Iranian elites is the Azerbaijani crackdown on Shia believers which seems to be an increasing practice. On April 2nd, 2023, the authorities of the Republic of Azerbaijan announced the arrest of four people accused of having close relations with Iran in connection with the unsuccessful assassination of Fazel Mustafa, a member of the parliament. Azeris media platforms released pictures of the men allegedly involved stating that they had been travelling between Iran and Azerbaijan for years and that Tehran was behind the plot.
Aykhan Hajizada, the spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Azerbaijan, affirmed that the terrorist act against Fazel Mustafa is a continuation of the terrorist attack on the Embassy of the Republic of Azerbaijan in Iran, which led to its closure and accusations against the local government.
Following all these public attacks directed towards the Raisi leadership, Iran sent a protest note to Azerbaijan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs over 'insulting actions' from the Azerbaijani media, warning that continuing this 'immorality' will bring damaging consequences for future relations between the two countries.
In addition to complaining about the increasing crackdown on Shia Muslims, Iran accuses Azerbaijan of favouring Israel's activities along its borders. The media outlet MashreghNews underlined that while Hajizada complained about Iran threatening Azerbaijan, the Republic of Azerbaijan opened an Embassy in Tel Aviv on March 30th, 2023.
On that occasion, Eli Cohen, the Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs, spoke of increasing anti-Iranian cooperation between Tel Aviv and Baku. Particularly worrying are Israeli activities inside Azerbaijan: Tehran claimed Israel is exploiting the southern Caucasian republic as a starting point for territorial aggression and espionage.
On March 25th, 2023, Azerbaijan violated the terms of the 9th November 2020 agreement, entering the demarcation line in the Shusha region and taking under the control of the Azerbaijani Army several high grounds between Jaghazur and Zabukh villages, as well as a large area along the border.
Given the concern of losing Turkey's support in the case of Recep Tayyip Erdogan's defeat at the upcoming presidential elections in May 2023, Azerbaijan might evaluate conducting an attack towards Armenia shortly. Iran's belief in this possibility is proved by the recent change of Iranian ambassadors both in Yerevan and Baku.
In a move that might suggest Iran's security assistance to Armenia, Tehran appointed as the new Ambassador to Armenia Mehdi Sobhani, an IRGC Quds Force affiliate. Sobhani was ambassador to Syria, one of the most critical roles an Iranian representative might play. At the same time, Mojtaba Demirchiloo, former Iranian Ambassador in Kazakhstan, will serve as the new envoy in Azerbaijan.
[H3]
The Southern Caucasus is experiencing new tensions as Azerbaijan is perpetrating the blockade of the Lachin Corridor, although an international resolution urge Baku to remove any obstacles to free movement. Azerbaijan's strategy seems to force Armenians to leave Artsakh/Nagorno-Karabakh spontaneously by isolating them from Armenia and any enter/exit road.
Moreover, confirming the possibility of a new escalation, Baku's affiliated media platform explained that all routes to Artsakh have been close to impeding the delivery of weapons by Armenia, Russia and Iran to the Armenians living in the region, which these governments always denied.
With the upcoming Presidential elections that might change the status quo in Turkey and growing tensions confirmed by several diplomatic incidents and military drills between Azerbaijan and Iran, Tehran and Yerevan fear an imminent attack also on the Armenian sovereign territory. The so-called 'Zangezur corridor', which the IRGC media platform claimed to be a code name for an operation against Tehran, will cross the Armenian Syunik region and cut Iran's access to its strategic link towards Europe and Russia.
The change of diplomats in Armenia and Azerbaijan might be a strategic move preparing for a possible new escalation in the Caucasus. The severe crackdown on Shia Muslims inside Azerbaijan and recent statements on 'a united front against Iran' made by Israeli representatives during the opening of the embassy of Azerbaijan in Tel Aviv were perceived by Tehran as a direct threat to the Islamic Republic's internal security.
From a Western perspective, although a corridor connecting Turkey to Azerbaijan is of significant interest to NATO and Europe, the repercussion of war in the Caucasus on energy supplies might be unsustainable. Moreover, Baku's energy assets and industries are exposed in the Caspian Sea and avoiding a widespread confrontation with Iran would benefit both countries.
Iran and the new escalation with Israel and Azerbaijan (specialeurasia.com)
[H3]
Growing tensions between Azerbaijan and Iran
[/H3]Iran and Azerbaijan relations recently worsened following Baku's attack towards Armenia's sovereign territory on September 2022 and its claims on the northern Iranian region inhabited by Iranian Azeris. Although during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, Iran backed the return of the territories under Baku's control, Tehran has always stressed that the Armenian sovereign territories are a red line which Azerbaijan should not cross. The statements by Baku's leadership to be ready to take the so-called Zanzegur Corridor, which crosses Armenian-Iranian borders, with force if needed, concerned Tehran.
Moreover, on August 2022, several media connected to Azerbaijan's presidential administration published articles and analyses claiming Baku's right to 'reunite' with northern Iran. In this regard, it might be cited headlines such as the one posted by Caliber.az, 'The time has come: Southern Azerbaijan should secede from Iran', which was a clear threat to Iran's internal security.
Following the September attack on Armenia, Iran started on October 17th 2022, massive military drills along Azerbaijan's borders, called 'Mighty Iran'. These exercises are part of the Iranian military doctrine of deterrence and showed Tehran's readiness to react to an external threat.
Another growing concern among Iranian elites is the Azerbaijani crackdown on Shia believers which seems to be an increasing practice. On April 2nd, 2023, the authorities of the Republic of Azerbaijan announced the arrest of four people accused of having close relations with Iran in connection with the unsuccessful assassination of Fazel Mustafa, a member of the parliament. Azeris media platforms released pictures of the men allegedly involved stating that they had been travelling between Iran and Azerbaijan for years and that Tehran was behind the plot.
