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[🇧🇩] Insurgency in India's North-East---Why does India blame Bangladesh?

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[🇧🇩] Insurgency in India's North-East---Why does India blame Bangladesh?
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Manipur CM quits after months of ethnic strife

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The chief minister of BJP-ruled northeastern Indian state of Manipur N Biren Singh yesterday resigned after months of ethnic strife that left more than 250 people dead.

"It has been an honour to serve the people of Manipur so far," Singh said in his resignation letter which he handed over to Manipur Governor Ajay Kumar Bhalla at the Raj Bhavan in Imphal.

Singh's resignation came after a two-hour-long meeting with Indian Home Minister Amit Shah and BJP President JP Nadda in New Delhi yesterday.

On Saturday, Singh had convened a meeting with BJP-led ruling alliance legislators in Imphal in the wake of the opposition Congress seeking to move a no-confidence motion against the government led by Singh during the budget session of the state legislature.

The strife between Manipur's majority Meitei and minority tribal Kuki communities in the state of 3.2 million people broke out in May 2023 and has rendered 60,000 people homeless.

The ethnic violence involving Manipur's two largest ethnic groups erupted after a court had ordered the Manipur government to consider extending the special economic benefits and quotas in government jobs and education enjoyed by Kuki people to Meiteis as well.

Although major clashes have stopped, sporadic violence between the two ethnic groups have continued.​
 

President’s rule imposed in Manipur days after CM resigns
New Age Desk 14 February, 2025, 00:14

Days after N Biren Singh resigned as Manipur chief minister, the centre on Thursday imposed president’s rule in the state of India.

The announcement came after president Droupadi Murmu received a report from Manipur governor Ajay Bhalla, reported The Indian Express.

Before imposing president’s rule, a security plan was prepared to avoid any untoward incidents and the state police, along with other agencies, are monitoring the movement of leaders who they believe could incite violence in the valley.

Manipur has been witnessing ethnic conflict between the Meitei and Kuki-Zo communities since May 2023. More than 200 people have been killed in the conflict.

Biren Singh, who had been CM in the Bharatiya Janata Party-led government of Manipur, resigned from his post on Sunday after a meeting with union home minister Amit Shah and BJP national president JP Nadda.

In November 2024, the Conrad Sangma-led National People’s Party had withdrawn support to the Biren Singh government.

In a notification issued Thursday evening, union home secretary Govind Mohan said that the following proclamation by the president was published for general information: ‘Whereas, I, Droupadi Murmu, president of India, have received a report from the governor of Manipur and after considering the report and other information, I am satisfied that a situation has arisen in which the government of that state cannot be carried on in accordance with the provisions of the constitution of India.’

‘Now, therefore, in exercise of the powers conferred by article 356 of the Constitution, and of all other powers enabling me in that behalf, I hereby proclaim that all functions of the government of Manipur and all powers vested in or exercisable by the governor of the that state, and declare that the powers of the legislature of the said state will be exercisable by or under the authority of parliament,’ the notification said.

On Sunday, governor Ajay Bhalla had issued a notification declaring that the state legislative assembly would not convene on Monday as scheduled. The notification declared the previous orders summoning the assembly ‘null and void’.

A source in the security establishment said that senior police officers and all the security personnel of paramilitary forces were deployed on the ground, and also asked to generate information from the ground.

‘We are expecting protests in the valley and proper arrangements have been made to handle any sort of situation. Extra deployment has been made outside the premises of senior political leaders, and currently we are also monitoring movement of all the leaders who could incite violence,’ the source said.​
 

Yunus’ comment on seven sisters: ‘Made with honest intention’
Says CA’s high representative

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Dhaka says Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus's comment relating to the Northeastern states of India was made with honest intention, keeping in mind the potential of regional connectivity.

"He made the statement with honest intention. If a different interpretation is provided, we cannot prevent it," said Khalilur Rahman, chief adviser's high representative for the Rohingya issue and other priorities, at a media briefing yesterday when asked for comment as many Indian leaders have strongly reacted to the statement.

