[đŸ‡§đŸ‡©] Indo-Bangla Relation: India's Regional Ambition, Geopolitical Reality, and Strategic Options For Bangladesh

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[đŸ‡§đŸ‡©] Indo-Bangla Relation: India's Regional Ambition, Geopolitical Reality, and Strategic Options For Bangladesh
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Redrawing lines of engagement
The Yunus-Modi dialogue and its implications for South Asian geopolitics

Serajul I Bhuiyan
Published :
Apr 05, 2025 23:21
Updated :
Apr 05, 2025 23:21

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"In diplomacy, clarity is often more powerful than consensus." - Henry Kissinger Bangladesh Chief Adviser Dr Muhammad Yunus and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi met in Bangkok on April 4, 2025, against the backdrop of regional instability and domestic transformation. The encounter was not a diplomatic courtesy; it was a substantive engagement that could reshape the trajectory of Bangladesh-India relations at a time of realigning alliances, contested narratives, and growing regional ambitions.

Being the first formal interaction between the two leaders in over a decade, this 40-minute talk-described by officials as warm, constructive, and candid-amounted to a diplomatic reset. It allowed both sides to rebalance priorities and reassert mutual respect while discussing outstanding bilateral issues such as water sharing, border security, minority rights, and the pending extradition of former Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina.

RECALIBRATING BILATERAL RELATIONS: Yunus began by reiterating the historical foundation of Bangladesh-India relations, citing India's unequivocal support during the 1971 Liberation War. Emphasising shared geography and cultural kinship, he considered Bangladesh a neighbour that values sovereign equality and shared development. The Chief Adviser's tone, however, was not merely ceremonial. It was heavy with the voice of a nation in political transition and search of regional equilibrium.

Modi, on his part, sought to dispel perceptions of political bias by stating in no ambiguous terms that India's relationship is with no party or person but with the sovereign nation of Bangladesh. The statement-meant to create distance between New Delhi and Sheikh Hasina's controversial record-was a message as much to Dhaka's caretaker government as to the international community.

THE HASINA EXTRADITION REQUEST: One of the most delicate matters at the meeting was Yunus's formal request for information on the current status of Bangladesh's application for the extradition of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who is still in voluntary exile in India. Referring to the damning UN OHCHR report documenting the severe human rights violations during the protests of July 2024-during which over 1,400 protestors were killed, 13 per cent of them children- Yunus argued that her persistent media provocations from Indian soil amount to destabilising interference and abuse of Indian hospitality.

Quoting Winston Churchill's immortal warning that "diplomacy is the art of telling people to go to hell in such a way that they ask for directions," this report is the balancing act India must undertake: managing ancient ties with a former political friend while guarding its reputation as a neutral, responsible regional actor.

While Modi downplayed tensions, attributing them in considerable measure to misinformation on social media, his reluctance to be explicit about the extradition request indicates the matter's sensitivity. It is a pressure point that could either accelerate a new chapter of openness or harden outstanding mistrust in Dhaka-Delhi ties. Even though Modi downplayed the tensions, he must realise that providing deposed Sheikh Hasina refuge in a safe place and permission to address her supporters in Bangladesh and destabilise the country forced the vast majority of Bangladeshis to consider Indian government media highly anti-Bangladesh, which is detrimental to the bilateral relations between the two countries. It makes India look bad to other South Asian countries and think India is interfering in the internal affairs of other countries.

PERCEPTIONS AND POLITICAL OPTICS: While Modi attempted to downplay the tensions, the political optics of granting asylum to Sheikh Hasina-Bangladesh's ousted former Prime Minister-have not gone unnoticed. Her continued presence in India, coupled with her ability to disseminate inciting messages to sympathisers in the homeland, has highly disturbed public opinion in Bangladesh. It is viewed by many as a misuse of Indian hospitality and a tacit endorsement of attempts to destabilise Bangladesh's interim government.

The repercussions have been profound: an overwhelming majority of Bangladeshis now perceive Indian media, and by extension, parts of the Indian establishment, as biased and dismissive of Bangladesh's internal sovereignty. Whether valid or not, this perception is taking a toll on bilateral trust and harming India's image as a non-interfering regional power. As former US Secretary of State Dean Acheson once warned, "The greatest danger of diplomacy is the assumption that other nations think of themselves as we think of ourselves." For India, allowing such uncertainty to persist risks not only alienating Bangladesh but also other neighbours who are suspicious of hegemonic intentions.

