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[🇧🇩] Indo-Bangla Relation: India's Regional Ambition, Geopolitical Reality, and Strategic Options For Bangladesh

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[🇧🇩] Indo-Bangla Relation: India's Regional Ambition, Geopolitical Reality, and Strategic Options For Bangladesh
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India eager to strengthen ties with Bangladesh
Says Mirza Fakhrul after meeting Pranay Verma

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Photo: Collected

India is eager to further strengthen its relationship with Bangladesh, said BNP Secretary General Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir yesterday after meeting Indian High Commissioner Pranay Verma.

"They also want to strengthen our relationships with the political parties of their country," Fakhrul told reporters after the meeting at the BNP Chairperson's office in Gulshan.

The meeting, which lasted nearly an hour, is the first formal talks between Indian officials and BNP leaders since Sheikh Hasina's regime was deposed on August 5.

Fakhrul said, "We raised the issues Bangladesh is facing with India, including the water-sharing issue, which requires a swift resolution."

On border killings, Fakhrul said, "We also conveyed the necessity of stopping the border killings.

"We also discussed security concerns between both the countries. They assured us they are vigilant and working towards resolving these problems as quickly as possible."

Fakhrul said India is keen on fostering greater goodwill and positivity in the relationship between the two neighbours.

Other BNP leaders present at the meeting included Standing Committee member Salauddin Ahmed, Vice Chairman Nitai Roy Chowdhury, and foreign affairs advisory committee member Shama Obaid.​
 
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Ties with big neighbours: Balance will still be the mainstay

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Foreign Affairs Adviser Md Touhid Hossain has spoken at length with The Daily Star on a host of issues facing Bangladesh at this critical juncture of the country's transition to democracy. In an interview with our diplomatic correspondent Porimol Palma, the career diplomat shared his views on Dhaka-Delhi ties, Sheikh Hasina's stay in India, revival of Saarc and human rights, among other things.

TDS: What challenges is the government facing in maintaining and promoting relations with foreign countries?

Touhid:
For a small country like Bangladesh with big neighbours, it is important to maintain a balanced relationship. We've been doing so and the interim government will also try to do the same.

There will always be challenges. Our relationship with each country is unique. For example, three sides of Bangladesh are bordered by India. Many of our rivers flow through India. We have a lot of trade, and our ties are historical as well as cultural. On the other hand, China, our biggest trade partner, funds many projects here. We have interests in our relationships with both India and China. China and India have issues of conflict, but we have to maintain ties with both of them.

The US, which is the number one superpower, is our single biggest export market, and a major source of our remittance. Our relations with Europe is also very important. As a bloc, the European Union is our biggest export destination. So our ties with different country are different.

TDS: We've seen some hiccups in our relations with India, and anti-India sentiment here after the fall of the Awami League government. What would be our strategy to stabilise this relationship?

Touhid:
Our strategy will be to protect our interests. It does not mean we will ignore India's interest. For India, Bangladesh is a very important country when it comes to security. India's Northeast region suffered from insurgency, which was removed with our cooperation.

You need to remember that we are going through a phase of revolution and there may be some conflicts of interest. However, the relationship was very profitable for India during the previous regime. This led India, especially its media, to take a negative approach towards the current situation in Bangladesh. Most of their accusations were baseless. I believe these aspects will eventually be removed.

TDS: Will you take the initiative to bring back Sheikh Hasina from India?

Touhid:
If our court issues orders to bring her back, we will take the necessary initiative. It is up to India how it will cooperate. I don't want to speculate anything. We'll see when the time comes.

India has its interests in the relationship with Bangladesh, just like we do. So the relationship has to be based on mutual interest and respect. We're only talking about the relationship between the two governments when it has to be people-centric so that the people benefit from the relationship. It is not an ideal situation for governments to say that the relationship is good while people here have anti-India sentiments.

TDS: What are your expectations from India?

Touhid:
There are many expectations, but some small issues make the relationship bitter. For example, border killing. Just the other day, a 14-year-old girl was killed at the border. This is in no way justifiable. If India sincerely wants it, border killing can be fully stopped.

Then, there is the water-sharing issue. People have bitter feelings about the Teesta deal. It's not our concern what problem India's Centre and West Bengal government have. India has to solve it. The water is a liability for us in the rainy season, which is natural, and we aren't asking India to stop it. However, when this water is an asset in the dry season, we're not getting it. This is not acceptable. We know the water level is low in the dry season. But whatever water is there should be shared. Even if we can have an interim agreement with India on Teesta, it'll have a positive impact on the minds of the people of Bangladesh.

