[🇧🇩] Indo-Bangla Relation: India's Regional Ambition, Geopolitical Reality, and Strategic Options For Bangladesh

[Saif]

Strengthening Trade and Investment Linkages

To promote mutual prosperity, both countries will strengthen trade and investment ties, beginning with negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA). The early operationalization of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) in Mongla and Mirsharai, along with the establishment of new border haats, will further enhance bilateral trade. Improved connectivity infrastructure across road, rail, air, and maritime routes will transform geographical proximity into tangible economic benefits.

Collaborative Water Resource Management

Water resource management remains a priority, with both nations committing to data exchange and formulating frameworks for interim water sharing, guided by the Joint Rivers Commission. Efforts will focus on the conservation and management of the Teesta River with Indian assistance, reflecting a commitment to sustainable and equitable resource utilization.

Cooperation and Regional Stability

The partnership aims to strengthen defence cooperation with a long-term perspective, aligning with the modernization plans of the Bangladesh Armed Forces. This includes exploring defence industrial cooperation and continuing multifaceted military engagements, such as joint exercises, training, and capability development.

Development Cooperation and Capacity Building

A new Framework Agreement for Development Partnership will expand the reach of joint projects and programs, aligned with the priorities of the Bangladeshi government and people. Capacity-building initiatives will extend to civil services, judicial officers, police, and other specialized services, fostering a robust and efficient administrative framework.

Cultural and People-to-People Ties

The rich cultural and historical heritage shared by India and Bangladesh will be nurtured through exchanges among Muktijoddhas, scholars, academics, artists, tourists, students, and youth. Support for Muktijoddhas and their families will be enhanced with new medical and educational programs, strengthening the bond between the two nations.

Facilitating Cross-Border Travel and Essential Commodities

To ease cross-border travel, India will extend e-Medical Visa facilities to Bangladeshi nationals seeking medical treatment in India. Additionally, the opening of a new Assistant High Commission in Rangpur will facilitate expeditious consular and visa services. India will also support Bangladesh with the supply of essential commodities based on availability.

Youth Development and Regional Integration

The partnership will prioritize youth development through education, skilling, entrepreneurship, technology, sports, and creative industries, responding to the aspirations of the younger generation for a better future. Both nations envision their relationship as a cornerstone for regional and sub-regional integration under BIMSTEC, SAARC, and IORA frameworks, working together on global platforms to promote common interests.

Commitment to a Free and Secure Indo-Pacific

Reiterating their commitment to a free, open, inclusive, secure, and rules-based Indo-Pacific region, India and Bangladesh will co-lead the 'Disaster Risk Reduction and Management' pillar of the Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative. This collaboration aims to mitigate disaster risks, build resilient infrastructure, and sustain the shared maritime region.​

 

[Saif]

Bangladesh key part of India's SAGAR doctrine, Indo-Pacific vision: Foreign Secretary Vinay Kwatra

Foreign Secretary Vinay Kwatra has emphasized the significance of Bangladesh in India's strategic plans for regional cooperation and security. He stated that Bangladesh is crucial for India's SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) doctrine and its vision for the Indo-Pacific region...

economictimes.indiatimes.com

Bangladesh is a key part of India's SAGAR doctrine. The two countries agreed to collaborate on frontier technologies, including civil nuclear, oceanography, and space technology. To this end, India will partner in joint development of a small satellite for Bangladesh and its launch using an Indian launch vehicle. Sheikh Hasina has put the last nail in Bangladesh's coffin.

 

[Saif]

Bangladesh’s existence in danger: BNP

The main opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party secretary general, Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir, said on Thursday that the existence of Bangladesh was in...

www.newagebd.net

Bangladesh's existence in danger: BNP
Staff Correspondent 28 June, 2024, 00:26

The main opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party secretary general, Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir, said on Thursday that the existence of Bangladesh was in danger due to the Awami League government's policy towards India.

'Today, the existence of Bangladesh is in danger. You have seen that during the prime minister's recent India visit, all the agreements and memorandums of understanding were made, none in favour of Bangladesh,' Fakhrul said at a human chain programme in Dhaka.

The Women and Children's Rights Forum organised the programme in front of the BNP's Naya Paltan central office, demanding the unconditional release of former prime minister and BNP chairperson Khaleda Zia.

'A foreign minister has been appointed, who again and again gives us the impression that we do not understand the difference between a treaty and a MoU. He advises us to study. I don't want to answer his words. I just want to say one thing, don't be dishonest with the country. Do not fool people and mislead them into signing treaties and agreements that are against the interests of my people,' he said.