Addressing a discussion in Beijing on March 28, Yunus had tried to convince Chinese businesses to set up industries in Bangladesh and export to the rest of the world and even China by taking advantage of the country's seaway.

"Seven Sisters of India are a landlocked region -- they have no way to reach the ocean. We are the only guardian of the ocean for all of this region. This opens up a huge possibility," he told the roundtable.

Yunus also said that Nepal and Bhutan have unlimited hydropower, which is a blessing for the region.

"We can bring it to our purpose for setting up factories and so on. From Bangladesh, you can go anywhere you want. The ocean is in our backyard. So, this is the opportunity that you want to take," he said.

A number of Indian leaders, however, reacted sharply to Yunus's comments.

In a statement posted on X on Tuesday, Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma said the remarks by Yunus were "offensive" and highlighted the ongoing vulnerability associated with India's strategic "Chicken's Neck" corridor.

He focused on developing more robust railway and road networks both underneath and around the Chicken's Neck corridor, warning that Yunus's remarks reflected broader geopolitical ambitions that India could not ignore.

Pradyot Manikya, chief of the Tipra Motha Party and titular King from Tripura, urged India to consider securing its access to the sea by pursuing a more forceful approach, controversially suggesting that India contemplate breaking up Bangladesh in order to access the sea directly.

He suggested that the indigenous communities in Chittagong Hill Tracts in Bangladesh, including the Tripuri, Garo, Khasi and Chakma people, should be supported in the quest for a strategic sea route for India, reports India TV.

Some Indian scholars said the remarks by Yunus were provocative.

Asked about Bangladesh's position on Indian leaders' reactions, Rahman said Yunus had not made this comment for the first time; he made similar comments in 2012.

He also referred to the then-Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who in 2023 had spoken of a vision of creating an industrial value chain connecting Bangladesh and Northeast India, which was known as BIG-B or the Bay of Bengal Industrial Growth Belt.

"I had earlier said connectivity can unleash the potentials of the region, especially for those who find it difficult to have access to the sea. We will not impose connectivity on anyone. We are not in that position. If anybody accepts, well. What can we do if it is not accepted? We have nothing to do. We can only say that we are willing to provide connectivity for the equitable benefit of all."​
 
"I had earlier said connectivity can unleash the potentials of the region, especially for those who find it difficult to have access to the sea. We will not impose connectivity on anyone. We are not in that position. If anybody accepts, well. What can we do if it is not accepted? We have nothing to do. We can only say that we are willing to provide connectivity for the equitable benefit of all."
Exactly - this is the only way the seven sisters can develop. Legally.

Pradyot Manikya, chief of the Tipra Motha Party and titular King from Tripura, urged India to consider securing its access to the sea by pursuing a more forceful approach, controversially suggesting that India contemplate breaking up Bangladesh in order to access the sea directly.

He suggested that the indigenous communities in Chittagong Hill Tracts in Bangladesh, including the Tripuri, Garo, Khasi and Chakma people, should be supported in the quest for a strategic sea route for India, reports India TV.

The guy is clearly not being pragmatic, he already lost his credibility.

What this young hot-blooded idiot doesn't realize - is that punching a hole through Bangladesh to get "sea access" is not a credible idea, we Bangladeshis won't be sitting idle if this happens.

I am sure there are other Indian politicians who make way more sense than this guy...
 

CHIEF ADVISER'S 'LANDLOCKED' REMARK: Why is India losing sleep over a well-accepted fact?

Just a few years ago, India openly acknowledged this geographic reality and praised transit routes through Bangladesh for improving connectivity

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Chief Advisor Yunus’ factual claim to China that India’s Northeastern states are landlocked received widespread criticism from India. Photo: GOB

On 3 September 2020, The Economic Times of India published a report titled 'India, Bangladesh Launch New Initiative to Connect Landlocked North East'. It highlighted how the Bangladeshi vessel MB Premier transported cement to Tripura, covering 93 km along the Gumti River. The report described this as a significant milestone in India-Bangladesh cooperation.