Aykhan Hajizada, the spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Azerbaijan, affirmed that the terrorist act against Fazel Mustafa is a continuation of the terrorist attack on the Embassy of the Republic of Azerbaijan in Iran, which led to its closure and accusations against the local government.
Following all these public attacks directed towards the Raisi leadership, Iran sent a protest note to Azerbaijan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs over 'insulting actions' from the Azerbaijani media, warning that continuing this 'immorality' will bring damaging consequences for future relations between the two countries.
In addition to complaining about the increasing crackdown on Shia Muslims, Iran accuses Azerbaijan of favouring Israel's activities along its borders. The media outlet MashreghNews underlined that while Hajizada complained about Iran threatening Azerbaijan, the Republic of Azerbaijan opened an Embassy in Tel Aviv on March 30th, 2023.
On that occasion, Eli Cohen, the Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs, spoke of increasing anti-Iranian cooperation between Tel Aviv and Baku. Particularly worrying are Israeli activities inside Azerbaijan: Tehran claimed Israel is exploiting the southern Caucasian republic as a starting point for territorial aggression and espionage.
On March 25th, 2023, Azerbaijan violated the terms of the 9th November 2020 agreement, entering the demarcation line in the Shusha region and taking under the control of the Azerbaijani Army several high grounds between Jaghazur and Zabukh villages, as well as a large area along the border.
Given the concern of losing Turkey's support in the case of Recep Tayyip Erdogan's defeat at the upcoming presidential elections in May 2023, Azerbaijan might evaluate conducting an attack towards Armenia shortly. Iran's belief in this possibility is proved by the recent change of Iranian ambassadors both in Yerevan and Baku.
In a move that might suggest Iran's security assistance to Armenia, Tehran appointed as the new Ambassador to Armenia Mehdi Sobhani, an IRGC Quds Force affiliate. Sobhani was ambassador to Syria, one of the most critical roles an Iranian representative might play. At the same time, Mojtaba Demirchiloo, former Iranian Ambassador in Kazakhstan, will serve as the new envoy in Azerbaijan.
[H3]
Conclusion
[/H3]The Southern Caucasus is experiencing new tensions as Azerbaijan is perpetrating the blockade of the Lachin Corridor, although an international resolution urge Baku to remove any obstacles to free movement. Azerbaijan's strategy seems to force Armenians to leave Artsakh/Nagorno-Karabakh spontaneously by isolating them from Armenia and any enter/exit road.
Moreover, confirming the possibility of a new escalation, Baku's affiliated media platform explained that all routes to Artsakh have been close to impeding the delivery of weapons by Armenia, Russia and Iran to the Armenians living in the region, which these governments always denied.
With the upcoming Presidential elections that might change the status quo in Turkey and growing tensions confirmed by several diplomatic incidents and military drills between Azerbaijan and Iran, Tehran and Yerevan fear an imminent attack also on the Armenian sovereign territory. The so-called 'Zangezur corridor', which the IRGC media platform claimed to be a code name for an operation against Tehran, will cross the Armenian Syunik region and cut Iran's access to its strategic link towards Europe and Russia.
The change of diplomats in Armenia and Azerbaijan might be a strategic move preparing for a possible new escalation in the Caucasus. The severe crackdown on Shia Muslims inside Azerbaijan and recent statements on 'a united front against Iran' made by Israeli representatives during the opening of the embassy of Azerbaijan in Tel Aviv were perceived by Tehran as a direct threat to the Islamic Republic's internal security.
From a Western perspective, although a corridor connecting Turkey to Azerbaijan is of significant interest to NATO and Europe, the repercussion of war in the Caucasus on energy supplies might be unsustainable. Moreover, Baku's energy assets and industries are exposed in the Caspian Sea and avoiding a widespread confrontation with Iran would benefit both countries.
Iran and the new escalation with Israel and Azerbaijan (specialeurasia.com)
Lulldapull
Senior Operative
- 5,243
- 2,994
- Origin
- Axis Group
If the IRGC find a link to the embassy bombing in Damascus with Azher Bhaija banana republic involvement, only then Iran should do this, otherwise targeting small time chutiya muzlim country is not good. Lets hope nothing bad happens.
- 1,774
- 1,020
- Origin
- Axis Group
- Copy to clipboard
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #6
Read more, as I posted a lot above. It is not targeting Azerbaijan but the Israeli embassy in Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan alone provides 40% of Israel's total petroleum supply. Azeris already based their Israeli saboteurs to operate inside Iran for a very long time. It is a known fact. Iran has to target an Embassy for tit for tat, and the Israeli embassy in Baku is the most suitable one.
M
Malang
Why not attack a non-Muslim ally of Israel such as Greece, Armenia or Cyprus? Too afraid to attack the countries that matter?
- 1,774
- 1,020
- Origin
- Axis Group
- Copy to clipboard
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #8
You all are missing the point. Israel destroyed an Iranian embassy. Iran has to do similar damage to Israel. Armenia, Greece, and Cyprus are not natural allies of Israel as much Azernbijan is. Greece and Cyprus are NATO countries. Read more, as I posted a lot above and Google too. Azerbaijan is called the second Israel. It is not about the country. It is about an Israeli embassy that is suitable to strike directly from Iran. Iran wants to attack the Israeli embassy in Baku .
- Status
Similar threads
Staff online
-
LegionnairETurkish Moderator
Latest Posts
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
World Israel: Indian made artillery shells explode inside barrel, killing three Israeli soldiers- Latest: Krishna with Flute
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
[🇮🇳] DRDO’s Hypersonic Program: 12 Advanced Missile Variants Under Development
- Latest: Krishna with Flute
-
-
-
-
-
-
-