TDS: What will the interim government do about the agreements and Memoranda of Understanding with India that have been criticised?

Touhid:
The interim government will do whatever is needed for the sake of national interest, regardless of its tenure. We'll take care of all the issues.

MoUs and agreements are different. Conditions of agreements are to be implemented. If that is to change, it needs to be done as per the provisions of the agreements. For MoUs, we have to know peoples' expectations and seek expert views. We have to revisit the MoUs based on all these factors. If we have to sign any agreement, we will do it, protecting the interest of both parties.

TDS: Will revisiting MoUs or signing agreements take place anytime soon?

Touhid:
It's not that we'll start working tomorrow on this. It will come as part of the normal process. India too has to have its time. They won't sit with us tomorrow if we ask them for a meeting today. We'll try to take initiative on each issue based on priority in a mutually agreed time. It won't happen in a week or two, but we may take initiative in the next few months, or at least by this year.

TDS: Chief Adviser Professor Muhammad Yunus has said he wants to revitalise the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (Saarc). Is it possible, given the Pakistan-India enmity?

Touhid:
I don't think it is impossible. I want to be optimistic. When Saarc was working, it was not that it brought about a huge change. But, some work was really going on, for example on meteorology, agriculture, free trade, etc. Then Saarc was going ahead even when India and Pakistan were engaged in small fights sometimes. The process was suspended by India's initiative. India-Pakistan conflict won't end overnight. But other South Asian countries should not be victims of this Indo-Pak enmity. All the other countries are eager to cooperate through Saarc.

Chief Adviser Prof Yunus is very interested in resuming the Saarc activities on whatever small scale. We want to come out of the stalemate.

TDS: Bangladesh has a lot of baggage in terms of human rights abuses. Can the government come out of this?

Touhid
: A major objective of this government is to work in the area of human rights. Rights activists are in the council of advisers. The UN fact-finding mission will look into all of the rights violations and killings that took place in the last weeks of the previous government. Even post-August 5 attacks over political ideologies or on minorities – all can come under this investigation. Everyone has the right to get justice. We want transparency in the whole process of the investigation.

TDS: Will the foreign ministry undergo reforms to function more effectively, keeping in mind that the economy is a big part of our diplomacy?

Touhid:
The foreign ministry, like any other time, will play an auxiliary role. We will extend support to other ministries as per their need. In some cases, re-allocation of business may be required. From our side, we can raise the issues that arise in the areas of overseas employment, foreign investment or export.

TDS: Prof Yunus has a global standing. How can we best utilise it in diplomacy?

Touhid:
We have started benefitting from this already. You know that 67 Bangladeshi migrants were pardoned by the UAE president after Prof Yunus directly spoke to him. We will use his standing for our just demands.

TDS: How shall we navigate in the geopolitically changing world, especially amid the global power competition in the Indo-Pacific?

Touhid:
We'll try to have our interests protected despite such competitions. We'll follow the path where we have our best national interest.

TDS: Aren't our national integrity, track record of human rights and democracy important for this?

Touhid:
We're working to establish democracy on a strong footing. It'll be truly representative. There won't be any fake elections. The purpose of the sacrifice of the young people and their aspiration is democracy. We will work to that end. Reforms on human rights will be visible soon. So we are on the right track.​
 
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Dhaka strongly protests at Amit Shah’s remark on Bangladesh nationals
Staff Correspondent 23 September, 2024, 19:39

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Amit Shah | UNB/ Collected photo

The interim government of Bangladesh on Monday lodged a strong protest against the Indian union home minister Amit Shah’s remarks about Bangladeshi nationals made during his recent visit to the Indian state of Jharkhand.

The Indian minister said that the BJP would free Jharkhand from ‘Rohingya and Bangladeshi infiltrators’ and hang them ‘upside down’, The Hindu reported on Sunday.

Terming Amit’s remarks as highly deplorable, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in a protest note sent to New Delhi through the Indian mission in Dhaka called upon the government of India to advise the political leaders to refrain from making such objectionable and unacceptable remarks.

‘Through the protest note handed over today to the deputy high commissioner of India in Dhaka, the ministry conveyed its serious reservation, deep sense of hurt and extreme displeasure and called upon the government of India to advise the political leaders to refrain from making such objectionable and unacceptable remarks,’ said a foreign ministry press release.

The ministry also emphasised that such remarks, coming from responsible positions against the nationals of a neighbouring country, undermine the spirit of mutual respect and understanding between two friendly countries, it mentioned.​
 
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The Indian media is calling Bandarban, Rangamati, and Khagrachori as Bangladesh's three sisters. It is their desire to make CHT unstable to punish Bangladesh for following an independent foreign policy. It is my opinion that Bangladesh should join hands with China to break up India's seven sisters and annex them afterwards.


