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[🇧🇩] Geopolitical Importance of Bangladesh
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Geopolitical importance of Bangladesh
Published : Monday, 4 September, 2023 at 12:00 AM Count : 5568

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Alaul Alam

In the last fifty years Bangladesh has made a remarkable success in its every sector. Once branded as a "bottomless basket" is being considered now as a miracle of South Asia due to its emerging economic growth. The country has made a surprising success story over the years for which it is being considered as a global model for development, economic growth, poverty mitigation, and gender equality.

In some decades with its positive economic growth the country is firmly graduating from the least developed countries, which is predicted to be one of the 25 largest economies in the world by 2035. The country has earned geopolitical significance due to its rising prominence in the global economy.

Ashore of the Bay of Bengal the country has become very prominent in the world politics. Geopolitics of the country refers to interstate politics which depends on its territory. Geographically, situated in South Asia the country has become a rising star in the global geopolitical arena sharing both land and maritime borders with India and Myanmar.

Bangladesh has been made geographically important in the Bay of Bengal which has direct influence over landlocked - Assam, Meghalaya, Tripura, Mizoram, Manipur, Nagaland, and Arunachal Pradesh- Nepal, Bhutan. Being located in Indian mainland the country's strategic importance is very crucial.

Again, it is obvious that the Bay of Bengal has been a fertile ground for geopolitics over the centuries. Apart from Bangladesh, Srilanka, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Malaysia and Sumatra of Indonesia share their shores in the Bay of Bengal which have direct influence on the sea area of Bengal.

It is evident that major powerful countries prioritize the dominance over sea to dominate the world. However, the geopolitics surrounding the Bay of Bengal occurs not only for commercial but also for security purposes of a major power. Bangladesh situated in geographically favorable position has been a center of interests for USA, China, Nepal, Bhutan and Australia while some are interested to use seaports of the country to accelerate their trade and the others think it important in the South Asian as well as in global geopolitics.

India, an economically emerging state spans three sides of border with Bangladesh is always keen to observe strategies, policies and overallinternal politics of Bangladesh. The geographical position of Bangladesh has connected it with a natural link between South Asia and Southeast Asia. So, the participation of the country in case of strengthening regional cooperation is crucial in the two giant trade blocs in Asia-- the Association of the Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC). Besides, being a geopolitical ally to India Bangladesh has the potential to facilitate greater integration between Northeast India and Central India.

It is obvious that the diplomatic ties between Bangladesh and India is historical. Over the years these two neighboring countries have been on good term. Commonalities originating in Bangladesh- India relationship are tradition, culture, language, and shared principles such as secularism, democracy, etc. Since the Awami League coming to power in 2009, bilateral relations have peaked between the two countries. However, some issues between two countries are yet to be settled, such as water disputes, border killings, religious tension, and maritime border disputes. Border killing and illegal migration sometimes creates strain in Bangladesh and India relationship.

It is no denial that the Sino-Indian rivalry often puts Bangladesh in an advantaged position as the country maintains a balanced diplomatic act between India and China. During the Covid-19 pandemic we saw high level talks of the leaders of the two countries-Bangladesh and India and India helped its allies sending Covid vaccines. Bangladesh was fortunate to have vaccines from India as a top priority.

In the second wave of the Covid-19 when the Indian government stopped the supply of vaccines, immediately China agreed to deliver vaccine doses to Bangladesh. So, in most cases Bangladesh is benefitted as a country who maintains diplomatic balance with India and China. However, one thing is very obvious for Bangladesh to read the situation carefully to understand the intention of both these countries while utilizing an opportunity.

Over the last some years Bangladesh is facing Rohingya refugee crisis causing a major diplomatic hurdle and tension. From a humanitarian ground Bangladesh government took shelter more than a million displaced Rohingyas from neighboring Myanmar. Since the inception of the crisis, despite taking efforts made by the Bangladesh government several times Rohingya repatriation is yet to be settled due to the lack of willingness of the Myanmar government.