BORDER KILLINGS: Repeated border killings were a highlight of the discussion. Yunus was remorseful and demanded better bilateral coordination to prevent deaths. Modi, while defending the actions of Indian border forces as self-defence, agreed on the need for joint mechanisms. That they decided to reduce border killings is a step toward humanitarian diplomacy in a region long plagued by frontier tensions.

DEBUNKING THE MINORITY NARRATIVE: In diplomacy, integrity is not just a moral compass but the basis of credibility. Indian Prime Minister conveyed concern about the status of minorities in Bangladesh, reflecting accusations routinely exaggerated by Indian media. Yunus stated unequivocally that many of these are exaggerated, misleading, or invented-fuelled by partisan propaganda machines and echo chambers more interested in deflection than in the truth. Even as India points a finger at its neighbour, it must confront the mirror of its realities. From the systematic marginalisation of Muslims in Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat to the enforced silence of Kashmiri voices, India's record on minority rights-well-documented by international human rights observers-is under intense global scrutiny. As George Orwell once wrote, "The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those who speak it." The contrast is particularly stark compared to the everyday experiences of Bangladesh's minority communities.

In fact, the Muslim minority is incredibly depressed and oppressed by the Hindu Community, and Indian media and Hollywood movies played a bigger role in it. So, India does not have any moral integrity to give a lesson on minority issues of Bangladesh. Minorities in Bangladesh say they happily live together with the Muslim Majority in Bangladesh.

Despite isolated incidents-too often exploited in foreign reporting-the majority of Hindu, Buddhist, and Christian citizens in Bangladesh continue to live in peace alongside the Muslim majority, participating fully in civic, economic, and cultural life. The Yunus administration has already instituted mechanisms of oversight to address communal tensions with alacrity, a testament to its desire for inclusive governance. In this regard, India's attempt at positioning itself as a moral arbiter comes across as diplomatically misplaced and ethically hollow. Rather than exporting its domestic, communal anxieties, New Delhi would adopt a more introspective approach that respects its neighbours' sovereignty and social cohesion.

GEOPOLITICAL UNDERCURRENTS AND REGIONAL REBALANCING: The meeting between Yunus and Modi also resonates with the more significant dynamics of South Asian geopolitics. As Bangladesh continues to firm up its relations with China-underscored by Dr. Yunus's recent state visit to Beijing-the Bangkok meeting served as a requisite counterbalance, preserving strategic equilibrium in the region. India's reiteration of a non-aligned stance toward Bangladesh indicates the recognition that Dhaka's foreign policy is becoming more multi-polar. In response, New Delhi seems to be adjusting its strategy-choosing pragmatic interaction over ideological affinity.

BIMSTEC AND REGIONAL INTEGRATION: Yunus attended the Bangkok summit with more than political credentials-he did so with the weight of global integrity and developmental vision.

In his new capacity as BIMSTEC Chair, he used the occasion to invite India to join in accelerating a long-proposed Free Trade Agreement (FTA) among the bloc's seven-nation membership. His message was economic and philosophical-a call for regional solidarity at a moment of fragmentation. Citing BIMSTEC as "South Asia's next great opportunity," Yunus emphasised that economic integration and equitable resource-sharing were key to peace, progress, and prosperity in the Bay of Bengal region. He also renewed Bangladesh's call for the renewal of the Ganges Water Sharing Treaty and, crucially, for the long-awaited Teesta River Agreement to be signed-matters at the core of Bangladesh's water security and agricultural sustainability.

As a crusader for human dignity and inclusive development who is not shy to take a position, Yunus also framed these matters as bilateral disputes and tests of regional conscience. Quoting Kofi Annan, he reminded everyone that "we may have different religions, different languages, different colored skin, but we all belong to one human race." Indian Prime Minister embraced the BIMSTEC agenda, congratulating Yunus on his appointment and reiterating India's commitment to a democratic, inclusive, and forward-looking Bangladesh.

However, while the goodwill gestures were encouraging, the legacy of simmering water-sharing disagreements is a thorn that requires ongoing diplomacy and political will on both sides. Even so, with a world-class personality like Yunus at the helm of BIMSTEC, the regional bloc can finally receive the leadership it needs to move from aspiration to action.

CONCLUSION: Overall, the Yunus-Modi meeting was a ritual of diplomacy but a strategic reboot. It reflected Dhaka's aspiration to regain control over its foreign policy and invite Delhi into a relationship on equal terms. For South Asia, where geopolitics is too frequently determined by history and hegemony, this dialogue offers a hopeful model: cooperation, mutual respect, and principled diplomacy can still determine the future.

The path forward remains complex, whether regarding the waters of the Teesta, Rohingya repatriation, or economic integration. However, with open communication and regional foresight, Bangladesh and India can still transform their common geography into common prosperity.