 
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Delhi in denial over Bangladesh
Mahmood Hasan 25 September, 2024, 00:00

FOR a couple of months, Bangladesh has been making the media headlines. What is happening in this geographically small but strategically important country of 175 million people has created widespread interest.

On August 5, fascist prime minister Sheikh Hasina resigned and fled to India in the face of massive student-people uprising. It was truly a Gen Z-led revolution that overthrew Hasina’s 16-year tyrannical rule. Why did Hasina flee to India? For her, it was the obvious choice as she was India’s string-puppet in Bangladesh. She went back to her mentors. In consequence, relations between Dhaka and Delhi immediately took a dive.

An interim government led by Dr Muhammad Yunus was sworn in on August 8. Yunus is a universally accepted leader, who was urged to take over the helm of Bangladesh to repair and reform the state structures destroyed by Hasina.

The fall of Hasina was a jolt to India. Mandarins in Delhi could not believe that their domesticated pet had fallen. Interestingly, at 9:48 pm on August 8, India’s prime minster Narendra Modi issued a twitter message for Yunus, which reads as follows:

‘My best wishes to professor Muhammad Yunus on the assumption of his new responsibilities. We hope for an early return to normalcy, ensuring the safety and protection of Hindus and all other minority communities. India remains committed to working with Bangladesh to fulfil the shared aspirations of both our peoples for peace, security and development.’

It was an appalling text that the head of government of one country could send to the head of another government. To date, no formal message came from Modi to Yunus. Clearly, the twitter text reflected Delhi’s anguish. In reply, when Yunus called Modi and invited him to visit Bangladesh to see for himself the revolution, Modi declined.

Firstly, diplomatic norm was totally ignored. It was a knee-jerk reaction. Diplomatic practice requires such messages to be sent through diplomatic channel. As both countries have high commissions in Dhaka and Delhi, the text could have been formally sent through either mission.

Secondly, the wording was poor. The text was impersonal, abrupt, devoid of niceties and condescending. One wonders whether Modi is capable of handling twitter and write messages.

Thirdly, he issued a warning to Yunus. He ordered Yunus to ensure safety and protection of the Hindus. To Modi, only the lives of the Hindus mattered. Lives of non-Hindus did not bother him. To him, it was all right if non-Hindus were persecuted. It revealed a sickening frame of mind.

During the immediate post-Hasina days, there was anti-Awami League retribution. It was essentially political in nature and certainly not communal. Yet, Hindu temples and families were guarded by young vigilantes of political parties, including madrassah students. Bangladeshis have proved again its non-communal identity.

India has all through played two cards to prop up the Hasina government: (a) Hindu persecution and (b) insurgency in seven sisters. Indian propaganda on these narratives is patently false. Yunus said that India had exaggerated the Hindu persecution issue. Yet, the Modi government tried vehemently to internationalise the Hindu persecution story but did not succeed because of lack of Washington’s support.

Hasina cunningly played along to convince Delhi that she needed to stay in power to stop the Hindu persecution and eliminate insurgency. She succeeded in persuading Delhi that other than the Awami League, all other parties in Bangladesh were Islamist.

It is nauseating to see the continuous propaganda war launched by the ‘Godi media’ sitting on the lap of the BJP government. The lies and disinformation presented in theatrical manner are revolting. They pander to the communal prejudice of the Hindu India. These media deliberately ignored the reasons Hasina fell. They never question Hasina’s trampling on democracy, rights violations and massive corruption. Indians seem to have forgotten the communal riots following the destruction of the Babri Mosque in 1992, when more than 2,000 Muslims were butchered. Communal violence is a regular feature in India. People living in glass houses should not throw stones at others.

After Yunus had given the Press Trust of India an interview, these media accused him of conducting ‘megaphone diplomacy’. Yunus as head of the government is the first diplomat of Bangladesh. He did speak openly about some pending issues with India and wanted fair solutions.

There is strong anti-India sentiment in Bangladesh, for which both the Awami League and Delhi are responsible. It is Delhi’s imperialistic policies towards Bangladesh. Indian ministers calling Bangladeshis ‘termites’, ‘insurgents’, ‘hang them with their heads down’, etc fanned anti-India feelings. Delhi established personal ties with Hasina and totally ignored the people of Bangladesh. India also deliberately shunned all other political parties in Bangladesh.