Saying that the people want to know what the government has achieved during the prime minister's visit to India, the BNP secretary general said, 'There is no talk of border killing. India is our close friend, such a close friend who shoots and kills our citizens at the border.'

He said that there was no such precedent anywhere in the world, and people could not be misled by how the government was justifying India's killing.

Fakhrul said that the country is in extreme danger, the government is selling the country, and there is no rule of law in the country.

'They [the government] destroyed every institution, the independence of the judiciary has been undermined, and the media has been strangled,' he said, adding that the aim is to prolong the power that has been illegally usurped.

Fakhrul suspected that the renewal of the suspension of the sentence of BNP chairperson Khaleda Zia every six months was a government trick.

He said that Khaleda Zia was sentenced in an arranged case, as the main goal was to remove her from politics.

Khaleda Zia has been detained for using the law illegally, he said, adding that the former prime minister has to fight death every day.

Stating that Khaleda Zia's release movement is significant for the overall movement, the BNP secretary general said that democracy and Khaleda Zia could not be separated.

'Khaleda Zia and democracy are synonymous. If Khaleda Zia can be freed, democracy will be freed. If democracy can be freed, Khaleda Zia will be freed,' he said.​

 

[Deleted due to Error (Muji Iqbal)]

Didn't read the article, but I understand why Bangladesh may want good relations with India. India is a neighbor of Bangladesh and Bangladesh does trade with India. But China is an alternative to India for Bangladesh.

 

[Bilal9]

Sea ports and Air ports are strategic assets. India wants to get a firm grip on Bangladesh by getting transit through Bangladesh and by controlling our ports. This way India manages to reduce our strategic value to China significantly.

Absolutely ! Brilliant observation !

 

[Bilal9]

Didn't read the article, but I understand why Bangladesh may want good relations with India. India is a neighbor of Bangladesh and Bangladesh does trade with India. But China is an alternative to India for Bangladesh.

Bangladeshis may want good relations with Indian CITIZENS, but they will not sell out their country to the Indian Govt.

Such is not fair and not expected. Unfortunately, our leader Hasina has betrayed Bangladeshi interests and sold us down the river to the Indians.

Friendship and fellow-relationship does not mean capitulation.

Neighborly Relationships like these have to be at an even keel, and not one-sided and unilateral like it is at present - only benefitting Indian Govt.

We already give too much to Indian Govt. and they never acknowledge it and are still not happy.

It will be #Indiaout boycott in Bangladesh until we re-shape the current kneeling relationship that Hasina practices toward Indian Govt.

 

[Saif]

Didn't read the article, but I understand why Bangladesh may want good relations with India. India is a neighbor of Bangladesh and Bangladesh does trade with India. But China is an alternative to India for Bangladesh.

Only Sheikh Hasina and her party want to do the slavery of India. The majority population, on the other hand, wants to get rid of Indian clutches at the soonest. India is nobody's friend.

 

[Saif]

What kind of friendship is this to not ask India any reciprocation?

Bangladesh-India relations strengthen as Sheikh Hasina's visit to India emphasizes friendship over reciprocity, leaving a mark on bilateral ties

en.prothomalo.com

What kind of friendship is this to not ask India any reciprocation?
Kamal Ahmed
Updated: 27 Jun 2024, 19: 27

Bangladesh's Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina in a meeting with India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi at Hyderabad House in New DelhiFile photo

When the head of government visits a neighbouring state twice within a span of just two weeks, there certainly must be something special about the relations between the two countries. That was clear in the joint statement of the two prime ministers too. They mentioned the fact that prime minister Sheikh Hasina visited Delhi twice in a matter of two weeks, saying that this was proof of the sincerity and strength of friendship.

The Press Journal of India described the distinctiveness of these bilateral relations. Journalist Jayanta Roy Chowdhury wrote there that "Sheikh Hasina's visit to India ahead of a trip to Beijing was thus all about assuring Delhi that if there is one bright spot left where its 'Neighbourhood First' policy was working it was in the corridors of power in Dhaka."

He held up a dismal picture of India's relations with its other neighbours in South Asia, saying that its relations with Pakistan were frozen in time, Nepal has been veering towards the Chinese orbit and squabbling with India over a map which shows bits and pieces of Kumaon as part of its territory, and Bhutan, in its anxious quest to not antagonise a rising China, is currently busy negotiating its border with Beijing. (Neighbourhood Diplomacy: Dhaka, India's Only Best Friend? 23 June 2024).

Over the past few days the reports and articles appearing in the Indian press concerning Sheikh Hasina's visit mostly highlight that till now Delhi is ahead in the race with Beijing to keep Dhaka at their side.