Landlocked refers to countries or regions surrounded by land with no direct access to the sea.

So, the Economic Times report was correct in describing the North Eastern part of India as landlocked.

However, today India has chosen to overreact to Dr Muhammad Yunus' comments about the Indian northeastern states as being 'landlocked' and the importance of Bangladesh as the "guardian to the ocean".

"Seven [eastern] states of India… are landlocked regions of India. They have no way to reach out to the ocean," Yunus said. "We are the only guardians of the ocean for all this region. So this opens up a huge possibility. So this could be an extension of the Chinese economy. Build things, produce things, market things, bring things to China, bring it out to the whole rest of the world," he said.

Almost anything Dr Yunus, the leader of Bangladesh's interim government, says or does seems to provoke India. His comment about the northeastern states being landlocked was no exception, drawing widespread criticism.

For instance, Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma dismissed Yunus' remarks as "offensive" and "strongly condemnable". Referring to Bangladesh's "so-called interim government," Sarma said, "Such provocative statements by Md Younis [sic] must not be taken lightly, as they reflect deeper strategic considerations and longstanding agendas."

Meanwhile, lawmakers in Tripura see Yunus' comment as "an indirect threat".

Pradyot Kishore Manikya Debbarma, founder of TIPRA Motha and a partner in the ruling alliance, said, "This is an indirect threat to the Seven Sisters of the northeast… I want to tell the Government of India that until we change our position and have an alternative strategy, this man, this country will keep threatening us."

This is not something provocative or controversial… In fact, China's Yunnan province is also landlocked, so making this comment to the Chinese is merely pointing out the reality that the northeastern states do not have access to the sea… Indian northeastern states, their leaders, and current governments have previously acknowledged that to reach the sea, they need a friendly relationship with Bangladesh. Dr Yunus is simply stating something that the leaders of India's northeastern states fully understand." Professor Ali Ashraf, Chairman, Department of International Relations, University of Dhaka.

The Times of India also published a comment from defence expert Captain Anil Gaur, who linked Yunus' remarks to Bangladesh's economic situation. He claimed, "Bangladesh's economy has collapsed," suggesting that this was why Yunus praised China and sought its support.

While India now takes serious offence at the mention of its northeastern states being landlocked and Bangladesh its way to the ocean, it was not always so. Just a few years ago, India openly acknowledged this geographic reality and praised transit routes through Bangladesh for improving connectivity. This shift in attitude seems to reflect India's difficulty in accepting the political changes in Dhaka after Sheikh Hasina's departure, as she was seen as loyal to Delhi.

In March 2021, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Sheikh Hasina inaugurated the Maitri Setu, a 1.9 km bridge connecting Sabroom in India to Ramgarh in Bangladesh over the Feni River.

At the time, Modi stated, "The bridge will improve connectivity of South Assam, Mizoram, and Manipur, along with Tripura, with Bangladesh and Southeast Asia." The Indian Prime Minister's Office also declared that Tripura was set to become the 'Gateway of the Northeast' with access to Bangladesh's Chattogram Port.

There was no shame in accepting the simple geographical fact that the northeast is landlocked and its access to the sea through Bangladesh. However, to a biased perspective, even the clearest path may seem distorted. If India were able to adjust to the new political realities in Bangladesh, Yunus' statement of a geographical fact might not have sounded so harsh.

"This is not something provocative or controversial. It is simply a statement reflecting the new political reality that the northeastern states are literally landlocked. In fact, China's Yunnan province is also landlocked, so making this comment to the Chinese is merely pointing out the reality that the northeastern states do not have access to the sea. Any territory without sea access is at a geographical disadvantage and needs to maintain good relations with a neighbouring country that has access to the sea," said Professor Ali Ashraf, Chairman of the Department of International Relations at the University of Dhaka.

"Recognising these geopolitical realities, Indian northeastern states, their leaders, and current governments have previously acknowledged that to reach the sea, they need a friendly relationship with Bangladesh. Dr Yunus is simply stating something that the leaders of India's northeastern states fully understand," he added.