Dr Serajul I Bhuiyan is a professor and former chairman of the Department of Journalism and Mass Communications at Savannah State University, Savannah, Georgia, USA.​
 

Take steps to prevent Hasina from making provocative statements, Yunus tells Modi

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Photo: PID

Chief Adviser Prof Muhammad Yunus today told Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi that the former prime minister (Sheikh Hasina) had been making inflammatory remarks in various media outlets and attempting to destabilise the situation in Bangladesh, which seemed to be an abuse of the hospitality India has extended to her.

"She [Hasina] has consistently made false and inflammatory accusations against the interim government of Bangladesh," Yunus told Modi.

"We request that the government of India take appropriate measures to restrain her from continuing to make such incendiary statements while she remains in your country," he said, according to a statement issued by the CA's press wing.

This was the first bilateral meeting between the two leaders since the fall of Hasina-led government through a mass uprising on August 5.

Yunus enquired about the status of Bangladesh's request for the extradition of Hasina, which remains pending with the Indian government.

The CA also referenced the UN Human Rights Office's Fact-Finding Report, which confirmed serious human rights violations and abuses committed by security forces and armed Awami League activists between July 15 and August 5, 2024.

He said the report estimated that 1,400 protest-related deaths occurred, with approximately 13 percent of the victims being children. He stated the report also found reasonable grounds to believe that crimes against humanity, such as murder, torture, and other inhumane acts, were committed during the protests.

The UN report notes that Hasina herself had ordered security forces to kill protesters and specifically instructed them to "arrest the ringleaders, kill them, and hide their bodies."

In response, Indian PM blamed social media for the tensions around Sheikh Hasina's remarks. He said India's attachment is with a country, not with any individuals or political organisations.

Yunus also raised the issue of border killings and stressed the need for working together to reduce the number of fatalities. It would not only save many families great anguish but would also help to build trust and confidence and to strengthen the relationship between India and Bangladesh, he said.

"I always felt the pain when these killings happen," Yunus said, urging India to find "ways and means" to prevent the incidents.

Modi said Indian border troops opened fire only in self-defence and the fatalities occurred in Indian territories. The two leaders stressed the need to work together on this issue.

The leaders of these two major South Asian countries greeted each other with mutual respect and a shared openness for dialogue. Their 40-minute exchange was candid, productive, and constructive.

"Bangladesh deeply values its relationship with India," said Yunus.

"The deep-rooted friendship between our two countries is founded on intertwined histories, geographical proximity, and cultural affinity. We remain thankful for the unwavering support of the government and people of India during our most challenging time in 1971," he added.​
 

Dhaka-Delhi measures will determine future of relations
Raheed Ejaz
Dhaka
Published: 06 Apr 2025, 11: 48

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Chief Adviser Professor Muhammad Yunus and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi joined a bilateral meeting in Bangkok on 4 April 2025 Facebook page Chief Adviser GOB

At the meeting held between Professor Muhammad Yunus and Narendra Modi in Bangkok after the BIMSTEC summit, the two leaders shared various issues of concern in order to dispel the extreme tension in relations between Bangladesh and India. They countered each other's contentions on certain points. The issue of sending Sheikh Hasina back to Bangladesh was also raised.

Overall, however, the two leaders laid emphasis on advancing relations in the interests of the people of the two countries. During the talks, Indian prime minister Narendra Modi in particular said people are at the centre of Dhaka-Delhi relations. Relations between the two countries were in the interests of the people. The relations did not centre on any individual or party. Narendra Modi requested the interim government's chief advisor to deliver this message to the people of Bangladesh.

Though the word "China" was not uttered per se, the issue was there. At one point of the talks, Narendra Modi said that there was no need for a "third party" in relations between the two countries

At this over half-hour meeting held last Friday at Shangri-La Hotel in the Thai capital Bangkok, the two leaders brought forward issues of the past and present, in the interest of future relations.

Talking to sources present at the meeting, it was evident that the matter of sending Sheikh Hasina back to Bangladesh depended largely on legal procedures. The matter of transparency in the trial of Sheikh Hasina also was raised.

The Yunus-Modi meeting was held exactly a week after the chief advisor of the interim government held bilateral talks with the Chinese president in Beijing. During that meeting, Bangladesh had welcomed Chinese contractors to the proposed project for the common river with India, Teesta. Professor Yunus sought from China a 50-year river and water management master plan. So was the China issue sidestepped at the Bangkok talks?

The matter of border killings was raised at the discussion. The chief advisor said he is always pained when such killings take place. He called upon India to find a way to prevent such incidents.