Certainly, the repatriation process is delayed as the international humanitarian agencies are not found proactive enough to settle down this crisis. It is observed that some western countries are extending humanitarian hands through delivering relief funds for the Rohingyas but it must be very urgent to resolve the crisis as it has become a burden for Bangladesh, causing hindrance in socio-economic progress.

Political analysts opine that Bangladesh being a member country of the Commonwealthmaintains a historical relationship with the UK who can be one of the major influentialsto settle down this crisis. The country with the solid political support from the UK may find the scope to present the Rohingya issue to the international arena. However, decisive diplomatic action is a crying need to accelerate the repatriation process.

In strengthening regional cooperation since her birth, Bangladesh has been following middle-route approach in the global foreign policy. During the regime of the father of the nation Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman middle route was adopted in the foreign policy of Bangladesh. In his speech Bangabandhu said, 'We are a small country, we want friendship to all and malice towards none. He adopted middle routes between the Western and Eastern blocs.

Over the years the country sees success in establishing good relationship with different countries and major powers by adopting a policy of peace and non-alignment. However, it is evident that South Asia and the Indian Ocean region is increasingly becoming a significant site of major power competition which leads Bangladesh to continuously adopt this middle-ground approach to be prominent geopolitically.

Things become challenging to adopt middle-route approach in case of receiving the invitation of the US to incorporate Bangladesh into the Indo-Pacific Strategy as it may arise a displeasing situation of China towards Bangladesh. In the global geopolitics the relation between the US and China raises rivalry. So, Bangladesh with a neutral foreign policy may see a challenging task to maintain a good relationship with both Washington and Beijing at the same time. Geopolitically, Bangladesh faces an awkward position with Russia's invasion to Ukraine as the country wants peaceful settlement of all disputes between two countries but it remains neutral and abstains itself from condemning Russia.

To this end, Bangladesh is becoming prominent gradually in the global political realm which not only opens up opportunities but also emerges challenges. It is imperative to analyze the present geostrategic reality and cope with the challenges that lie ahead while utilizing new opportunities.

The writer teaches at Prime University and a research scholar at the IBS​
 
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you rocking the Lebanese aka greater Israel flags, I see.

but where are you from ?

you a paxtani or a lungi ?

What is a Lungi? By Paxtani I think you mean Pakistani?
 
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or a hijbullah phull sapporter paxtani shiite chamaar ?

these questions needs answerings @Mainerik
 
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How Bangladesh can navigate the geopolitical crossroads

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VISUAL: SIFAT AFRIN SHAMS

In recent times, the geopolitical landscape of the world has changed quite fast. The Ukraine war a few years ago, followed by the Israel-Palestine conflict, and the rise of right-wing governments in different European countries have changed the geopolitical panorama a lot. The ouster of Bashar al-Assad in Syria and that of Sheikh Hasina in Bangladesh have also added new dynamics at least to the respective regional geopolitics. Very recently, the election of Donald Trump as the newest US president has also added a lot to the changing scenario. Undoubtedly, the world is now at a geopolitical crossroads. One may wonder: what are the implications of all these for Bangladesh? In this context, some observations may be pertinent.

First, traditionally, the term "geopolitics" has a specific connotation. This concept has a "geographical" dimension as well as "political." But it must also be recognised that economic interests remain behind it as an important aspect. In fact, most of the time, economic interests of nations drive the global geopolitical dynamic. Since geopolitical phenomena reflect international relations, it is obvious that one of these relations would be economic. The bottom line is, it is wrong to keep the geopolitical concerns only to the arenas of geography and politics; it is necessary to recognise that "geoeconomics" and "political economy" of nations are equally crucial in the broader context of geopolitics.