For example, during Sheikh Hasina's tenure, an agreement on the Indo-Bangla rail link was signed during her final visit to India before her ousting. This rail link provided an alternative route to the Siliguri Corridor. Indian Union Minister of State for Social Justice and Social Empowerment, Pratima Bhoumik, praised how the project improved connectivity in the northeast, dramatically reducing travel time from Agartala to Kolkata via Bangladesh — from 32 hours to just 10 hours.

The development was seen positively, with hopes it would boost trade, business and investment in the northeastern region.

Tripura Chief Minister Manik Saha proudly spoke about his state's potential as a gateway, not only to Southeast Asian nations but also to many other countries, thanks to the strategic Chattogram Port in Bangladesh. "The future of Tripura is bright. Once the rail connectivity is established, we will be able to reach Kolkata in a short period," he had said at the time.
But when Yunus discusses regional economic possibilities, the Indian leadership is not receptive. In fact, New Delhi has never been comfortable with Yunus' visit to China, despite showing little interest at the time.

"We actually expressed our interest and requested the Indian side as early as December the previous year for a bilateral visit by Chief Adviser Prof Yunus to India," Press Secretary Shafiqul Alam told The Hindu newspaper. "This request was made weeks before his visit to China was finalised. Unfortunately, we did not receive a positive response."

New Delhi also failed to confirm Dhaka's request for a meeting between Yunus and Modi on the sidelines of the BIMSTEC summit. This highlights that, despite Bangladesh's efforts to normalise relations with India, New Delhi is not serious about improving ties and instead seems to be undermining Dhaka's diplomatic success elsewhere.

However, Sheikh Hasina was not only favoured by Delhi but also maintained close ties with Beijing, given that it was effectively a one-party state.

As the General Secretary of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir remarked, "During the previous Awami League government, China maintained unilateral ties with a single party. However, with the change in government, China has adjusted its approach."

Yet, India is seemingly failing to adjust its perspective.

Professor Ali Ashraf explained that when Dr Yunus referred to Bangladesh as the "guardian of the ocean" for the northeastern states, he was emphasising that Bangladesh has valuable geopolitical leverage. India should take this into consideration.

Given that China and India are strategic competitors in the region, China could consider investing in Bangladesh, allowing all three countries — Bangladesh, India and China — to mutually benefit.

"From a liberal trade perspective," the professor continued, "Yunus highlighted the importance of market access, economic prosperity, trade, connectivity, and regionalism. This is in line with the spirit of the Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar [BCIM] Project. The whole purpose is to promote trade and connectivity that benefits all countries, particularly the landlocked northeastern states and China's Yunnan province."​
 

CHIEF ADVISER'S 'LANDLOCKED' REMARK: Why is India losing sleep over a well-accepted fact?

Just a few years ago, India openly acknowledged this geographic reality and praised transit routes through Bangladesh for improving connectivity

View attachment 16228
Chief Advisor Yunus’ factual claim to China that India’s Northeastern states are landlocked received widespread criticism from India. Photo: GOB

On 3 September 2020, The Economic Times of India published a report titled 'India, Bangladesh Launch New Initiative to Connect Landlocked North East'. It highlighted how the Bangladeshi vessel MB Premier transported cement to Tripura, covering 93 km along the Gumti River. The report described this as a significant milestone in India-Bangladesh cooperation.

Landlocked refers to countries or regions surrounded by land with no direct access to the sea.

So, the Economic Times report was correct in describing the North Eastern part of India as landlocked.

However, today India has chosen to overreact to Dr Muhammad Yunus' comments about the Indian northeastern states as being 'landlocked' and the importance of Bangladesh as the "guardian to the ocean".

"Seven [eastern] states of India… are landlocked regions of India. They have no way to reach out to the ocean," Yunus said. "We are the only guardians of the ocean for all this region. So this opens up a huge possibility. So this could be an extension of the Chinese economy. Build things, produce things, market things, bring things to China, bring it out to the whole rest of the world," he said.