He also reminded the readers that the president of Maldives, Mohamed Muizzu, appeared on stage with the prime minister Modi during his swearing-in ceremony, but continues in his remarkably pro-Chinese decisions including asking India to take back the few dozen soldiers posted there and cancelling several strategic discussions with India.

Sri Lanka, caught in a Chinese debt trap over expensive projects it signed up for with Beijing has recently announced that China would help "restructure" its loans and also develop more infrastructure on the island. He says, "The circumstances are such that India has only Dhaka to fall back on in the neighbourhood as a 'good friend'."

Over the past few days the reports and articles appearing in the Indian press concerning Sheikh Hasina's visit mostly highlight that till now Delhi is ahead in the race with Beijing to keep Dhaka at their side. Though the issue of Teesta River water management is in focus, the extent and expanse of the overall areas of understanding has a lot more significance.

It was undoubtedly unexpected that a nod was given to India to carry out a study without any funding proposal regarding the conservation and management of Teesta water despite the long-standing standstill in the matter of sharing Teesta's waters. However, prime minister Sheikh Hasina did say that, between the proposals or China and India, she would select which ever she felt was more beneficial.

After the Indian election, prime minister Narendra Modi's comparatively weak third term still hasn't gained momentum as yet. Despite that, prime minister Sheikh Hasina's hurried visit is obviously linked to her China schedule. While the Indian news media quite clearly points this out, we haven't quite heard anyone speak of this in such definite terms.

Deccan Herald's enthusiastic headlines read, "India elbows out China from river conservation project in Bangladesh." Kolkata's Telegraph read, "Delhi's Teesta offer to scuttle China ambition in Bangladesh, Dhaka focus on water-sharing." It wrote, "India is desperate to prevent the Teesta's management going into Chinese hands, for that will not only signal a failure of hydro-diplomacy with its most trusted neighbour but also carry major strategic concerns." Times of India wrote: "Eye on China: India to held Bangladesh conserve Teesta river."

Meanwhile, the letter sent by Mamata Banerjee to prime minister Modi in all likelihood will pose as a considerable obstacle to both management of Teesta's waters and renewal of the Ganges treaty. It is because of Mamata Banerjee's contention that river water management is the state's jurisdiction, that Delhi could not, or did not, approve the Teesta agreement for over the past decade. It would be more accurate to say "did not", rather than "could not", because if Delhi had decided upon implementing the Teesta agreement, the matter possibly would have been settled in India's Supreme Court.

It is not that the influence of geopolitics is limited to foreign policy or defence policy alone. Surely there is no need to reiterate how harmful and intense the impact is on democracy and human rights as well.

It is because of the Indian Supreme Court's role in resolving inter-state water conflicts that this reasoning may arise. After blocking Teesta, the manner in which Mamata Banerjee has written to Modi about the various complications created by Farakka, it seems that the frustration over not receiving the promised share of Ganges water will simply be exacerbated in the days to come.

There is noticeably a difference within the media in India as to whether Bangladesh has proven its trustworthiness as friend to India or not. Almost all of them have expressed concern over the direction of the movement in Bangladesh to boycott India goods, comparing this to the Maldives. But this has been outweighed by the outward expression of their satisfaction with the outcome of prime minister Sheikh Hasina's visit, despite the boycott movement.

The achievements that they list include the agreement to start talks on the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), expanding railway connectivity, joint military hardware manufacture and modernisation of the armed forces, digital and green partnership, and joint space projects. Of this, special importance has been attached to defence cooperation, as an opportunity to curb China's long-standing upper hand in this sector.

When the prime minister returned after such a trip to India in 2018, she had said that India will forever remember what we have given them (30 May 2018, at a press briefing in Ganabhaban). From the MoUs signed this time it is evident that the giving has not ended. When asked about a headline in Anandabazar Patrika to the effect that 'Bangladesh wants reciprocation from India', she had replied, "I do not want anything in return. What is there to return?" It seems she still maintains that stand of not wanting anything in return.

Europe is a good example of railway connectivity. However, our so-called connectivity can in no way be compared to the railway network throughout the European continent. The benefits of expanding our connectivity are basically restricted to India and only one side stands to gain. Only if the connectivity is extended to the entire South Asia can this be compared to Europe. Yet the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) is more or less dead and that is because of the political conflict between India and Pakistan. This has now been compounded by the impact of India's political conflict with China.

It is not that the influence of geopolitics is limited to foreign policy or defence policy alone. Surely there is no need to reiterate how harmful and intense the impact is on democracy and human rights as well.