It was learnt from several members of the Bangladesh delegation present at the meeting that though the word "China" was not uttered per se, the issue was there. At one point of the talks, Narendra Modi said that there was no need for a "third party" in relations between the two countries. Surely it was not possible for any other two countries to understand each other so well, to understand the dreams and emergence of independent Bangladesh. That was why India aspired to always be by the side of Bangladesh in its successes and crises.

When the issue of repression against the minorities, the Hindu community in particular, was raised, India made mention of the role played by the Nobel laureate Professor Muhammad Yunus. On behalf of Bangladesh it was said that most of the incidents of repression took place between 5 to 8 August. This was due to political reasons, not communal. Indian journalists were invited to Bangladesh to see the situation first hand.

The two countries focussed on forward-looking people-oriented relations. The two leaders openly talked about the existing challenges. It is the people who have suffered due to the extreme tensions between the two countries over the past eight months. Indian visas for Bangladeshi nationals have been strongly limited. It has not only become difficult for Bangladeshis to get Indian visas, but also visas to third countries through India. With the drop in visas, there has been a severe lull in bus and train service between the two countries. Yet the visa issue was not raised at the Friday talks.

The matter of border killings was raised at the discussion. The chief advisor said he is always pained when such killings take place. He called upon India to find a way to prevent such incidents, saying that if the killings were reduced, not only would many families be freed of such suffering, but this would help in generating trust and confidence and would also strengthen ties between India and Bangladesh.

In response, Narendra Modi said Indian border guards only opened fire in self defence and the deaths occur within India territory. The two leaders placed importance on working together on the issue.

Speaking to diplomats who were present at Bangkok, it was learnt that Professor Yunus and Narendra Modi had spoken to each other at the dinner hosted in honour of the leaders at the BIMSTEC summit. That unofficial discussion on Thursday had created positive grounds for a meeting the next day between the two leaders. Overall, while the discussions on Friday were positive, both side strongly put forward their respective positions.

According to diplomatic sources, given the present state of relations between the two countries, there was need for communication at the highest political level. Now time will tell how far the two sides will take the relations forward after the Yunus-Modi talks.

A number of diplomats present at the Bangkok meet indicated that neither side had high expectations that these talks would resolve all crises. It was positive that the meeting took place. The two top leaders spoke face to face. And they were both prepared to exchange views with each other at this Bangkok meeting. Memories of past personal contact were recalled. The two leaders expressed their commitment to take relations ahead and their next steps will determine the direction of bilateral cooperation.

Speaking to Prothom Alo, former diplomat and president of Bangladesh Enterprise Institute (BEI) M Humayun Kabir said, the two leaders met and reiterated India and Bangladesh's previous positions. Sitting face to face and discussing these issues directly could create a sense of liability within them to resolve the issues. Perhaps now the two leaders would have the scope to think anew. This might help in taking relations between the two countries ahead. A sort of pressure may be created for both of them to keep the relations normal. So, overall, the Bangkok meeting can been seen as positive.

The Indian prime minister had raised the issue to desisting from statements that led to a deterioration of relations and, M Humayun Kabir said, the same must apply to them too.​
 

Yunus-Modi meeting: Rebooting Indo-Bangla ties
MIR MOSTAFIZUR RAHAMAN
Published :
Apr 08, 2025 00:05
Updated :
Apr 08, 2025 00:05

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The relationship between Bangladesh and India, once celebrated as a 'model of regional cooperation', has faced significant turbulence since the political upheaval in Dhaka last year. The ouster of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina on August 5, 2023, marked the beginning of a downward spiral in bilateral ties. A series of diplomatic missteps, inflammatory rhetoric, and unresolved disputes further strained the bond between the two nations.

Against this tense backdrop, the recent meeting between Bangladesh's Chief Adviser Dr. Muhammad Yunus and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the sidelines of the BIMSTEC Summit in Bangkok, has sparked cautious optimism. The fact that the dialogue took place -- despite uncertainty and resistance from hardliners on both sides -- suggests a mutual desire to mend fences. However, while the meeting may have thawed some of the ice, much more needs to be done to restore trust and ensure sustainable cooperation.

The deterioration in Indo-Bangla relations can be traced to several factors:

The abrupt removal of Sheikh Hasina's government last year created a leadership vacuum, leading to policy paralysis in Dhaka. India, which had enjoyed a close partnership with Hasina's administration, found itself navigating unfamiliar terrain with the new caretaker setup.

Extremist factions in both countries seized the opportunity to fuel tensions. A section of the Indian media launched a relentless campaign portraying Bangladesh as a hotbed of communalism and extremism, further poisoning public sentiment. Similarly, anti-India rhetoric in Bangladesh gained traction, with critics accusing New Delhi of interfering in domestic politics.