Almost anything Dr Yunus, the leader of Bangladesh's interim government, says or does seems to provoke India. His comment about the northeastern states being landlocked was no exception, drawing widespread criticism.

For instance, Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma dismissed Yunus' remarks as "offensive" and "strongly condemnable". Referring to Bangladesh's "so-called interim government," Sarma said, "Such provocative statements by Md Younis [sic] must not be taken lightly, as they reflect deeper strategic considerations and longstanding agendas."

Meanwhile, lawmakers in Tripura see Yunus' comment as "an indirect threat".

Pradyot Kishore Manikya Debbarma, founder of TIPRA Motha and a partner in the ruling alliance, said, "This is an indirect threat to the Seven Sisters of the northeast… I want to tell the Government of India that until we change our position and have an alternative strategy, this man, this country will keep threatening us."

This is not something provocative or controversial… In fact, China's Yunnan province is also landlocked, so making this comment to the Chinese is merely pointing out the reality that the northeastern states do not have access to the sea… Indian northeastern states, their leaders, and current governments have previously acknowledged that to reach the sea, they need a friendly relationship with Bangladesh. Dr Yunus is simply stating something that the leaders of India's northeastern states fully understand." Professor Ali Ashraf, Chairman, Department of International Relations, University of Dhaka.

The Times of India also published a comment from defence expert Captain Anil Gaur, who linked Yunus' remarks to Bangladesh's economic situation. He claimed, "Bangladesh's economy has collapsed," suggesting that this was why Yunus praised China and sought its support.

While India now takes serious offence at the mention of its northeastern states being landlocked and Bangladesh its way to the ocean, it was not always so. Just a few years ago, India openly acknowledged this geographic reality and praised transit routes through Bangladesh for improving connectivity. This shift in attitude seems to reflect India's difficulty in accepting the political changes in Dhaka after Sheikh Hasina's departure, as she was seen as loyal to Delhi.

In March 2021, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Sheikh Hasina inaugurated the Maitri Setu, a 1.9 km bridge connecting Sabroom in India to Ramgarh in Bangladesh over the Feni River.

At the time, Modi stated, "The bridge will improve connectivity of South Assam, Mizoram, and Manipur, along with Tripura, with Bangladesh and Southeast Asia." The Indian Prime Minister's Office also declared that Tripura was set to become the 'Gateway of the Northeast' with access to Bangladesh's Chattogram Port.

There was no shame in accepting the simple geographical fact that the northeast is landlocked and its access to the sea through Bangladesh. However, to a biased perspective, even the clearest path may seem distorted. If India were able to adjust to the new political realities in Bangladesh, Yunus' statement of a geographical fact might not have sounded so harsh.

"This is not something provocative or controversial. It is simply a statement reflecting the new political reality that the northeastern states are literally landlocked. In fact, China's Yunnan province is also landlocked, so making this comment to the Chinese is merely pointing out the reality that the northeastern states do not have access to the sea. Any territory without sea access is at a geographical disadvantage and needs to maintain good relations with a neighbouring country that has access to the sea," said Professor Ali Ashraf, Chairman of the Department of International Relations at the University of Dhaka.

"Recognising these geopolitical realities, Indian northeastern states, their leaders, and current governments have previously acknowledged that to reach the sea, they need a friendly relationship with Bangladesh. Dr Yunus is simply stating something that the leaders of India's northeastern states fully understand," he added.

For example, during Sheikh Hasina's tenure, an agreement on the Indo-Bangla rail link was signed during her final visit to India before her ousting. This rail link provided an alternative route to the Siliguri Corridor. Indian Union Minister of State for Social Justice and Social Empowerment, Pratima Bhoumik, praised how the project improved connectivity in the northeast, dramatically reducing travel time from Agartala to Kolkata via Bangladesh — from 32 hours to just 10 hours.

The development was seen positively, with hopes it would boost trade, business and investment in the northeastern region.