Hasina and her ministers also constantly repeated the narrative that ‘India gave Bangladesh its independence’. The sacrifice of Mukti Bahini was trashed. Minister Abdul Momen said that he had asked Delhi to keep Hasina in power. An election candidate announced that he was India’s nominee. Obaidul Qader said that the Awami League would be in power with Delhi’s help. There are many such utterances from Awami League leaders. Hasina signed agreements with India without any debate in the parliament. All these subservient behaviours of the Hasina government compromised Bangladesh’s sovereignty. Naturally, anti-India sentiments kept growing.

Now that Hasina is in India, what will Delhi do with her? Hasina has no valid travel document. The countries approached to give her sanctuary have regretted. According to the bilateral agreement between Bangladesh and India, she could stay in India for 45 days, which ended on September 20. Delhi is quiet on Hasina’s status.

What are the options for Delhi:

— Give her political asylum. In that case, Dhaka-Delhi relations will be further strained. Many cite the example of Dalai Lama. There is a significant difference. Dalai Lama is a spiritual leader, not accused of crime. Hasina committed criminal offences and is liable to face trial.

— Grant Hasina Indian citizenship. After Mujib’s assassination, Indira Gandhi gave Hasina refuge in Delhi. There are rumours that during that period (1975–1981), Hasina acquired Indian citizenship under a Hindu name.

— Treat her as an illegal immigrant.

— Send her back at Bangladesh’s formal request. There are already loud calls from Bangladesh to bring her back to face trials for the crimes she committed.

— If Hasina finds a place to hide, who will issue her travel document?


— Whatever may be the legal dispensation, Delhi has to choose either Hasina or Bangladesh. Hasina is an impediment in Dhaka-Delhi relations.

Sitting in Delhi, Sheikh Hasina continues to foment trouble in Bangladesh, instructing the Awami League remnants to rise against the interim government. Yunus has asked India that Hasina should keep quiet as it was not helpful. Her son is also talking outrageously and has asked India to ensure quick elections in Bangladesh.

Surprisingly, India is still in a state of denial. It cannot believe that Hasina has been overthrown and has become a fugitive. The hawkish section of Indians wants to teach Bangladesh a lesson for being disobedient. The saner section thinks that Modi needs to recognise the reality and recalibrate its policies towards Bangladesh. Hiding the head in sand and ignoring reality will certainly not help Delhi to improve relations with Dhaka.

Bangladesh wants friendly relations with India. As Yunus has said, ‘We need to work together to improve this relationship, which is now at a low.’ But that has to be on the basis of respect and fairness. The second republic of Bangladesh will not accept a domineering India. Will Delhi change its prism and look positively at Bangladesh as a sovereign equal?​
 
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According to Subramanyam of India, Bangladesh and India had entered into an agreement before the formal independence of Bangladesh by which the Indian army could go into Bangladesh and remain there to protect the rights of Hindus and other minorities. Does Bangladesh have any obligation to abide by what was written in the agreement signed even before her formal independence?


 
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Relations with Bangladesh to remain positive and constructive: Jaishankar
Correspondent
New Delhi
Published: 25 Sep 2024, 19: 03

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Indian external affairs minister S Jaishankar ANI

Indian external affairs minister S Jaishankar has said that India's relations with neighbours Sri Lanka and Bangladesh would continue to be ‘positive and constructive’ and none should be deterministic about it.

‘I would urge you not to be deterministic about our relations. It's not like India wants to control every political move of every neighbour. That's not how it works. It doesn't work, not just for us, it doesn't work for anybody else,’ said the Indian external affairs minister after attending a discussion titled ‘India, Asia, and the World’.

Asiatic Society and Asia Society Policy Institute in New York organised it on Tuesday, reports PTI.

A journalist made a remark that India has unconditionally supported Bangladesh and Sri Lanka and provided loans. But the recently installed governments in both countries seem to be anti-Indian.

Replying to this question, Jayashankar said, "At the end of the day, each of our neighbours will have their own particular dynamics. It's not our intention to suggest that their dynamics must necessarily adhere to what we might consider as being better for us. I think this is the real world. I mean, everybody makes their choices and then countries adjust to each other and find ways of working it out."

He also added that the case of Bangladesh is a little different.

"Over the last one decade, we have taken on many projects in that country which have been fruitful for both of us. Economic activity has flourished and infrastructure has improved," he added.

Jaishankar's remarks came a day after his first meeting with Bangladesh foreign affairs adviser Touhid Hossain on the sidelines of the 79th session of the UN General Assembly in New York.

Diplomatic sources termed the meeting as effective, positive and constructive.​
 
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