Second, given that geoeconomics and political economy are important in geopolitics, the world in recent years has moved more and more to what is known as "economic nationalism," which implies economic isolation of nations in order to unilaterally protect each country's own economic interests. Economic nationalism has two implications. One, it demands and requires relatively closed economies, and inward-looking economic policies and strategies. And two, when needed, it may go up at best to bilateral relations from a unilateral position, but economic nationalism will not opt for multilateral interactions. People may think that economic nationalism is more anchored in ideas of the newly elected US president, but in reality, such nationalism was the by-product of the Covid pandemic. With the global outbreak of the pandemic in 2020, each country was set to protect its own people and to guard its economic interests in terms of trade, financial investments, and resource flows, including grants and aid. Economic nationalism is a characteristic of the current geopolitical structure.

Third, the present geopolitical system is characterised by inequality, instability, and unsustainability. We live in a world that is unequal on many planes—economic, social, political, cultural, etc. There are economic disparities among nations and within nation-states. In many societies, social exclusion is the norm, rather than an exception. At the global level, the political space is dominated by developed nations, and within countries, by the rich and the powerful. Voice and autonomy of those who are poor and marginalised are still more of an idea than a reality. Inequalities are manifested not only in outcomes such as income or wealth, but also in opportunities, such as access to education and healthcare services, entry into information and technology (ICT), etc. Conflicts, violence and intolerance have made the global order unstable and complex. Climate change, deforestation, desertification, salinisation, and loss of biodiversity have not only affected the lives of the present generation, but also are reducing the opportunities for future generations.

How do all of these affect Bangladesh? First of all, economic nationalism would affect its external trade, as well as the aid and foreign investment flows into the country. The trading partners will be more inward-looking, as a result of which some of the benefits that Bangladesh used to enjoy may no longer be available. The country may face higher tariffs and non-tariff barriers from its trading partners. Similarly, aid and foreign investment flows into the Bangladesh economy may be reduced. All these will impact the growth prospect of the country, adversely affecting job creation and employment in the economy.

Second, in a changed geopolitical structure, multilateralism is gradually taking a back seat and bilateral approaches are getting preferences. It means that external aid, particularly grants, will be negotiated bilaterally, rather than on multilateral platforms. It also implies that political concerns like water-sharing, cross-border migration and environmental issues, which sometimes are related to more than one nation, are probably going to be addressed between two nations, rather than by multiple nations. Thus, Bangladesh may have to deal with the flood issues separately with India and Nepal, rather than jointly with those countries. Similarly, there may not be a regional approach to the Rohingya crisis and different environmental issues that concern more than one country. All these may impact the regional public goods scenario in South Asia.

Third, in the new geopolitical order, there will be disparities in global economic opportunities. It will be important for Bangladesh to seize them. For example, the digital revolution around the world would provide numerous openings for Bangladeshi youths and entrepreneurs. The challenge would be whether Bangladesh is prepared in terms of educational standards, skill sets, and human resource development. This is crucial as some of the other countries would be moving faster than Bangladesh. At the same time, the country will have to be aware of the global risks, which may range from economic recession to some pandemics. Given the differences in the state of development, the countries will neither be equally prepared nor equally equipped to overcome the risks. Bangladesh needs forward planning to remain ahead of the game.

Fourth, one of the major milestones that Bangladesh will have to pass in its development process is its graduation from the LDC (Least Developed Country) status in 2026. The event is prestigious. Graduating from the LDC status will boost the nation's morale and aspire the people to reach a higher goal. But at the same time, such a graduation entails some challenges. For example, with the graduation, Bangladesh may lose its preferential treatment status in international trade; it may no longer be a candidate for grants from multilateral organisations. The changed global geopolitical structure may impact the LDC graduation scenario of Bangladesh. The country must be planning ahead of time to address the issues associated with the LDC graduation.

Finally, in the changed geopolitical scenario, it is not only global institutions but also regional groupings that are becoming relevant and effective. Yes, the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) exists, but it needs strengthening and must be made more effective. It can be a useful platform for regional negotiations and decision-making. However, Bangladesh must look beyond SAARC. It should explore how it can be linked to platforms such as G15, G20, and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa). Bangladesh should also use the platform of South-South cooperation to get the best out of the changed global geopolitical situation.

Selim Jahan is former director of the Human Development Report Office under the United Nations Development Programme and lead author of the Human Development Report.​
 
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