Key connectivity projects, including rail and road links, were scaled back disrupting trade and people-to-people exchanges. The suspension of previously agreed-upon initiatives deepened mistrust.

Two contentious issues continue to loom large: first one is the extradition of Sheikh Hasina, against whom Bangladesh court issued warrant for crimes against humanity, and the second is the alleged attacks on minorities in Bangladesh, which has been weaponised by hardliners in India to stoke tensions.

The Yunus-Modi meeting was significant for several reasons. Powerful factions in both the countries have been seeking to derail the dialogue. Hate campaigns and malicious propaganda overshadowed the summit, but the fact that the way the talks proceeded was indicative of a mature diplomatic approach from both sides.

Reports suggest that the discussions covered trade, connectivity, security, and minority rights. However, the lack of a detailed joint statement has led to speculations. Transparency is crucial -- any ambiguity risks fueling further distrust.

By engaging directly, both leaders signalled that dialogue, not confrontation, is the way forward. This is a welcome shift from the zero-sum mindset that has dominated the recent discourse.

Prof Yunus and Mr Modi concluded their 'fruitful and honest dialogue by wishing each other good health and personal well-being' and extended their best wishes for continued peace, progress, and prosperity for the peoples of both countries.

The meeting discussed India's concern over the condition of minorities in Bangladesh. In response, Chief Adviser said, the reports of attacks on the minorities were hugely inflated and "the bulk of them were fake news". He asked the Indian leader to send Indian newsmen to Bangladesh to investigate the alleged attacks themselves.

In the meeting Bangladesh Chief Adviser also told the Indian Prime Minister that his government had instituted an effective system to monitor every incident of religious and gender violence in the country, and his government was taking serious actions to stop occurrence of such incidents.

It is widely believed that such open and frank discussions will help to remove misunderstanding between the two sides and more dialogues will follow the Bangkok meeting.

The leaders of these two major South Asian countries greeted each other with mutual respect and a shared openness for dialogue. Their 40-minute exchange was 'candid, productive, and constructive'.

The tones of the two leaders are worth reviewing. "Bangladesh deeply values its relationship with India, The deep-rooted friendship between our two countries is founded on intertwined histories, geographical proximity, and cultural affinity. We remain thankful for the unwavering support of the government and people of India during our most challenging time in 1971", said Dr Yunus.

In response, the Indian Prime Minister said New Delhi has always attached highest priority to its relationship with Dhaka. "The history of the two neighbours is intricately linked, and it goes back to the birth of Bangladesh", he said.

So there is no doubt that the Bangkok meeting was a positive step, but sustained efforts are needed to repair the strained relationship.

Meanwhile, there is an urgent need to settle the water sharing issue of the 54 rivers that run across the two countries.

India's failure to ink a deal on the water sharing of the Teesta River caused huge resentment among people in Bangladesh.

In fact the ties between the two countries started souring over water sharing issue when India had commissioned the Farrakhan Barrage on the Ganges River to divert its water.

The signing of the Ganges water sharing deal was a positive step to allay the concern of Bangladesh.

However, since the treaty is going to expire next year it is expected that India will show sincerity to renew the deal.

Policy-level figures in both nations must refrain from making derogatory remarks. Media outlets should also be discouraged from sensationalising bilateral tensions.

Many feel that reviving pre-August 2024 transport and trade links should be revived as well as the pending projects like and power grid connectivity expedited.

India must resolve the Hasina extradition issue in line with the aspirations of the majority people of Bangladesh.

Similarly Bangladesh must address concerns over minority safety, while India should avoid exploiting the issue for domestic politics.

After August 2024, India imposed a curb on normal visa issuance process for Bangladeshi citizens which is viewed in Bangladesh as a retaliatory step. Restoring the normalisation of this process is crucial to restore trust.

At the same time, India must remove the perception that it 'takes more than it gives. A win-win framework -- where Bangladesh gains tangible benefits from cooperation -- is essential.

Progressive voices in both countries must counter hardline narratives and promote people-to-people ties.

As the old adage goes, 'You can change your friends, but not your neighbours', neither India nor Bangladesh can afford prolonged hostility. The historical, cultural, and economic bonds between the two nations are too deep to be severed by short-term political turbulence.

The Yunus-Modi meeting has opened a window for reconciliation. Now, both governments must act openly and sincerely, and demonstrate mutual respect to ensure that this opportunity is not squandered. The people of both countries deserve peace, prosperity, and partnership -- not perpetual tension.​
 

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