Tripura Chief Minister Manik Saha proudly spoke about his state's potential as a gateway, not only to Southeast Asian nations but also to many other countries, thanks to the strategic Chattogram Port in Bangladesh. "The future of Tripura is bright. Once the rail connectivity is established, we will be able to reach Kolkata in a short period," he had said at the time.
But when Yunus discusses regional economic possibilities, the Indian leadership is not receptive. In fact, New Delhi has never been comfortable with Yunus' visit to China, despite showing little interest at the time.

"We actually expressed our interest and requested the Indian side as early as December the previous year for a bilateral visit by Chief Adviser Prof Yunus to India," Press Secretary Shafiqul Alam told The Hindu newspaper. "This request was made weeks before his visit to China was finalised. Unfortunately, we did not receive a positive response."

New Delhi also failed to confirm Dhaka's request for a meeting between Yunus and Modi on the sidelines of the BIMSTEC summit. This highlights that, despite Bangladesh's efforts to normalise relations with India, New Delhi is not serious about improving ties and instead seems to be undermining Dhaka's diplomatic success elsewhere.

However, Sheikh Hasina was not only favoured by Delhi but also maintained close ties with Beijing, given that it was effectively a one-party state.

As the General Secretary of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir remarked, "During the previous Awami League government, China maintained unilateral ties with a single party. However, with the change in government, China has adjusted its approach."

Yet, India is seemingly failing to adjust its perspective.

Professor Ali Ashraf explained that when Dr Yunus referred to Bangladesh as the "guardian of the ocean" for the northeastern states, he was emphasising that Bangladesh has valuable geopolitical leverage. India should take this into consideration.

Given that China and India are strategic competitors in the region, China could consider investing in Bangladesh, allowing all three countries — Bangladesh, India and China — to mutually benefit.

"From a liberal trade perspective," the professor continued, "Yunus highlighted the importance of market access, economic prosperity, trade, connectivity, and regionalism. This is in line with the spirit of the Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar [BCIM] Project. The whole purpose is to promote trade and connectivity that benefits all countries, particularly the landlocked northeastern states and China's Yunnan province."​
Although BJP Indians did not have a problem with this topic when Hasina said it some years ago (because at that time Indians had high hopes that they'd get transit through Bangladesh), now they have a problem hearing it from Dr. Yunus because they realize no way until hell freezes over they are getting transit through Bangladesh. :)

I have always said - and it is worth repeating here again, that giving BJP India transit through Bangladesh is a bad, bad idea. Both financially as well as defence-strategy wise.

Why?

For starters, BJP Indians will never pay properly for transit, kanjoos as they are. They tried to sweet-talk us before that it will be like schengen countries and we can model it after that, and live happily ever after. But BJP-led India and Bangladesh are not in the EU, and although a neighbor, Bangladesh is not lucky to have a dadagiri country like BJP India as its neighbor.

So far - in the last fifty years we have seen that the BJP wants everything handed to it in a golden platter and they still want it for free. They all seriously believe in that. Kapisch? So that topic is out.

Second, and more importantly, opening up transit through Bangladesh is letting Indian troops and material through it, which is completely counter to Bangladeshi Armed Forces defence strategy as well as that of our economic ally, China.

The most ideal and most profitable position that the seven sisters are in (and will be for the near future) - is as suppliers of forestry and mineral resources to Bangladesh, including oil from Assam. They don't really need sea access, what they need is a partnership with Bangladesh to supply raw materials since they all border Bangladesh more or less. Some industrialization in the seven sisters is possible, but will always be unprofitable, they neither possess the manpower nor the expertise. Indian industrialists are simply not interested in that.

In this respect, the BJP and RSS-led seven sisters are a hinterland economic asset to Bangladesh (and also appropriate consumers of Bangladeshi products, because India is so far away). This is the natural disposition of the seven sisters. Once they get their head extricated from their collective rear-ends - they will be able to see that, for their own economic benefit.

Sorry to be so obtuse, but Hindutva folks are not easy to convince, it seems.

Seems - that after a tight thappad received from 5th Aug 2024 (which basically meant an abject and manifest failure of India's AL-focused foreign policy), even normal everyday situational topics seem insulting now.
 
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