* Kamal Ahmed is a senior journalist​

 

[Bilal9]

Dr. Zahed explains WHY India helped us in 1971, meaning their actual intent.

 

[Saif]

The Bangladesh-India friendship dilemma

India’s current leaders along with big business oligarchy have been pursuing a one-sided foreign policy.

www.thedailystar.net

The Bangladesh-India friendship dilemma

There is a common perception that the bilateral relationship benefits India much more than it does Bangladesh. FILE PHOTO: AFP

India is Bangladesh's biggest neighbour. We are connected through our shared border, history, cultural traits, and language, among other things. Various threads bind us, including Bangladesh's Liberation War in 1971. Considering all this, having a friendly, healthy relationship with India is as important for us as it is for them.

However, India's current leaders along with big business oligarchy have been pursuing a one-sided foreign policy. Their dominant mindset to extend their influence in the neighbourhood has created an unbalanced relationship in South Asia. This has raised questions and created reservations among the people in other countries. Therefore, it is not surprising that, except for Bangladesh, India is not on the best terms with the South Asian governments.

As our current government has said on a number of occasions, the relationship between Bangladesh and India has reached new heights since it came to power. That is true for the government, but not for the people. And there is a common perception that this relationship benefits India much more than it does Bangladesh. Our prime minister recently went on a formal visit to India, and all the memorandums of understandings and agreements made there seem to re-establish that notion. Bangladesh's interests seem to have been downplayed considerably, and objective critical questions of our citizens have once again been ignored.

Consider the fact that Bangladesh shares the border with India on three sides, and India is putting up a barbed wire fence on this entire border. This is not an example of friendship. Surrounding an entire country is akin to holding it captive. While the Bangladesh government has not spoken against this issue, our citizens are concerned. India's reasoning behind putting up the barbed wire fence is to prevent criminals from Bangladesh from entering India. If India's understanding is that criminals are going to enter its territory from Bangladesh, how can it ask for a transit through Bangladesh? If they believe ours is a country filled with criminals who must be contained with a barbed wire fence around our entire border, how can they ensure the security of their goods while using our roads and rivers for transit? Last month, the countries agreed on railway transit through Bangladesh as well.

We have been hearing about transit benefits even before our current government came to power, with promises of billions of dollars in earnings for Bangladesh. But in reality, now that the transit is being formalised during this government's time, we are not seeing the financial benefits for us—not even one percent of what was promised. On the contrary, Dr Mashiur Rahman, the economic affairs adviser to the prime minister, once regarded demanding any such financial benefits or gains as "uncivilised." This means India will get transit benefits through Bangladesh, which gives them economic gains, while Bangladesh gains nothing. Moreover, the additional pressure on our roads, bridges, and rivers and the resulting damage to our environment, economy, and businesses will be significant.

While India will be able to transit through Bangladesh, the latter still cannot have the same access for a mere 30-40 kilometres to establish business ties with Nepal or Bhutan. Our government says that ties with Nepal and Bhutan will be established, but nothing has been formalised yet. There are many direct and indirect barriers to this, caused by India.

Also, in terms of business, thousands of Indian products find a place in Bangladesh's markets. But when it comes to exporting goods from Bangladesh to India, there are many barriers, tariffs, and non-tariffs, so we don't get the same business benefits in India as it does in Bangladesh. India is also gaining access to our seas. I can't help but ask: how can we ensure our country's national security in this state of affairs?

Then there is the water-sharing issue. Many of Bangladesh's rivers originate in India. Being upstream, India has constructed dams and other structures to control the water flow in the rivers, preventing us from getting the water we need. Instead of giving us the water, India now wants management responsibilities of the Teesta River.

The border killings have still not stopped. Even after our prime minister returned from her India tour last month, there have been reports of border killings.

Is India truly interested in the multilateral development of South Asia? To unlock the power in this region, we need to have multilateral cooperation among all the countries. Bilateral relationships can only take us so far. To justify the new bilateral agreements that happened during her recent visit to India, our prime minister mentioned the European Union as an example. But in reality, our bilateral relationship with India and the transit deal do not compare with the agreements in the EU in any way. The EU is a comprehensive economic and political system, where every country has rights over every other country, and they give the same rights to each other. Economic and communication benefits are ensured for all the countries in the EU. There is the European Central Bank, the euro currency, and an institutional structure.

A union of South Asia is truly important for our future, and that is something in which I firmly believe. But it is probably not going to be possible with India's current mindset of extending influence and the one-sided relationship-building approach. If we have a South Asian Union, we can utilise the massive amount of wealth and opportunities that lies here. Doing so can put a stop to communalism, corruption and the massive waste of wealth. It can create a multi-language, multinational, multi-ethnic community. This is only possible if the rights, wants, and needs of all the nations are ensured, and one country is not given priority over another. It should be a political demand of all the South Asian countries: a South Asian solidarity. It is for the sake of the citizens of South Asia that this should be prioritised.

The current leaders in India, and the business stakeholders, are not doing this to the rest of South Asian nations only. In truth, they are doing it to the majority of the Indian citizens as well, prioritising their own interests. So it is also for the sake of Indian citizens that a multilateral, multicultural union needs to be planned, finalised, and brought to reality. It should be clear to everyone that subordination and friendship are not the same. We want friendship, and that can only be achieved when we are treated as equals.

Anu Muhammad is a former professor of economics of Jahangirnagar University.​

 

[Saif]

Hasan Mahmud meets Jaishankar in New Delhi

Bangladesh Foreign Minister Hasan Mahmud today held a meeting with his Indian counterpart S Jaishankar in New Delhi and discussed ways to further promote bilateral ties

www.thedailystar.net

Hasan Mahmud meets Jaishankar in New Delhi

Photo: X/Dr S Jaishankar

Bangladesh Foreign Minister Hasan Mahmud today held a meeting with his Indian counterpart S Jaishankar in New Delhi and discussed ways to further promote bilateral ties.

After the meeting, Jaishankar wrote on X, formerly Twitter, "Good to meet Bangladesh FM @DrHasanMahmud62 this evening in New Delhi."

In a separate post, he said, "The frequent high-level exchanges reflect the strength of India-Bangladesh Maitri. Discussed ways of advancing it further."

Mahmud, who had accompanied Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina on a visit to China recently, is in New Delhi to attend the two-day meeting of Foreign Ministers of BIMSTEC countries -- Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal, India, Sri Lanka, Myanmar and Thailand, reports our New Delhi correspondent.​

 

[Saif]

I liked what Major(rtd) Hafiz had to say about India.

 

[Saif]

BJP leaders lodge protest with Bangladesh mission in Kolkata

Senior leader of Bharatiya Janata Party Suvendu Adhikari from the Indian state of West Bengal submitted a protest note to the Bangladesh deputy high commission in Kolkata on Monday, urging action against those who chanted anti-India slogans during recent student protests, according to Indian...

www.newagebd.net

BJP leaders lodge protest with Bangladesh mission in Kolkata
New Age Online 30 July, 2024, 05:52

Senior leader of Bharatiya Janata Party Suvendu Adhikari from the Indian state of West Bengal submitted a protest note to the Bangladesh deputy high commission in Kolkata on Monday, urging action against those who chanted anti-India slogans during recent student protests, according to Indian media outlet theweek.in.

Adhikari, who is the leader of the opposition in the West Bengal assembly, visited the Bangladesh deputy high commission with a group of BJP MLAs and met with Bangladeshi officials.

'We met with officials at the Bangladesh deputy high commission and appealed to them to take action against the people who chanted anti-India slogans. During the recent protests in Bangladesh, slogans were raised against India, and insults were hurled at Indian leaders and the Hindu religion,' Adhikari was quoted as saying.​

 

[Bilal9]

New foreign affairs adviser told Indian envoy today that Bangladesh will expect her exact proportional share of Teesta water, and there will be no leeway on that issue.

 

[Bilal9]

Indian businesses (which personally fund Modi's Hindutva activities) are set to lose big - now that Hasina (who actively encouraged Hindutva exploitation in Bangladesh) is out of the picture. What some of the reports below conveniently fail to mention, though, are that Bangladeshi exports to India are paltry ($2 Billion) against Indian exports to Bangladesh ($40 Billion plus, with Bangladeshi tourism and services counted in, medical or otherwise, to India). This unequal state of trade affairs has existed for over fifty years - with India benefitting immensely (mainly Indian states surrounding Bangladesh, with WB at the forefront. India benefitted for fifty years by imposing this unequal trade on Bangladesh since 1971. They have been paid back more than ever for help in 1971 handsomely yet they keep reminding us at every opportunity about 1971.

Bangladesh crisis: Marico, Emami among Indian companies affected

The turmoil in Bangladesh has affected several Indian companies, especially those with significant operations or market presence in the country.

www.indiatoday.in

Bangladesh crisis: How trade with India could face major disruptions

Bangladesh is a major market for India's cotton exports and imports significant amounts of petroleum products and cereals from India.

www.indiatoday.in